Free College Football Picks Week 13 Part 3-11/23/2024
Georgia Southern vs. Coastal Carolina College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina 3:30PM ET—Georgia Southern fell to 6-4 following their 28-20 home defeat to Troy. The Eagles gained 246 yards with 75 rushing for 3.8 yards per run. On defense they allowed 421 yards to the Trojans with 288 passing on 32 attempts. JC French completed 17 of 28 for 171 yards and an interception. Coastal Carolina moves to 5-5 after their 31-19 road loss at Marshall. The Chanticleers put up 391 yards with 124 rushing for 3.4 yards per run. Defensively they held the Thundering Herd to 244 yards with 35 rushing on 32 attempts. Ethan Vasko went 21 of 39 for 267 yards with a touchdown and pick.
The Pick with the Explanation
Georgia Southern defensive form poor in their past three games by allowing 35 points, 5 yards per run with 76% completions for 9.5 yards per pass attempt. The Chanticleers offensive numbers have been good at home. They hold opposing quarterbacks to 60.8% completions at home. Georgia Southern is 1-5 to the spread on the road following a home game. Coastal Carolina is 4-1 to the spread as a home favorite. Play Coastal Carolina -2.5.
UCF vs. West Virginia College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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UCF at West Virginia 3:30PM ET—UCF drops to 4-6 following their 35-31 road defeat at Arizona St. The Knights gained 406 yards with 177 rushing for 4.8 yards per run. On defense they held the Sun Devils to 260 yards with 99 rushing for 3.1 yards per run. Dylan Rizk completed 24 of 34 for 229 yards and an interception. West Virginia is 5-5 after their 49-35 home defeat to Baylor. The Mountaineers gained 499 yards with 262 rushing for 5.3 yards per run. On defense they allowed 512 yards to the Bears with 329 passing on 36 attempts. Garrett Greene hit 19 of 39 for 237 yards with two touchdowns and a pick. He rushed for 129 yards and two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
Bad weather could be in the forecast with rain. UCF has lost three straight on the road. They have allowed 35 points or greater in three of four Big 12 games. The Mountaineers have rushed and been efficient in the passing game at home. They limit Big 12 teams to 3.9 yards per run. The Mountaineers are one win away from bowl eligibility. Play West Virginia +3.
Colorado vs. Kansas College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Colorado at Kansas 3:30PM ET—Colorado is 8-2 following their 49-24 home victory to Utah. The Buffs gained 405 yards with 65 rushing for 3.3 yards per run. On defense they held the Utes to 272 yards with 31 rushing on 30 carries. Shedeur Sanders completed 30 of 41 for 340 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. Kansas is 4-6 with their 17-13 road win at BYU. The Jayhawks gained 242 yards with 73 rushing for 2.2 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 354 yards to the Cougars with 162 rushing for 4.8 yards per run. Jalon Daniels hit 12 of 19 for 169 yards and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Kansas must win their final two games to become bowl eligible. The Buffs have been one dimensional offensively as the run game has been weak. Kansas offensively in their past three games putting up 30 points per game behind an efficient passing game that averages 9.1 yards per pass attempt. The Jayhawks have covered four straight. They come off back-to-back home wins to Iowa St and Houston averaging 43.5 points per game. Play Kansas +2.5.
Tulsa vs. USF College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Tulsa at USF 3:30PM ET—Tusla fell to 3-7 following their 38-31 home defeat to East Carolina. The Golden Hurricane gained 399 yards with 106 rushing for 2.9 yards per run. On defense they allowed 536 yards to the Pirates with 314 passing on 37 attempts. Cooper Legas completed 20 of 32 for 293 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. USF improved to 5-5 after their 59-24 road win at Charlotte. The Bulls gained 551 yards with 425 rushing for 8.9 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 347 yards to the 49ers with 91 rushing for 2.6 yards per run. Byrum Brown has missed five straight games to injury though practiced this week. Bryce Archie played through an injury in victory. Third string Isreal Carter took some snaps last week and rushed three times. He has thrown one pass in two seasons.
