Free College Football Picks Week 13 Part 4-11/23/2024
East Carolina vs. North Texas College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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East Carolina at North Texas 3:30PM ET—East Carolina improved to 6-4 following their 38-31 road win at Tulsa. The Pirates gained 536 yards with 222 rushing for 5.3 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 399 yards to the Golden Hurricane with 293 passing on 33 attempts. Katin Houser completed 24 of 37 for 314 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions. North Texas fell to 5-5 after their 48-27 road defeat at UTSA. The Mean Green put up 480 yards with 239 rushing for 9.6 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 681 yards to the Roadrunners with 379 passing on 43 attempts. Chandler Morris hit 21 of 36 for 241 yards with a touchdown and two picks.
The Pick with the Explanation
ECU on the road is getting inaccurate quarterback play. Their pass defense on the road allows 8.1 yards per pass attempt. The Mean Green has defended the pass at home well by allowing 52% completions and 5.7 yards per pass attempt. East Carolina is 1-3 to the spread on the road facing teams that average 31 points per game or greater. North Texas is 8-3 to the spread at home against the AAC. Play North Texas -2.5.
Pittsburgh vs. Louisville College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Pittsburgh at Louisville 4PM ET—Pittsburgh fell to 7-3 following their 24-20 home defeat to Clemson. The Panthers gained 438 yards with 88 rushing for 2.7 yards per run. On defense they allowed 346 yards to the Tigers with 58 rushing for 2.1 yards per run. Eli Holstein missed the game due to a concussion and is questionable here. Nate Yarnell completed 24 of 54 for 350 yards with a touchdown and interception. Louisville drops to 6-4 after their 38-35 road defeat at Stanford. The Cardinals gained 406 yards with 83 rushing for 2.2 yards per run. Tyler Shough went 26 of 39 for 270 yards with a touchdown and pick.
The Pick with the Explanation
Pittsburgh quarterback situation a concern here in this road spot. The Panthers offensive form is poor in their past three games allowing 3.3 yards per run with 5.8 yards per pass attempt. They have struggled in pass defense over this period. Louisville’s offense works at home well as they put up 43 points per game with 5.8 yards per run and 9.2 yards per pass attempt. They defended the run well at home. Pittsburgh is 1-6 to the spread as a road underdog. Louisville 11-3 to the spread as a home favorite. Play Louisville -8.
Louisiana Tech vs. Arkansas College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Louisiana Tech at Arkansas 4PM ET—Louisiana Tech improved to 4-6 following their 12-7 road win at Western Kentucky. The Bulldogs gained 277 yards with 209 rushing for 4.3 yards per run. On defense they allowed 215 yards to the Hilltoppers with 63 rushing for 2.9 yards per run. Evan Bullock completed 12 of 15 for 66 yards. Arkansas fell to 5-5 with their 20-10 home defeat to Texas. The Razorbacks put up 231 yards with 82 rushing for 1.3 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 316 yards to the Longhorns with 139 rushing for 3.4 yards per run. Taylen Green went 17 of 25 for 149 yards and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Louisiana Tech on the road averages 15 points per game as they rush for 3.2 yards per run and average 5.9 yards per pass attempt. The Razorbacks offense in good form as in their past three games putting up 33 points per game as they run for 5.3 yards a carry and pass for 10.1 yards per pass attempt. Play Arkansas -22.
Missouri vs. Mississippi St College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Missouri at Mississippi St 4:15PM ET—Missouri fell to 7-3 following their 34-30 road defeat at South Carolina. The Tigers gained 381 yards with 144 rushing for 3.9 yards per run. On defense they allowed 462 yards to the Gamecocks with 353 passing on 30 attempts. Brady Cook completed 21 of 31 for 237 yards with a touchdown and pick. Mississippi St is 2-8 after their 33-14 road defeat to Tennessee. The Bulldogs put up 271 yards with 179 rushing for 4.7 yards per run. On defense they allowed 452 yards to the Volunteers with 240 rushing for 4.2 yards per run. Michael Van Buren hit 10 of 26 for 92 yards and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Missouri has issues on the road. The pass defense has been poor with 68% completions allowed for 9.6 yards per pass attempt. They also allow 5.1 yards per run away. The Tigers are getting inaccurate passing on the road. The Bulldogs put up 33 points per game at home and are efficient in their passing game. They covered five of six. Play Mississippi St +7.5.
