Free College Football Picks Week 13 Part 2-11/23/2024
UMASS vs. Georgia College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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UMASS at Georgia 12:45PM ET—UMASS fell to 2-8 following their 35-34 home defeat to Liberty. The Minutemen gained 426 yards with 263 rushing for 5.6 yards per run. On defense they allowed 423 yards to the Flames with 309 rushing for 6.4 yards per run. Ahmad Haston hit rushed for 62 yards and a touchdown with no pass attempts. They have been rotating two quarterbacks with the injury to their starter. Georgia improved to 8-2 with their 31-17 home victory to Tennessee. The Bulldogs put up 453 yards with 106 rushing for 3.4 yards per run. On defense they allowed 319 yards with 167 passing on 33 attempts.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Minutemen are going with a passing backup and wildcat formation backup. Can’t imagine the Minutemen scoring more than a field goal against the Bulldogs. Would expect the Bulldogs to keep it on the ground to shorten this game with a huge lead in the second half. The Bulldogs are 6-3 to the under as a home favorite of 31 or greater points. Play UMASS and Georgia under 55.5.
Western Kentucky vs. Liberty College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Western Kentucky at Liberty 1PM ET—Western Kentucky fell to 7-3 following their 12-7 home defeat to Louisiana Tech. The Hilltoppers 215 yards with 63 rushing for 2.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 275 yards to the Bulldogs with 209 rushing for 4.3 yards per run. Caden Veltkamp completed 18 of 26 for 152 yards. Liberty is 7-2 with their 35-34 road win at UMASS. The Flames gained 423 yards with 309 rushing for 6.3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 426 yards to the Minutemen with 263 rushing for 5.6 yards per run. Kaidon Salter hit 9 of 16 for 114 yards and an interception. He rushed for 58 yards and two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
WKU on the road has struggled with their run game and defense. They rush for just 3.2 yards a carry and surrender five yards per run with 9.3 yards per pass attempt. Liberty against the Conference has defended well allowing 22 points per game. They have been balanced against CUSA with 5.6 yards per run and 7.7 yards per pass attempt. The Flames are 3-1 to the spread at home against winning teams. Play Liberty -1.
UTEP vs. Tennessee College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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UTEP at Tennessee—UTEP improved to 2-8 following their 43-35 home victory to Kennesaw St. The Miners gained 453 yards with 120 rushing for 2.7 yards per run. On defense they allowed 300 yards to the Owls with 117 rushing for 2.8 yards per run. Skyler Locklear hit 28 of 33 for 327 yards with four touchdowns. Tennessee fell to 8-2 with their 31-17 road defeat to Georgia. The Volunteers put up 319 yards with 152 rushing for 3.9 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 453 yards to the Bulldogs with 347 passing on 40 attempts. Nico Iamaleava hit 20 of 33 for 167 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
Tennessee pounded teams in the non-conference outscoring three opponents by 191-13. The strength of their offensive and defensive lines will be too much here. They have averaged 64 points per game in their three in the non-conference. Play Tennessee -42.
Bowling Green vs. Ball St College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Bowling Green at Ball St 2PM ET—Bowling Green improved to 6-4 following their 31-13 home victory to Western Michigan. The Falcons gained 402 yards with 226 rushing for 6.8 yards per run. On defense they allowed 292 yards to the Broncos with 97 rushing for 2.7 yards per run. Connor Bazelak completed 15 of 22 for 176 yards and two touchdowns. He rushed for a touchdown. Ball St drops to 7-3 after their 51-48 road defeat at Buffalo. The Cardinals posted 520 yards with 193 rushing for 5.2 yards per run. On defense they allowed 470 yards to the Bulls with 206 rushing for 5 yards per run. Kadin Semonza went 25 of 37 for 327 yards with four touchdowns and an interception. He rushed for 53 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
Bowling Green has defended well in their MAC games by allowing 15.8 points per game. Their offense works on the road with 4.6 yards per run and 7.1 yards per pass attempt. Ball St has struggled defensively in conference allowing 36 points per game, 5.4 yards per run and 7.9 yards per pass attempt. They are putting up 34.5 points a game in conference with 273 yards passing per game with 7.7 yards per pass attempt. Bowling Green is 7-3 to the over on the road following a home game. Play Bowling Green and Ball St over 57.
