Georgia State vs Texas State 11/23/24 Game Information

Georgia State vs Texas State Preview

This Week 13 Sun Belt Conference game sees Georgia State (2-9, 0-6 in Sun Belt) heading to UFCU Stadium (Bobcat Stadium) to face Texas State (6-4, 4-2 in Sun Belt) in a game oddsmakers see as a potential blowout. The Panthers have lost 7 in a row, but just once by more than 20 points (38-7 at James Madison). The last win for Georgia State was against Vanderbilt. Weird. So a winless team in the Sun Belt lost to Vanderbilt who beat No. 10 Alabama who beat No. 12 Georgia who beat No. 3 Texas? This does not compute. The Longhorns rank No. 1 in the ESPN 2024 College Football Power Index while Georgia State checks in at No. 108.

Georgia State Still Looking For First Sun Belt Win

Georgia State (2-7-1 ATS, 4-5-1 O/U) is one of the worst ATS teams in FBS and the Panthers have gone 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 overall, with their only 2 ATS wins in the 2024 season against Appalachian State (by 1/2) and vs Vanderbilt (+8.5) in that aforementioned upset at Home (36-32) on September 14. Since then, it’s been all downhill for Georgia State, both SU and ATS. QB Christian Veilleux (1,557 passing yards, 10 TD, 7 Interceptions), RB Freddie Brock (615 rushing yards, 3 TD), and WR Ted Hurst (779 receiving yards, 9 TD, 17.9 ypc) lead the Panthers offensive attack. Georgia State ranks No. 116 in Scoring Offense with only 20.7 ppg.

Georgia State Betting Trends:

• Georgia State is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 overall
• The Under is 2-0 ATS in the Panthers last 2 games
• Georgia State is 0-5 SU on the Road
• Panthers are 2-9 on the Moneyline in their last 11 (-6.60 Units, -53% ROI)
• Georgia State is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 overall (-3.65 Units, -28% ROI)

Texas State Still Fighting in Sun Belt West Race

Texas State (5-5-0 ATS, 6-4-0 O/U) is getting used to being a big Favorite—the highest Point Spreads for the Bobcats this year have been 33.5 (vs Lamar) and 27.5 (vs Southern Miss)—so this may not be much of a challenge for QB Jordan McCloud (2,370 passing yards, 25 TD, 8 Interceptions), RB Ismail Mahdi (786 rushing yards, 3 TD), and WR Joey Hobert (581 receiving yards, 7 TD) who put 58 points on the scoreboard in Week 12. Currently, the Bobcats sit 1 game behind Louisiana (5-1 in Conference), and have already become Bowl eligible, so the best they can do is win out and hope Louisiana loses 1 of its remaining 2 games, although the Ragin’ Cajuns already beat TSU and would have the edge.

Texas State Betting Trends

• Texas State is 2-0 SU/ATS in its last 2 games
• The Bobcats have alternated 2 ATS W/L’s the last 8 (WWLLWWLL)
• The Over is 2-0 last 2 TSU games after 4 straight Unders
• Texas State is 4-2 SU last 4 meetings, 2-1-1ATS
• The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 series meetings

Georgia State vs Texas State Pick, Prediction

With McCloud and other good WRs like Jaden Williams (553 receiving yards, 6 TD, 13.5 ypc), Kole Wilson (502 receiving yards, 4 TD, 13.9 ypc), and Chris Dawn Jr. (328 receiving yards, 3 TD, 13.1 ypc), this team is explosive and makes it hard for defenses to focus on stopping just one or two players. Texas State is tied at No. 16 in FBS in Scoring Offense with 35.6 ppg, having scored 46 TD heading into this one. This Georgia State vs Texas State prediction and free NCAAF pick puts much credence in how strong the program has become and how prolific it has become offensively. Expect 7 TD here (49 points) to 3 from Georgia State (21) which is a 28-point difference and leaves some cushion with the betting number. And remember, GSU has been a rat ATS this season. This is as much a play against the Panthers as it is a play on the host Bobcats. Meow. The online market currently shows -19.5 to -20.5, so shop around if backing Texas State.

Kevin’s Pick: Texas State -19.5 (BetRivers)