Duke Blue Devils vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 10-8-22

NC State vs Georgia Tech 11/21 NCAAF Week 13 Picks

NC State vs Georgia Tech 11/21/24 Game Information

When: Thursday, November 21, 2024 at 7:30 ET/4:30 PT
Where: Bobby Dodd Stadium (Shaw Legion NXT Synthetic Turf) Atlanta, Georgia
NC State vs GeorgiaTech Line: Georgia Tech -9
Total: 52.5
TV: ESPN

NC State vs Georgia Tech Preview

NC State (5-5, 2-4 in ACC) heads to The Flats to face Georgia Tech (6-4, 4-3 in ACC) in the only College Football game scheduled for Thursday. The Wolfpack are coming in off a Bye week and in their last game, lost 29-19 at Duke. Georgia Tech put a big dent in Miami (Florida’s) dream season drive, upsetting the Hurricanes, 28-23 in Atlanta. Georgia Tech is 20-11 lifetime vs NC State and 11-4 at Home, but the last time these two locked facemasks, NC State defeated the Yellowjackets, 23-13, holding the Wolfpack to just 1 TD.

NC State Needs a Win to Become Bowl Eligible

NC State (2-8-0 ATS, 6-4-0 O/U) has one of the worst ATS records in FBS and have lost 6 of its last 8 to the betting number, The Wolfpack were deemed by some as an underrated team heading into the season, but back-to-back losses to Wake Forest (34-30) and Syracuse (24-17) exposed this team for what it really is…mediocre. NC State’s 5 wins this season have all come to weaker schools: Western Carolina, Louisiana Tech, Northern Illinois, and new ACC members Cal and Stanford. With a win here, the Wolfpack can make themselves Bowl eligible, and with a Week 14 date with rivals North Carolina on November 30 (ACC Network, 3:30 ET) the only game left on the schedule, this may be their best shot at making sure they keep playing in December.

NC State Betting Trends:

  • NC State is 0-4 ATS against “old” ACC teams (STAN, CAL new) 
  • NC State is 4-8 in the First Half Moneyline L12 (-11.30 Units, -49% ROI) 
  • The Wolfpack have only played 2 Road games (CLEM, CAL)
  • The Over is 6-3 in NC State’s last 9 games
  • NC State is 2-4 SU vs GT, 0-2 at Bobby Dodd Stadium

Georgia Tech Should Win, But ATS Cover Tough?

Georgia Tech (5-4-1 ATS, 2-8-0 O/U) is one of the best Under Teams in FBS and with dual-threat QB Haynes King (1,600 passing yards, 9 TD, 1 Interception; 446 rushing yards, 7 TD, 5.4 ypc), RB Jamal Haynes (681 rushing yards, 9 TD, 5.4 ypc), and WR Malik Ritherford (622 receiving yards), this team has some very good skill position players. The Yellowjackets have some wins against some pretty good opponents, beating Duke and Miami (Ohio), and if Georgia Tech could have beaten Notre Dame and Virginia Tech, would be looking at a College Football Playoff (CFP) appearance in the first version ever of this tournament which kicks off on December 20 and concludes on January 20.

Georgia Tech Betting Trends

  • Georgia Tech is 3-2-1 vs NC State in this series
  • The Over is 5-1 in this series with the last meeting the only Under
  • The Under is 8-2 in the last 10 Georgia Tech games 
  • The Under is 3-0 in the last 3 Yellowjackets games
  • Georgia Tech is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 at Home (+4.90 Units, 56% ROI)

NC State vs Georgia Tech Pick and Prediction

This NC State vs Georgia Tech prediction and free NCAAF pick has no confidence in the Trends with such a small sample size and instead looks at the Georgia Tech schedule and margins of victory. The only two teams that the Ramblin’ Wreck of Georgia Tech have beaten by 9 points or more have been VMI (59-7) and Georgia State (35-12). The Keydets (1-10, 1-6 in conference) play in the Southern Conference and the Panthers (2-8, 0-6 in Conference) call the Sun Belt Conference home and these two teams are a combined 3-18. NC State has only lost by 10 or more to three decent schools in Duke, Tennessee, and Clemson, so taking the 9 points and hoping for a close game seems like the safest idea. A win by Georgia Tech doesn’t do much for them while a win by the Wolfpack will lift them above the .500 mark and also qualify them for a Bowl game.

Kevin’s Pick: NC State +9