Rice vs. UAB College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Rice at UAB 2PM ET—Rice is 3-7 following their 27-20 road defeat to Memphis. The Owls gained 367 yards with 121 rushing for 5.3 yards per run. On defense they allowed 366 yards to the Tigers with 207 rushing for 5 yards a carry. EJ Warner completed 29 of 45 for 246 yards with two touchdowns. UAB sits at 2-8 after their 53-18 road defeat at Memphis. The Blazers put up 352 yards with 28 rushing yards on 20 carries. On defense they allowed 526 yards to the Tigers with 299 passing on 34 attempts. Jacob Zeno is questionable with a shoulder injury and has missed the past six games. Jalen Kitna hit 27 of 43 for 253 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
Rice has struggled in their road games putting up 12. Points per game. Their quarterback play has been poor on the road. UAB at home is rushing for 4.9 yards a carry and averaging 7.3 yards per pass attempt. They defended the pass well at home. The Owls have a -8 turnover margin. The Owls are 0-2 to the spread as a road favorite. UAB is 2-0 to the spread facing teams with a .250-to-.400-win rate. Play UAB +6.5.
James Madison vs. Appalachian St College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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James Madison at Appalachian St 2:30PM ET—James Madison is 8-2 this season with their 35-32 road win at Olde Dominion. The Dukes gained 425 yards on the Monarchs with 233 rushing for 4.9 yards per run. On defense they allowed 363 yards to the Monarchs with 174 rushing for 4.7 yards a carry. Alonza Barnett completed 18 of 26 for 192 yards and a touchdown. He rushed for 70 yards and two touchdowns. Appalachian St sits at 4-5 with their 38-24 road defeat to Coastal Carolina. The Mountaineers posted 376 yards with 150 rushing for 3.8 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 353 yards to the Chanticleers with 203 rushing for 5 yards a carry. Joey Aguilar went 17 of 31 for 226 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
James Madison has defended well in conference the run and pass as they allowed 18.3 points per game. Their passing game on offense has not been efficient in Sun Belt play. App St has issues with accurate quarterback play in conference with only 55.3% completion rate. App St is 3-0 at home to the under against teams that average 4.75 yards per carry or greater. JMU has gone under in five of six behind great defensive play. Play James Madison and Appalachian St under 60.5.
New Mexico St vs. Middle Tennessee St College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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New Mexico St at Middle Tennessee St 2:30PM ET—New Mexico St fell to 2-8 following their 38-3 road defeat at Texas A&M. NMSU gained 214 yards with 122 rushing for 3.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 565 yards to the Aggies with 356 passing on 43 attempts. Santino Marucci completed 6 of 19 passes for 80 yards. Middle Tennessee St drops to 3-7 after their 37-17 home defeat to Liberty. The Blue Raiders gained 351 yards with 88 rushing for 3.4 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 500 yards to the Flames with 339 rushing for 6.8 yards per run. Nicholas Vattiato hit 22 of 33 for 263 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Blue Raiders defense has been very poor against CUSA allowing 5.5 yards per run with 8.5% yards per pass attempt. They have struggled with the running attack in conference. The Aggies run game in good form the past three games by averaging 4.9 yards per rush. NMSU is 4-1 to the spread on the road. facing teams that allow 4.75 yards per run or greater. The Blue Raiders are 6-10 to the spread at home. Play New Mexico St +3.5.
Charlotte vs. FAU College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Charlotte at FAU 3PM ET—Charlotte is 3-7 after their 59-29 home defeat to USF. The 49ers gained 347 yards with 91 rushing for 2.6 yards per run. On defense they allowed 551 yards to the Bulls with 8.9 yards per run. Deshawn Purdie completed 17 of 39 for 256 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. FAU moves to 2-8 after their 18-15 road defeat at Temple. The FAU Owls posted 317 yards with 123 rushing for 4 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 348 yards to Temple with 130 rushing for 3.3 yards per run. Tyriq Starks hit 8 of 13 for 71 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
Charlotte offense has been poor on the road with 3.7 yards per run and completing just over half of their passes. They have struggled with both running and passing defense on the road. FAU in their home games rush for 4.9 yards a carry with 7.9 yards per pass attempt. The Owls pass defense has been very good at home holding opponents to 53.4% completions. Play FAU +3.