Troy vs. Louisiana College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Troy at Louisiana 5PM ET—Troy improved to 3-7 after their 28-20 road win at Georgia Southern. The Trojans gained 441 yards with 153 rushing for 3.7 yards per run. On defense they held the Eagles to 246 yards with 75 rushing for 3.8 yards per run. Matthew Caldwell hit 26 of 32 for 288 yards and two touchdowns. He rushed for two touchdowns. Louisiana dropped to 8-2 after their 24-22 home defeat to South Alabama. The Ragin Cajuns posted 410 yards with 137 rushing for 3.9 yards per run. On defense they allowed 353 yards to the Jaguars with 285 passing on 34 attempts. Chandler Fields hit 14 of 17 for 185 yards with a touchdown. He rushed for 28 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Trojans rush for only 3.1 yards a carry on the road. They surrender 31 points per game on the road as they allow 5.2 yards per run with 69% completions. Louisiana offense has been very good against the Sun Belt with 32 points per game with 5 yards per run and 9 yards per pass attempt. They have defended the run and pass well against the Sun Belt. Play Louisiana -10.
Georgia St vs. Texas St College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Georgia St at Texas St 7PM ET—Georgia St fell to 2-8 following their 27-20 home defeat to Arkansas St. The Panthers gained 411 yards with 65 rushing for 2.8 yards per run. On defense they allowed 358 yards to the Redwolves with 261 rushing for 5.3 yards per run. Zach Gibson is questionable with a leg injury and left the game. Christian Veilleux hit 17 of 35 for 245 yards with a touchdown and interception. He has seen significant action this season and completing 57% for 6.5 yards per pass attempt. Texas St is 6-4 with their 58-3 home victory to Southern Miss. The Bobcats gained 703 yards with 266 rushing for 8.3 yards per run. On defense they held the Golden Eagles to 194 yards with 70 passing on 20 attempts. Jordan McCloud hit 23 of 28 for 335 yards with four touchdowns and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Georgia St in their past three games has been able to move the football through the air with 275 yards passing per game. They have held opponents in this period to 65 yards per pass attempt. The Bobcats have split their past four games and have a -3-turnover margin at home. The Bobcats are 1-4 to the spread at home against losing teams. Play Georgia St +10.
Baylor vs. Houston College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Baylor at Houston 7PM ET—Baylor improved to 6-4 following their 49-35 road win at West Virginia. The Bears gained 512 yards with 183 rushing for 5.4 yards per run. On defense they allowed 499 yards to the Mountaineers with 262 rushing for 5.3 yards per run. Sawyer Robertson completed 26 of 36 for 329 yards with three touchdowns. Houston fell to 4-6 after their 27-3 road defeat to Arizona. The Cougars put up 326 yards with 135 rushing for 4 yards per run. On defense they allowed 337 yards to the Wildcats with 224 passing on 35 attempts. Zeon Chriss hit 16 of 27 for 191 yards and an interception. He rushed for 55 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
Baylor defense has struggled on the road by allowing 35 points per game with 7.2 yards per pass attempt. Quarterback accuracy has been an issue for the Bears on the road with 59.7% completion rate. The Cougars have defended well at home, holding opponents to 17.4 points per game and only 5.5 yards per pass attempt. The Cougars are 5-3 to the spread as a home underdog. Play Houston +8.
Boise St vs. Wyoming College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Boise St at Wyoming 7PM ET—Boise St improved to 9-1 following their 42-21 road win at San Jose St. The Broncos gained 456 yards with 170 rushing for 4.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 483 yards to the Spartans with 446 passing on 50 attempts. Maddux Madsen completed 22 of 30 for 286 yards with a touchdown. He had a rushing touchdown. Wyoming fell to 2-8 after their 24-10 road defeat at Colorado St. The Cowboys put up 237 yards with 117 rushing for 4.3 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 446 yards to the Rams with 248 rushing for 5.6 yards per run. Kaden Anderson went 13 of 30 for 120 yards. He rushed for a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Wyoming offense has shown improvement as in their past three games putting up 28 points per game with 5.3 yards per run and 7.3 yards per pass attempt. But their rush defense has been poor surrendering 7.8 yards per carry. The Broncos are putting up 41 points per game against the Mountain West. Boise St is 8-1 to the over on the road when lined between 56.5 and 63. Wyoming is 6-3 to the over as a home underdog. Gentry will run wild in this game. Play Boise St and Wyoming over 56.5.
Washington St vs. Oregon St College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Washington St at Oregon ST 7PM ET—Washington St fell to 8-2 after their 38-35 road defeat to New Mexico. The Cougars put up 547 yards with 172 rushing for 5.5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 7.3 yards per run. John Mateer went 25 of 36 for 375 yards and four touchdowns. He rushed for 65 yards and a touchdown. Oregon ST fell to 4-6 with their 28-0 road defeat at Air Force. The Beavers put up 175 yards with 69 rushing for 2.9 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 409 yards to the Falcons with 270 rushing for 4.1 yards per run. Ben Gulbranson missed last week’s game with an injury and is questionable here. Gabarri Johnson saw most of the work last week and hit 9 of 19 for 106 yards and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Oregon St quarterback situation is a massive concern. In their past three games they are averaging 6.7 points per game. The running game produces 3.2 yards a carry in this period with inaccurate quarterback play. Washington St passing offense has been efficient on the road with 8.1 yards per pass attempt. Play Washington St -12.5.