Free NFL Picks For Today 11/24/2024
Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders NFL Pick Prediction 11/24/2024
Cowboys at Commanders Injuries
Dallas tight end Ferguson and right guard are out with left guard questionable. On defense a corner is out with linebacker questionable. Washington has a significant injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings. The Dallas team’s health ratings is very low at 77.9. Washington has the highest health rating at 92.2.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Cowboys at Commanders 1PM ET—Dallas fell to 3-7 following their 34-10 home defeat on Monday Night to Houston. The Cowboys gained 388 yards with 64 rushing for 3.6 yards per run. On defense they allowed 391 yards to the Texans with 141 rushing for 5.6 yards per run. Cooper Rush completed 32 of 55 for 354 yards with a touchdown and interception. Washington is 7-4 with their 26-18 road defeat at Philadelphia. The Commanders put up 264 yards with 93 rushing for 3.3 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 434 yards to the Eagles with 228 rushing for 5.7 yards per run. Jayden Daniels completed 22 of 32 for 191 yards with a touchdown and pick.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Commanders at home rush for 5.5 yards a carry with 7.3 yards per pass attempt. They have defended well at home the pass by allowing 54% completions. Dallas has a -11-turnover margin. In their past three games they are putting up 12.3 points per game while giving up 32. Their defense has been shredded in this period as they allow 71% completions for 7.8 yards per pass attempt. Dallas failed to cover seven of nine. They are 4-8 to the spread as a road underdog and 1-8 to the spread on the road facing teams that average 7 yards per pass attempt or greater. Play Washington -10.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants NFL Pick Prediction 11/24/2024
Buccaneers at Giants Injuries
Tampa Bay receiver Evans and left tackle are questionable. On defense a corner is questionable, and a nickel back is out. NY receiver Nabers is questionable with a linebacker on defense questionable. Starting quarterback Daniel Jones has been released and Tommy DeVito to start. The Giants have a slight injury advantage based on the Chao ratings.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Buccaneers at Giants 1PM ET—Tampa Bay fell to 4-6 following their 23-20 home defeat to San Francisco two weeks ago. The Bucs gained 215 yards with 110 rushing for 4.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 413 yards to the 49ers with 338 passing on 36 attempts. Baker Mayfield hit 18 of 29 for 116 yards with a touchdown and interception. NY drops to 2-8 with their 20-17 defeat to Carolina in German two weeks ago. The Giants put up 342 yards with 167 rushing for 4.9 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 306 yards to the Panthers with 188 rushing for 5.9 yards per run. Tommy DeVito appeared in nine games last season completing 64% of his passes with 6.2 yards per pass attempt.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Bucs in their road games average 31 points per game with 5.8 yards per run and 71% completion rate. NY at home averages 10.6 points per game with ineffective running and passing games. The pass defense has been poor at home for the Giants as they allow 73% completions for 7.6 yards per pass attempt. NY has a -6-turnover differential. The Giants are 0-4 to the spread at home and the Bucs 3-1 on the road. Play Tampa Bay -6.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Pick Prediction 11/24/2024
Chiefs at Panthers Injuries
KC starters on offense and defense are healthy. Carolina receivers Theilen and Coker are questionable. On defense an end and two linebackers are questionable. Kansas City has a significant injury advantage based on Chao ratings. The Panthers defense has a low health rating of 76.9.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Chiefs at Panthers—KC fell to 9-1 following their 30-21 road defeat to Buffalo. The Chiefs gained 259 yards with 78 rushing for 4.6 yards per run. On defense they allowed 366 yards to the Bills with 262 passing on 40 attempts. Patrick Mahomes completed 23 of 33 for 196 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. Carolina is 3-7 with their 20-17 win in Germany against NY Giants. The Panthers posted 306 yards with 188 rushing for 5.9 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 342 yards to the Giants with 167 rushing for 4.9 yards per run. Bryce Young went 15 of 25 for 126 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Carolina has failed to cover seven of ten with the three covers against losing teams. The Panthers defense at home allows 30 points per game with 4.9 yards per run and 7.2 yards per pass attempt. The Panthers passing game at home has been inefficient. KC on the road has held opponents to 19 points per game with 3 yards per run. Play KC -10.5.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears NFL Pick Prediction 11/24/2024
Vikings at Bears Injuries
Minnesota starters on offense and defense are healthy. Chicago running back Swift and receiver Allen are questionable with a left guard out. On defense a safety is out. Minnesota has a slight injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. The Vikings have 92 health ratings on offense and defense.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Vikings at Bears 1PM ET—Minnesota improved to 8-2 following their 23-13 road win at Tennessee. The Vikings gained 316 yards with 82 rushing for 2.5 yards per run. On defense the Vikings allowed 294 yards to the Titans with 33 rushing on 19 carries. Sam Darnold completed 20 of 32 for 246 yards and two touchdowns. He had a rushing touchdown. Chicago drops to 4-6 after their 20-19 home defeat to Green Bay. The Bears put up 391 yards with 179 rushing for 5.3 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 366 yards to the Packers with 260 passing on 17 attempts. Caleb Williams hit 23 of 31 for 231 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
It will be 48 degrees with light wind and no precipitation. The Vikings have struggled with their run games on the road. The Bears defense at home limits opponents to 16.8 points per game as they limit opponents to 6.7 yards per pass attempt. The Minnesota offense has struggled the past three games by averaging 18.7 points per game. Chicago has covered four of five at home this season. Three straight road games for the Vikings. Play Chicago +3.5.
