Purdue vs Michigan State 11/22/24 Game Information

Purdue vs Michigan State Preview

Michigan State (4-6, 2-5 in Big Ten) welcomes Purdue (1-9, 0-7 in Big Ten) to town on Black Friday night for this Big Ten Conference game between two teams who were hoping for much better seasons. The Spartans come in losers of 3 straight (ILL, IND, MICH) while the Boilermakers have now lost 9 in a row after getting pasted by Penn State in Week 12 in a NCAAF handicap we nailed for you here at Tony’s Picks. Purdue’s only win this season came to Missouri Valley Conference members Indiana State in the season opener at West Lafayette. Purdue won this meeting last year, 40-29 in West Lafayette but it was the Boilermakers first victory over Purdue in 9 tries.

Purdue Just Waiting for the 2024 Season to End

Purdue (2-7-0 ATS, 5-4-0 O/U) is one of the worst ATS teams in FBS and have now lost 4 in a row ATS. The Boilermakers are led by QB Hudson Card (1,264 passing yards, 8 TD, 5 Interceptions), RB Devin Mockobee (652 rushing yards, 3 TD), and TE Max Klare (566 receiving yards, 3 TD) and rank tied for 128th in the country in scoring Offense (17.2 ppg) and have scored just 21 TDs, easily the worst metric in the Big Ten where they sit in 18th place of 18 teams. Remember when the Big Ten actually had 10 teams? After this date with Sparty, Purdue hosts state rivals and unbeaten Indiana on Saturday, November 30 in the battle of the Old Oaken Bucket in a game that we will preview for you here.

Purdue Betting Trends:

• Purdue is 1-8 SU in the last 9 series meetings, winning last year
• Boilermakers L2 SU Wins came vs Hoosier State schools (ISU, IU)
• Purdue is 6-16 ATS (27.3%) over the last 2 FBS seasons
• The Boilermakers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall 
• Purdue is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games

Michigan State Has Been Own Worst Enemy This Season

Michigan State (6-3-1 ATS, 5-5-0 O/U) has been a moneymaker in the sportsbooks but a bust on the football field, but with a win here and a win in Week 15 vs Rutgers (Nov 30), can qualify for a Bowl appearance but the Scarlet Knights (6-4 overall) and are no pushovers and the game will be played in New Jersey. The Spartans are led by QB Aidan Chiles (2,106 yards, 10 TD, 11 Interceptions), RB Kay’Ron Lynch-Adams (495 rushing yards, 2 TD), and WR Nick Marsh (611 receiving yards, 3 TD), but have been TO prone and rank No. 120 in Turnover Margin, averaging 0.90 Turnovers per game, so ball security has been a big issue in East Lansing. No ball, no points. No points, no good.

Michigan State Betting Trends

• Michigan State 1-5 ATS in its last 6 in this series, 3-6-1 L10 
• The Spartans are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games
• 4 of the last 5 games in this series at MSU have gone Under (38.6 ppg)
• The Spartans are 1-4 ATS at Home in their last 5
• MSU’s only Home ATS cover came vs Iowa (+6.5, W 32-20)

Purdue vs Michigan State Pick and Prediction

With the last 4 Unders in this series at Spartan Stadium seeing just 36, 45, 14, and 32 points (29.3 ppg), this Week 13 Big Ten game and free NCAAF pick will look to the Totals market and bank on a low-scoring (and boring) slog in Ingham County. On Friday night, the East Lansing Weather forecast currently calls for nippy Temperatures from 41° (7 pm) to 40° (10 pm) with Rainy conditions and 11-12 mph Winds. So, crappy. Our Purdue vs Michigan State prediction will look to back the Under Trend at MSU, a TO-prone Spartans side, a weak Purdue scoring team, and this nasty Weather and take the Under. Make sure to shop around for the best number as the Totals range here right now (Monday morning) is from 47.5 to 48.5. 

Kevin’s Pick: Under 48.5 (BetRivers)