The Pick with the Explanation
Tulsa defense in horrible form the past three games allowing 47 points per game. USF offensive form good in this period as they are averaging 37 points per game with 7 yards per run. Their pass defense has been strong in this three-game span by allowing 49% completion rate. The Golden Hurricane is 1-6 to the spread on the road against AAC teams. Play USF -17.5.
Wisconsin vs. Nebraska College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Wisconsin at Nebraska 3:30PM ET—Wisconsin fell to 5-5 following their 16-13 home defeat to Oregon. The Badgers gained 226 yards with 130 rushing for 3.8 yards per run. On defense they allowed 344 yards to the Ducks with 136 rushing for 3.4 yards per run. Braedyn Locke completed 12 of 28 for 96 yards with a touchdown and pick. Nebraska moved to 5-5 with their 28-20 road defeat to USC. The Cornhuskers put up 310 yards with 119 rushing for 4.8 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 441 yards to the Trojans with 182 rushing for 5.7 yards per run. Dylan Raiola went 27 of 38 for 191 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Badgers defense in poor form in their past three games by allowing 29 points along with 4.9 yards per run and 75% completion rate. The Cornhuskers in this period have been poor in defending the pass by allowing 72% completions for 9.2 yards per pass attempt. Wisconsin is 4-1 to the over as a road underdog. Play Wisconsin and Nebraska over 42.5.
Penn St vs. Minnesota College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Penn St at Minnesota 3:30PM ET—Penn St improved to 9-1 following their 49-10 road win at Purdue. The Nittany Lions gained 539 yards with 234 rushing for 6.9 yards per run. On defense they allowed 302 yards to the Boilermakers with 85 rushing for 3 yards per run. Drew Allar completed 17 of 19 for 247 yards and three touchdowns. Minnesota is 6-4 after their 26-19 road defeat at Rutgers. The Golden Gophers gained 297 yards with 35 rushing for 1.8 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 349 yards to the Scarlet Knights with 109 rushing for 2.9 yards per run. Max Brosmer hit 27 of 45 for 262 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Minnesota has defended well at home, holding opponents to 15 points per game. They are strong pass defenders at home where they have been efficient offensively in the passing game. The Golden Gophers have covered eight of ten. Play Minnesota +11.5.
Northwestern vs. Michigan College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Northwestern at Michigan 3:30PM ET—Northwestern fell to 4-6 following their 31-7 home defeat to Ohio St. The Wildcats gained 251 yards with 50 rushing for 1.7 yards per run. On defense they surrendered 420 yards to the Buckeyes with 247 passing on 24 attempts. Jack Lausch completed 21 of 35 for 201 yards. He rushed for a touchdown. Michigan drops to 5-5 after their 20-15 road defeat at Indiana. The Wolverines put up 206 yards with 59 rushing for 1 yard per run. Defensively they allowed 246 yards to the Hoosiers with 40 rushing on 28 carries. Davis Warren went 16 of 32 for 137 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
Northwestern’s offense has been very poor in their road games. They rush for 3.5 yards a carry with 5.8 yards per pass attempt. The Wildcat’s defense is wearing down as in their past three games allowing 30 points per game with 4.5 yards per run. Michigan has run effectively in conference and defend well. They are 5-1 to the spread at home following a road game. Play Michigan -10.5.
San Diego St vs. Utah St College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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San Diego St at Utah St 3:30PM ET—San Diego St fell to 3-7 following their 41-20 road defeat to UNLV. The Aztecs gained 270 yards with 107 rushing for 3.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 513 yards to the Rebels with 253 rushing for 5.4 yards per run. Danny O’Neil completed 13 of 22 for 162 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. He had a rushing touchdown. Utah St is 3-7 after their 55-10 home win to Hawaii. The Aggies posted 580 yards with 321 rushing for 7.4 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 309 yards to the Warriors with 262 passing on 36 attempts. Spencer Petras hit 20 of 30 for 255 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
In conference the Aggies have defended poorly by surrendering 39 points per game. Opponents rush for 5.7 yards a carry against them in MWC play along with 8.7 yards per pass attempt. The Aggies have failed to cover five of seven. The Aztecs have covered 8 of 11 against the MWC on the road. Play San Diego St +4.
