Free College Football Picks Week 13 Part 1-11/23/2024
SMU vs. Virginia College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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SMU at Virginia 12PM ET—SMU improved to 9-1 following their 38-28 home victory to Boston College. The Mustangs gained 438 yards with 140 rushing for 4.7 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 417 yards to the Eagles with 180 rushing for 4.2 yards a carry. Kevin Jennings completed 24 of 35 for 298 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. Virginia sits at 5-5 after their 35-14 road defeat at Notre Dame. The Cavs put up 300 yards with 128 rushing for 4 yards per carry. On defense they allowed 448 yards with 234 rushing for 6.2 yards per run. Anthony Colandrea went 8 of 21 for 69 yards and three interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
Virginia has defended well at home by allowing 3.7 yards per run with 64% completion rate and 24 points a game. They pass for 269 yards with 7.6 yards per pass attempt at home. The Cavs have covered six of seven. Three of the four road games for SMU have resulted in one possession win. Virginia is 3-0 to the spread at home as an underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. Play Virginia +9.5.
Sam Houston St vs. Jacksonville St College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Sam Houston St at Jacksonville St 12PM ET—Sam Houston St improved to 8-2 following their 23-17 road win at Kennesaw St. The Bearkats gained 382 yards with 203 rushing for 4.7 yards a carry. On defense they held the Owls to 243 yards with 137 passing on 24 attempts. Hunter Watson hit 22 of 32 for 179 yards and an interception. He rushed for 62 yards and two touchdowns. Jacksonville St is 7-3 after their 34-31 home win to FIU. The Gamecocks put up 445 yards with 234 rushing for 5 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 431 yards to the Panthers with 258 passing on 34 attempts. Tyler Huff hit 15 of 28 for 211 yards and a touchdown. He rushed for 76 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Sam Houston has defended well against CUSA by allowing 15 points per game with 3.1 yards per run and 5.6 yards per pass attempt. The Bearkats are a high-volume rushing team that averages 4.5 yards a carry in conference. Jacksonville St in their past three conference games is allowing 197 yards rushing for 4.3 yards per run along with 8.3 yards per pass attempt. In this period, they are completing just half of their passes. The Bearkats are 6-3 to the spread as a road underdog. Play Sam Houston St +6.
Wake Forest vs. Miami College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Wake Forest at Miami 12PM ET—Wake Forest is 4-6 following their 31-24 road defeat to North Carolina. The Demon Deacons gained 354 yards with 114 rushing for 3.6 yards per run. On defense they allowed 362 yards to the Tar Heels with 230 rushing for 4.3 yards per run. Hank Bachmeier completed 10 of 14 for 68 yards. Miami fell to 9-1 after their 28-23 road defeat at Georgia Tech. The Hurricanes put up 436 yards with 88 rushing for 3.7 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 370 yards to the Yellow Jackets with 271 rushing for 5.6 yards a carry. Cam Ward completed 25 of 39 for 348 yards and three touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
Wake Forest has struggled offensively on the road as they rush for 3.7 yards a carry with poor quarterback accuracy. They have defended well on the road by allowing 3.6 yards per run with 6.2 yards per pass attempt. Miami has good offensive numbers against the conference. They are holding ACC teams to 55.6% completion rate. The Demon Deacons are 8-2 to the under on the road on grass fields. Play Wake Forest and Miami under 64.5.
North Carolina vs. Boston College College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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North Carolina at Boston College 12PM ET—North Carolina improved to 6-4 following their 31-24 home victory to Wake Forest. The Tar Heels gained 362 yards with 230 rushing for 4.3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 354 yards to the Demon Deacons with 114 rushing for 3.6 yards a carry. Jacolby Criswell completed 14 of 22 for 132 yards with a touchdown. He rushed for a touchdown. Boston College is 5-5 with their 38-28 road defeat at SMU. The Eagles gained 417 yards with 180 rushing for 4.2 yards per run. On defense they allowed 438 yards to the Mustangs with 298 passing on 35 attempts. Grayson James hit 18 of 32 for 237 yards with a touchdown and pick. He rushed for a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
BC has defended well at home by allowing 3 yards per run with 60.7% completions and 20.2 points per game. In ACC play they average 4.3 yards per run with 7.1 yards per pass attempt. North Carolina in their road games rush for 4.1 yards a carry with 61% completion rate. The Tar Heels are 2-4 to the spread as a road favorite. BC is 5-3 to the spread as a home underdog. Play Boston College +3.5.