FIU vs. Kennesaw ST College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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FIU at Kennesaw St 3PM ET—FIU fell to 3-7 following their 34-31 road defeat to Jacksonville St. The Panthers gained 431 yards with 173 rushing for 5.1 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 345 yards to the Gamecocks with 234 rushing for 5 yards per run. Keyone Jenkins completed 21 of 34 for 258 yards with two touchdowns. Kennesaw St drops to 1-9 with their 23-17 home defeat to Sam Houston St. The Owls produced 243 yards with 106 rushing for three yards a carry. On defense they allowed 381 yards to the Bearkats with 203 rushing for 4.7 yards per carry. Davis Bryson hit 16 of 24 for 137 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
FIU has been able to average 7.8 yards per pass attempt in their CUSA games. It has been a struggle for the Panthers to defend on the road where they allow 33 points per game. The Owls have defended poor against conference foes allowing 33 points per game. They are putting up 22 points per game in their past three games. Play FIU and Kennesaw St over 44.
Arizona vs. TCU College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Arizona at TCU 3PM ET—Arizona improved to 4-6 following their 27-3 home victory to Houston. The Wildcats put up 337 yards with 113 rushing for 3.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 326 yards to the Cougars with 135 rushing for 4 yards per run. Noah Fifita completed 20 of 35 for 224 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. TCU improved to 6-4 with their 38-13 home victory to Oklahoma St. The Horned Frogs put up 468 yards with 175 rushing for 6.3 yards per run. On defense they allowed 368 yards to the Cowboys with 135 rushing for 3.8 yards per run. Josh Hoover hit 26 of 35 for 286 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Horned Frogs in their past three games are allowing 28 points per game. Their offensive numbers have been good in this period. The Wildcats have been able move the football through the air in the Big 12 with 246 yards per game. Arizona is 3-0 to the spread as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. The Horned Frogs have failed to cover seven of ten games and just 1-4 to the spread at home. Play Arizona +12.
South Alabama vs. Southern Miss College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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South Alabama at Southern Miss 3PM ET—South Alabama improved to 5-5 following their 24-22 road win at Louisiana. The Jaguars produced 353 yards with 68 rushing for 2.3 yards per run. On defense they allowed 393 yards to the Ragin Cajuns with 276 passing on 30 attempts. Gio Lopez completed 24 of 34 for 285 yards and an interception. He rushed for two touchdowns. Southern Miss drops to 1-9 after their 58-3 road defeat to Texas St. The Golden Eagles gained 194 yards with 124 rushing for 2.5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 703 yards to the Bobcats with 437 passing on 34 attempts. Ethan Crawford went 3 of 5 for seven yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
Bowl eligibility with a win for the Jaguars. Southern Miss was in horrible form allowing 42.3 points per game in their past three games by allowing 6 yards per run with 10 yards per pass attempt. The offensive numbers were also bad with 2.8 yards per run and 35% pass completions. South Alabama put up 87 on an FCS team this year. Play South Alabama -22.
UL Monroe vs. Arkansas St College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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UL Monroe at Arkansas St—UL Monroe fell to 5-5 following their 48-14 road defeat at Auburn. The Warhawks gained 218 yards with 64 rushing for 1.8 yards per run. On defense they allowed 507 yards to the Tigers with 304 passing on 37 attempts. Aidan Armenta completed 8 of 15 for 89 yards. Arkansas St improved to 6-4 with their 27-20 road win at Georgia St. The Redwolves put up 358 yards with 261 rushing for 5.3 yards per run. On defense they allowed 411 yards to the Panthers with 346 passing on 49 attempts. Jaylen Raynor went 10 of 17 for 97 yards. He rushed for 114 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Warhawks are a win away from bowl eligibility. They have run the ball effectively against the conference and averaged 7.3 yards per pass attempt. UL Monroe has been strong defending the pass against the conference allowing 49% completions. The Redwolves form the past three games is poor by allowing 35 points per game, 5.4 yards per rush and 317 yards passing per game for 8.3 yards per pass attempt. The Warhawks are 5-1 to the spread on the road against winning teams. Play UL Monroe +3.