BYU vs. Arizona St College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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BYU at Arizona ST 3:30PM ET— BYU drops to 9-1 following their 17-13 home defeat to Kansas. The Cougars put up 354 yards with 162 rushing for 8.1 yards per rush. On defense they allowed 242 yards to the Jayhawks with 73 rushing for 2.2 yards per run. Jake Retzlaff completed 18 of 28 for 192 yards with a touchdown and interception. Arizona St is 8-2 with their 24-14 road win at Kansas ST. The Sun Devils put up 398 yards with 123 rushing for 3.2 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 412 yards to the Wildcats with 153 rushing for 6.2 yards per run. Sam Leavitt went 21 of 34 for 275 yards and three touchdowns. He rushed for 42 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Cougar’s defense has been outstanding on the road, holding teams to 20 points per game with 3.8 yards per run with only 51% completions allowed. They put up 32 points per game against the
Big 12 behind 4.9 yards a carry and efficient quarterback play. ASU defense in their past three games is allowing 4.8 yards per run. Play BYU +3.
Stanford vs. California College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Stanford at California 3:30PM ET—Stanford improved to 3-7 following their 38-35 home victory to Louisville. The Cardinal gained 416 yards with 83 rushing for 2.2 yards per run. On defense they allowed 412 yards to the Cardinals with 162 rushing for 6.2 yards per run. Ashton Daniels completed 22 of 33 for 298 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. California fell to 5-5 after their 33-25 home defeat to Syracuse. The Golden Bears put up 391 yards with 166 rushing for 7.2 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 471 yards to the Orange with 323 passing on 46 attempts. Fernando Mendoza went 22 of 34 for 225 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
Stanford has been very poor in their road games allowing 43 points with 5.4 yards per run and 272 yards passing for 8.9 yards per pass attempt. The Golden Bears have run for 4.4 yards per run and are efficient in the passing game with 7.9 yards per pass attempt. Stanford is 2-6 to the spread on the road facing teams that average 250 yards passing per game or greater. The Golden Bears are 3-1 to the spread at home against a poor defensive team that allows 5.9 yards per play or greater. Play Cal -14.
Kentucky vs. Texas College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Kentucky at Texas 3:30PM ET—Kentucky improved to 4-6 following their 48-6 home win to Murray St. In their prior game they dropped a 28-18 road defeat at Tennessee. The Wildcats gained 360 yards with 168 rushing for 4.5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 477 yards to the Volunteers with 292 passing on 38 attempts. Brock Vandagriff hit 12 of 19 for 183 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Texas is 9-1 after their 20-10 road win at Arkansas. The Longhorns posted 316 yards with 139 rushing for 3.4 yards per run. On defense they allowed 231 yards to the Razorbacks with 82 rushing for 2.4 yards per run. Quinn Ewers completed 20 of 32 for 176 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
Kentucky offense has performed poorly in their road games as they run for 3.4 yards a carry and complete half of their passes. On the road they surrender 31 points per game with 10.4 yards per pass attempt. The Longhorns offense and defense put up great numbers as they outscored opponents by 31. They are 4-1 to the spread at home when favored by 10.5 to 21 points. Play Texas -20.5.
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma St College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Texas Tech at Oklahoma St 3:30PM ET—Texas Tech is 6-4 following their 41-27 home defeat to Colorado. The Red Raiders put up 388 yards with 113 rushing for 2.5 yards per run. Behren Morton completed 24 of 40 for 275 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Oklahoma ST fell to 3-7 after their 38-13 road defeat to TCU. The Cowboys gained 368 yards with 135 rushing for 3.8 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 468 yards to the Horned Frogs with 293 passing on 37 attempts. Alan Bowman went 19 of 29 for 141 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Red Raiders in their past three games are allowing 33 points per game with 311 yards passing for 8.2 yards per pass attempt. Oklahoma St defense in poor form in this period allowing 39 points a game with 6.5 yards per run and 9.5 yards per pass attempt. The Cowboys are 4-2 to the over at home facing teams that average 425 yards per game or greater. Play Texas Tech and Oklahoma St over 67.