New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Pick Prediction 11/24/2024
Patriots at Dolphins Injuries
New England left tackle is questionable. On defense both, a linebacker and three members of their starting secondary are questionable. Miami fullback and left tackle are questionable. On defense a corner is out. The Patriots have a slight injury advantage based on the Dr Chao ratings.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Patriots at Dolphins 1PM ET—New England fell to 3-8 following their 28-22 home defeat to LA Rams. The Patriots put up 382 yards with 125 rushing for 4.2 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 402 yards to the Rams with 295 passing on 27 attempts. Drake Maye completed 29 of 39 for 282 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Miami improved to 4-6 after their 34-19 home win to Las Vegas Raiders. The Dolphins posted 353 yards with 82 rushing for 3.2 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 328 yards to the Raiders with 268 passing on 43 attempts. Tua hit 28 of 36 for 288 yards and three touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Patriot’s defense has been in good form in their past seven games by allowing 17 points and only 60% completion rate. They have been getting accurate passing in this period with 70% completion rate. Miami offense has struggled in their divisional games by averaging 17 points per game. The Patriots defense in their past three games are allowing 68% completions with 252 yards passing. Miami has covered only one of five at home. Play New England +7.5.
Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans NFL Pick Prediction 11/24/2024
Titans at Texans Injuries
Tennessee right tackle is out. A nickel back is questionable. Houston offensive starers are healthy. On defense a tackle is out. Houston has a clear injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. The advantage is on both units. The healthiest unit is the Texans offense at 91.6 rating.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Tennessee fell to 2-8 following their 23-13 home defeat to Minnesota. The Titans gained 294 yards with 33 rushing on 19 carries. On defense they allowed 318 yards to the Vikings with 236 passing on 32 attempts. Will Levis completed 17 of 31 for 295 yards with a touchdown and interception. Houston is 7-4 after their 34-10 road win at Dallas. The Texans put up 391 yards with 141 rushing for 5.6 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 388 yards to the Cowboys with 324 passing on 56 attempts. CJ Stroud was 23 of 34 for 257 yards and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Short week for Houston coming off the Monday Night game. The Titans defense on the road has held opposing quarterbacks to 5.6 yards per pass attempt. In their past three games they have been holding opponents to 22.3 points per game. The Texans have struggled over their past three games with their passing game with only 54% completions with 5.9 yards per pass attempt. The Texans are 0-3 to the spread against the Division. They are 1-6 to the spread at home against losing teams. Play Tennessee +9.
Detroit Lions vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Pick Prediction 11/24/2024
Lions at Colts Injuries
Detroit offensive starters are healthy. Detroit has two edge rushers on the IR. On defense a corner is out, and a nickel back is questionable. Indianapolis left tackle is out and their defensive starters are healthy. Detroit has a slight injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. The healthiest unit is the Lions offense with their defense the lowest health rating at 78.4.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Lions at Colts 1PM ET—Detroit improved to 9-1 following their 52-6 home victory to Jacksonville. The Lions gained 645 yards with 196 rushing for 4.6 yards per run. On defense they held the Jaguars with 170 yards with 41 rushing on 17 carries. Jared Goff completed 24 of 29 for 412 yards and four touchdowns. Indianapolis improved to 5-6 after their 28-27 road win at NY Jets. The Colts put up 332 yards with 91 rushing for 2.6 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 253 yards to the Jets offense with 162 passing on 29 attempts. Anthony Richardson hit 20 of 30 for 272 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Lions in their AFC games have averaged 43.3 points and 405 yards per game. They play these opponents about once every four years so there is little familiarity facing opposing playmakers. They have averaged 9.1 yards per pass attempt against the AFC. The Colts defense in their past three games have allowed 72% completions. Richardson showed improvement returning from his benching. Detroit is 2-0 to the over on the road facing teams that allow 350 yards per game or greater. Play Detroit and Indianapolis over 50.
Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Pick Prediction 11/24/2024
Broncos at Raiders Injuries
Denver starters on offense are healthy. On defense an end and safety are questionable. Las Vegas running back Mattison is doubtful with their left guard and center questionable. On defense a corner and nickel back are out with corner questionable. Denver has a massive injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings. The Broncos health rating is 91.6 and the Raiders 77.9.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Broncos at Raiders 4PM ET—Denver improves to 6-5 following their 38-6 home win to Atlanta. The Broncos gained 400 yards with 105 rushing for 4 yards per run. On defense they allowed 226 yards to the Falcons with 50 rushing yards on 21 carries. Bo Nix hit 28 of 33 for 307 yards and four touchdowns. Las Vegas drops to 2-8 with their 34-19 road defeat at Miami. The Raiders posted 328 yards with 60 rushing for 3.8 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 353 yards to the Dolphins with 271 passing on 36 attempts. Gardner Minshew hit 30 of 43 for 282 yards with two touchdowns and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Las Vegas defense in horrible form in their past three games by allowing 34 points with 73% completions and 255 yards. The Broncos in this period are completing 72% for 6.9 yards per pass attempt. Denver has covered five of six on the road. Play Denver -6.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Pick Prediction 11/24/2024
49ers at Packers Injuries
San Francisco quarterback Brock Purdy is out. Left tackle is questionable. On defense an end and corner are out. Green Bay starters on offense are healthy. On defense a linebacker and corner are out. Green Bay has a significant injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings. The 49ers have a low health rating of 78.8 to the Packers 89.7.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
49ers at Packers 4:25PM ET–San Francisco drops to 5-5 after their 20-17 home defeat to Seattle. The 49ers gained 277 yards with 131 rushing for 4.9 yards per run. On defense they surrendered 289 yards to the Seahawks with 94 rushing for 4.1 yards per rush. Green Bay is 7-3 after their 20-19 road win at Chicago. The Packers produced 366 yards with 106 rushing for 4.2 yards per run. On defense they allowed 391 yards to the Bears with 179 rushing for 5.3 yards per run. Jordon Love hit 13 of 17 for 261 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
San Francisco defense in their past three games allowing 3.8 yards per run with 5.4 yards per pass attempt. With Brandon Allen in at quarterback the 49ers may lean heavily to their run game and go conservative through the air. Green Bay has defended well at home. Play San Francisco and Green Bay under 44.5.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Pick Prediction 11/24/2024
Cardinals at Seahawks Injuries
Arizona right tackle is questionable. On defense a safety is out. Seattle tight end Fant is questionable. The Seahawks defensive starters are healthy. Seattle has an injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings. The lowest health score is the Cardinals defeat at 81.4 based on the quality of players on the IR. Both units for Seattle have health ratings at 91.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Cardinals at Seahawks—Arizona improved to 6-4 following their 31-6 home victory two weeks ago against the NY Jets. The Cardinals gained 406 yards with 147 rushing for 4.6 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 207 yards to the Jets with 128 passing on 35 attempts. Kyler Murray completed 22 of 24 for 266 yards with a touchdown. Seattle is 5-5 with their 20-17 road win at San Francisco. The Seahawks posted 289 yards with 94 rushing for 4.1 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 277 yards to the 49ers with 131 rushing for 4.9 yards per run. Geno Smith hit 25 of 32 for 221 yards and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Rain with light wind in the forecast in Seattle. The Arizona defense on the road has struggled by allowing 30 points per game with 5 yards per run and 7.3 yards per pass attempt. The Seattle passing game in their past three games averaged 71% completions for 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Arizona is 2-6 to the spread on the road against the NFC West. Play Seattle at pick.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. LA Rams NFL Pick Prediction 11/24/2024
Eagles at Rams Injuries
Philadelphia receiver Smith is out. Their defensive starters are healthy. LA right tackle is doubtful. Their defensive starters are healthy. Philadelphia has an injury advantage based on the Chao ratings for each unit. The Eagles health rating is 91.9.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Eagles at Rams—Philadelphia improved to 8-2 following their 26-16 home victory to Washington. The Eagles put up 434 yards with 228 rushing for 5.7 yards per run. On defense they allowed 264 yards to the Commanders with 93 rushing for 3 yards per run. Jalen Hurts completed 18 of 28 for 221 yards. LA is 5-5 with their 28-22 road win at New England. The Rams put up 402 yards with 107 rushing for 4.5 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 382 yards to the Patriots with 257 passing on 39 attempts. Matthew Stafford went 18 of 27 for 295 yards and four touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Philadelphia form is great in their past three games with 29.3 points per game with 5.3 yards per run and 7.8 yards per pass attempt. They have held opponents to 15.7 points per game in this period with outstanding run and pass defense. LA pass defense has struggled in this three-game period by allowing 70% completion rate for 7.3 yards per pass attempt. The Eagles have won and covered five of six on the road. LA is 2-6 to the spread at home when lined between -3 and +3. Play Philadelphia -3.