| Game Time | 10:00 pm EST |
| Dallas Mavericks Line | +2.5 |
| Denver Nuggets Line | -2.5 |
| Total | 227 |
| TV: | NBA TV |
Two Western conference teams led by European superstars and have the same number of wins are clashing tonight, as the Denver Nuggets are hosting the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavs have gotten back on track after Doncic missed a couple of games and have now won three straight games. The Nuggets were one of the hottest teams before Jokic had to leave the team due to personal reasons, as they were running a 5-game winning streak. With the Joker off the lineup, they have the worse offensive rating in the NBA and are just 1-2 wins.
Below is a detailed analysis for Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets game.
Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
Denver Nuggets Injury Report: Nikola Jokic is day-to-day, Aaron Gordon, Daron Holmes are out
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report: Luka Doncic, Dante Exum is out
Denver Nuggets Recent Form and Trends
The Nuggets have an 8-5 record this season and are sitting on the 5th place of the West. Denver is 5-7-1 against the spread and 9-4 in over/under. The Nuggets have a 5-2 home record, but 3-3-1 against the spread, with a +3.6-point differential. The Nuggets are 6-2 in their last 8 games but 1-1-2 against the spread. Over is 8-2 in their last 10 games.
Denver is coming off a 122-110 road win in Memphis, shooting with 49% from the field and having five players in double digit scoring. Jamal Murray led Denver’s offense with 27 points with 5 triples, 4 rebounds and 6 assists.
Nikola Jokic leads Denver in scoring with an average of 29.7 points, in rebounding with 13.7 and in assists made with 11.7. Jamal Murray adds 18.3 points, 4.3 rebounds and 5.5 assists.
Dallas Mavericks Recent Form and Trends
The Mavs have an 8-7 record this season and are tied with the Kings on the 10th place of the West. The Mavs are 7-7-1 against the spread and 6-8-1 in over/under. Dallas is 2-4 on the road, and 2-3-1 against the spread, with a -1.8-point differential. The Mavs have three consecutive wins. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 road games.
The Mavericks are coming off a 132-91 win over the New Orleans Pelicans, shooting with 52% from the field, while holding their opponents into 40%. They had seven players in double digit scoring, led by Luka Doncic with 26 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
Doncic leads the Mavs in scoring with 28.1 points, adding 7.6 rebounds and a team-high 7.6 assists per game. Kyrie Irving adds 24.3 points, 4.4 rebounds and 5.2 assists.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Nuggets are averaging 116.5 points per game, which ranks 8th in the NBA. Denver shoots with 46.8% from the field (11th), and with 38% from beyond the arc (6th). Defensively, they are allowing 115.1 points per game, which ranks 23rd in the NBA.
Offensively, the Mavs average 115.6 points per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. They shoot 48.1% from the field (6th) and 34.7% from beyond the arc (19th). Defensively, the Mavs allow 109.3 points per game, which is 5th in the league.
In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Nuggets won 122-120 at home. They are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings and 3-1-1 against the spread.
Prediction
In this Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, the Mavericks are coming as road favorites. Assuming that Jokic plays, I will still not pick a side, and instead will take a look at the total. The Nuggets had the best offensive rating with the Joker on the court, and both teams shoot very good from the field, ranking 6th and 11th in field goal percentage. Both teams are 11-3 to the over in their last 14 games combined and in their previous meeting this season they combined for a total of 242 points. They also coming off excellent offensive performances, having scored 132 and 122 points. I expect a lot of points in this game, and I’m taking the over the total.
Nick’s Pick: Over 227