Mississippi vs. Florida College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Ole Miss at Florida 12PM ET—Ole Miss improved to 8-2 after their 28-10 home victory to Georgia. The Rebels gained 397 yards with 134 rushing for 37 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 245 yards to the Bulldogs with 59 rushing on 33 carries. Jaxson Dart went 13 of 22 for 199 yards with a touchdown and interception. He rushed for 50 yards. Florida improved to 5-5 with their 27-16 home victory to LSU. The Gators put up 339 yards with 113 rushing for 6.6 yards per run. On defense they allowed 392 yards to the Tigers with 262 passing on 48 attempts. DJ Lagway hit 13 of 26 for 226 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Ole Miss in their past three games has allowed 70% completion rate with 8.1 yards per pass attempt. They rush for only 3.1 yards a carry in this period. Florida at home puts up 30.2 points per game with 63% completions for 10.4 yards per pass attempt. Their defense at home limits foes to 3.7 yards per run with 59% completions. They covered six of seven. The Rebels are 2-4 to the spread on the road against offenses that average 5.9 yards per pass attempt. Florida is 5-3 to the spread as a home underdog. Play Florida +10.
Connecticut vs. Syracuse College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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UCONN at Syracuse 12PM ET—UCONN improved to 7-3 following their 31-23 road win at UAB. The Huskies gained 365 yards with 189 rushing for 4.7 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 403 yards to the Blazers with 170 rushing for 5.2 yards per run. Nick Evers is questionable with a leg injury. He completed 15 of 24 for 104 yards and a pick. Joe Fagnano relieved and hit 5 of 12 for 72 yards and two touchdowns. Fagnono is a senior who has seen action in seven games this year. Syracuse is 7-3 after their 33-25 road win at California. The Orange put up 471 yards with 148 rushing for 3.9 yards per carry. Defensively they allowed 391 yards to the Golden Bears with 166 rushing for 7.2 yards a carry. Kyle McCord hit 29 of 46 for 323 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Fagnano was a transfer last year who lost his starting job to Evers. He was ineffective before getting a shoulder injury last year. The Huskies offense has struggled on the road this year with 4.3 yards per run with a 49% completion rate. Defensively on the road they allow 294 yards passing with 7.2 yards per pass attempt. The Orange offense in their past three games is putting up 41 points per game with 375 yards passing for 7.3 yards per pass attempt. Play Syracuse -10.5.
Iowa vs. Maryland College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Iowa at Maryland 12PM ET—Iowa fell to 6-4 following their 20-17 road win at UCLA. The Hawkeyes gained 265 yards with 80 rushing for 2.6 yards per run. On defense they allowed 415 yards to the Bruins with 211 rushing for 5.4 yards per run. Cade McNamara expected to start. McNamara completed 60% of his passes this year for 5.9 yards per pass attempt. Maryland drops to 4-6 after their 31-17 home defeat to Rutgers. The Terrapins 457 yards with 122 rushing for 4.9 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 370 yards to the Scarlet Knights with 238 passing on 30 attempts. Billy Edwards hit 32 of 55 for 335 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Iowa has struggled on the road putting up 18.8 points per game with inaccuracy at the quarterback position. Defensively on the road the Hawkeyes allow 5 yards per run with 68% completions. Maryland defense at home holds opponents to 3.1 yards per run with 58.1% completions. The Terrapins are passing for 296 yards against the conference. Play Maryland +7.
Indiana vs. Ohio St College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Indiana at Ohio 12PM ET—Indiana is 10-0 following their 20-15 home victory to Michigan. The Hoosiers gained 246 yards with 40 rushing on 28 carries. On defense they held the Wolverines to 206 yards with 137 passing on 32 attempts. Kurtis Rourke completed 17 of 28 for 206 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Ohio St is 9-1 with their 31-7 road win at Northwestern. The Buckeyes put up 420 yards with 173 rushing for 5.2 yards per rush. Defensively they limited the Wildcats to 251 yards with 50 rushing on 30 attempts. Will Howard went 15 of 24 for 247 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
Indiana on the road rushes for 4.1 yards a carry and gets efficient quarterback play with 73% completions for 10 yards per pass attempt. On defense on the road, they limit foes to 1.9 yards per attempt. The Buckeyes numbers offensively and defensively in conference has been good. The Buckeyes have played to one possessions outcome against Penn St, Nebraska and Oregon. The rest of their opponents were weaker teams. Play Indiana +13.
Illinois vs. Rutgers College Football Pick Prediction 11/23/2024
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Illinois at Rutgers 12PM ET—Illinois improved to 7-3 after their 38-16 home victory to Michigan St. The Fighting Illini gained 369 yards with 136 rushing for 4.5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 345 yards to the Spartans with 87 rushing for 3.1 yards per run. Luke Altmyer completed 19 of 32 for 231 yards with two touchdowns. Rutgers is 6-4 after their 31-17 road win at Maryland. The Scarlet Knights gained 470 yards with 132 rushing for 3.6 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 457 yards to the Terrapins with 335 passing on 57 attempts. Athan Kaliakmanis went 20 of 30 for 238 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Fighting Illini in their road games has struggled offensively with 15.7 points per game with 3.2 yards per run. Their pass defense has been poor away from home with 70% completions for 8.7 yards per pass attempt. The Scarlet Knights in their past three games throw 264 yards for 7.2 yards per pass attempt. Rutgers is 7-4 to the spread as a home favorite. Play Rutgers -1.