Free NFL Picks For Today 11/17/2024
Indianapolis Colts vs. NY Jets NFL Pick Prediction 11/17/2024
Colts at Jets Injuries
Indianapolis left tackle is out. On defense a linebacker is questionable. NY receiver Adams is questionable with left tackle out. On defense a linebacker is out. The Jets have a slight injury advantage based on Dr Chao injury ratings. The lowest rated unit is the Colts offense with a 80.4 health rating.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Colts at Jets 1PM ET—Indianapolis fell to 4-6 following their 30-20 home defeat to Buffalo. The Colts gained 361 yards with 121 rushing for 5.5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 415 yards to the Bills with 280 passing on 37 attempts. Anthony Richardson returns as starting quarterback. He completes 44.4% of his passes this year with 7.2 yards per pass attempt. NY fell to 3-7 after their 31-6 road defeat at Arizona. The Jets put up 207 yards with 79 rushing for 4.6 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 406 yards to the Cardinals with 259 passing on 24 attempts.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Jets offensive form is poor as in their past three games averaging 16 points with 4.4 yards per run and 5.7 yards per pass attempt. Indy is rushing for 5 yards a carry on the ground. On the road they hold opponents to 22.8 points per game. The Colts are 6-1 to the spread on the road against losing teams. NY is 1-7 to the spread at home against losing teams. Play Indianapolis +4.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Pick Prediction 11/17/2024
Vikings at Titans Injuries
Minnesota has healthy starters on both sides of the football. Tennessee right tackle is out and a corner on defense is out. Minnesota has a clear injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings. The Vikings have health ratings of 91.8 on offense and defense and a sizable advantage on both units.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Vikings at Titans 1PM ET—Minnesota improved to 7-2 after their 12-7 road win at Jacksonville. The Vikings gained 402 yards with 169 rushing for 3.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 143 yards to the Jaguars with 87 passing on 22 attempts. Sam Darnold completed 24 of 38 for 241 yards and three interceptions. Tennessee drops to 2-7 with their 27-17 road defeat at LA Chargers. The Titans put up 289 yards with 132 rushing for 6.3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 309 yards to the Chargers with 164 passing on 18 attempts. Will Levis went 18 of 23 for 175 yards and two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
Minnesota on the road holds opponents to 3.5 yards per run with 5.5 yards per pass attempt. On offense the team is completing 65% with 7.3 yards per pass attempt away from home. Tennessee defense in their past three games is allowing 5 yards per run, 74% completions with 32 points per game. The Vikings are 4-1 to the spread on the road against the AFC. Tennessee is 0-5 to the spread at home facing teams that average 5.65 yards per play or greater. Play Minnesota -6.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Pick Prediction 11/17/2024
Ravens at Steelers Injuries
Baltimore starters on offense are healthy. On defense a nose tackle is questionable. Pittsburgh offensive starters are healthy with a linebacker out. Baltimore has a slight injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. Both teams have high health ratings.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Ravens at Steelers 1PM ET—Baltimore improved to 7-3 following their 35-34 home victory to Cincinnati. The Ravens gained 389 yards with 99 rushing for nearly four yards per run. On defense they allowed 470 yards to the Bengals with 421 passing on 56 attempts. Lamar Jackson hit 25 of 33 for 290 yards with four touchdowns. Pittsburgh is 7-2 after their 28-27 road win at Washington. The Steelers put up 312 yards with 140 rushing for 3.3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 242 yards to the Commanders with 60 rushing for 2.7 yards a carry. Russell Wilson went 14 of 28 for 195 yards with three touchdowns and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Ravens on the road have put up good numbers on offensive. It is the pass defense on the road that is the issue as they surrender 338 yards per game with 8.3 yards per pass attempt. The Steelers in their past three games are averaging 30 points per game with 8 yards per pass attempt. The defense in this period is allowing 4.4 yards per run with only 58.6% completions for 6.2 yards per pass attempt. Play Pittsburgh +3.5.
Cleveland Browns vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Pick Prediction 11/17/2024
Browns at Saints Injuries
Cleveland starters on offense and defense are healthy. New Orleans receiver Wilson is questionable with a center is out. On defense a linebacker and corner are questionable. Cleveland has a clear injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings. It is clear for both units.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Browns at Saints 1PM ET– Cleveland fell to 2-7 following their 27-10 home defeat to LA Chargers. The Browns gained 292 yards with 79 rushing for 3.3 yards per run. On defense, they allowed 340 yards to the Chargers with 246 passing on 27 attempts. Jameis Winston completed 26 of 48 for 235 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions. New Orleans improved to 3-7 with their 20-17 home victory to Atlanta. The Saints put up 365 yards with 96 rushing for 3.6 yards per run. On defense they allowed 468 yards to the Falcons with 287 passing on 38 attempts. Derek Carr went 16 of 25 for 269 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Cleveland defense on the road is allowing 5.1 yards per run with 7.4 yards per pass attempt. New Orleans in this period is rushing for 4.6 yards a carry with 7.6 yards per pass attempt. The Saints are 3-0 to the spread at home facing teams that average 17 points per game or fewer. Play New Orleans +1.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Detroit Lions NFL Pick Prediction 11/17/2024
Jaguars at Lions Injuries
Quarterback Trevor Lawrence is out, and a left guard is questionable for Jacksonville. Their defensive starters are healthy. Detroit tight end Sam LaPorta is out. Their defensive starters are healthy but have two edge rushers on the IR. Jacksonville has a slight injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings. The Lions offense and Jaguars defense have a significant health ratings advantage.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Jaguars at Lions 1PM ET—Jacksonville is 2-8 following their 12-7 home defeat to Minnesota. The Jaguars gained 143 yards with 56 rushing for 3.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 402 yards to the Vikings with 169 rushing for 3.9 yards a carry. Mac Jones hit 14 of 22 for 111 yards and two interceptions. Detroit improved to 8-1 following their 26-23 road win at Houston. The Lions put up 345 yards with 105 rushing for 3.3 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 248 yards to the Texans with 56 rushing for two yards per run. Jared Goff went 15 of 30 for 240 yards with two touchdowns and five interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
Detroit is averaging 39 points per game against the AFC behind 4.8 yards per run. They are surrendering 18.5 points per game in those contests. In their home games the Lions are averaging 71% completions for 7 yards per pass attempt. Jacksonville on the road is surrendering 71.2% completions for 8.1 yards per pass attempt. Jacksonville is 7-1 to the over on the road on field turf. Detroit is 6-0 to the over at home facing teams that allow 7 yards per pass attempt or greater. Play Jacksonville and Detroit over 47.
Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears NFL Pick Prediction 11/17/2024
Packers at Bears Injuries
Green Bay starters on offense are healthy. On defense a corner and safety are questionable. Chicago starters on offense are healthy. On defense an end is questionable. Green Bay has an injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. Both teams have high health ratings on both units.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Packers at Bears 1PM ET—Green Bay fell to 6-3 following their 24-14 home defeat to Detroit. The Packers gained 421 yards with 138 rushing for 6 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 261 yards to the Lions with 124 rushing for 3.9 yards a carry. Jordan Love completed 23 of 39 for 273 yards and an interception. Chicago is 4-5 with their 19-3 home defeat to New England. The Bears put up 142 yards with 73 rushing for 3.7 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 328 yards to the Patriots with 144 rushing for 4.1 yards per run. Caleb Williams hit 16 of 30 for 120 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
Green Bay in their road games rush for 5.1 yards per attempt but only 58.9% pass completions. Defensively in these away games they are allowed 251 yards passing for 6.9 yards per pass attempt. Chicago in their home games limit opponents to 16 points per game with 5.5 yards per pass attempt. The Bears have outscored opponents by 5.8 points per game at home. Green Bay is 1-6 to the spread on the road when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points. Play Chicago +5.5.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Pick Prediction 11/17/2024
Raiders at Dolphins Injuries
Las Vegas left guard and center are out. On defense a nickel back is out. Miami fullback with left tackle and left guard are questionable. On defense a corner is out.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Raiders at Dolphins 1PM ET—Las Vegas is 2-7 following their 41-24 road defeat to Cincinnati. The Raiders gained 217 yards with 60 rushing for 3.9 yards per run. On defense they allowed 373 yards to the Bengals with 243 passing on 39 attempts. Gardner Minshew completed 10 of 17 for 124 yards. Miami improved to 3-6 with their 23-15 road win at LA Rams. The Dolphins put up 238 yards with 67 rushing for three yards a carry. On defense they allowed 327 yards to the Rams with 257 passing on 46 attempts. Tua completed 20 of 28 for 207 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Raiders off the bye and a short week with long plane ride from LA after a Monday night game. The Raiders defense in their past three games allow 3.7 yards per run with 6.4 yards per pass attempt. Miami is getting outscored by 9.5 points at home where they put up 17.3 points per game. The Dolphins defense at home allows 65% completions for 7.1 yards per pass attempt. Las Vegas is 9-7 to the spread as a road underdog. Play Las Vegas +7.5.
LA Rams vs. New England Patriots NFL Pick Prediction 11/17/2024
Rams at Patriots Injuries
LA right tackle is out. On defense a linebacker and corner are questionable. New England left tackle is questionable. On defense an end, linebacker and both safeties are questionable. LA has a slight injury advantage based on the Chao injury ratings. The healthiest unit is the Rams offense with a health score of 85.7.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Rams at Patriots 1PM ET—LA is 4-5 following their 23-15 home defeat to Miami. The Rams gained 327 yards with 70 rushing for 3.9 yards per run. On defense they allowed 238 yards to the Dolphins with 67 rushing for three yards a carry. Matthew Stafford completed 32 of 46 for 293 yards with an interception. New England improved to 3-7 with their 19-3 road win at Chicago. The Patriots put up 328 yards with 144 rushing for 4.1 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 142 yards to the Bears with 69 passing on 30 attempts. Drake Maye went 15 of 25 for 184 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
The weather will be good for fall in New England. The Rams offense is struggling in their past three games with 3.3 yards per run with 6.7 yards per pass attempt. The Rams pass defense has not been good in this period by allowing 68% completions for 8 yards per pass attempt. The Patriots defense in great form in this span by allowing 15 points with 5.8 yards per pass attempt. LA is 0-6 to the spread on the road facing teams with a .250-to-.400-win percentage. Play New England +4.5.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Denver Broncos NFL Pick Prediction 11/17/2024
Falcons at Broncos Injuries
The Atlanta fullback is out. On defense a corner and nickel back are out. Denver starters on offense are healthy. On defense a safety is questionable. Denver has a slight injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. Both teams have high health ratings. The lowest rating is the Falcons defense at 82.5.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Falcons at Broncos 4PM ET—Atlanta is 6-4 following their 20-17 road defeat at New Orleans. The Falcons put up 468 yards with 181 rushing for 5.7 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 365 yards to the Saints with 289 passing on 25 attempts. Kirk Cousins completed 23 of 38 for 306 yards and an interception. Denver is 5-5 with their 16-14 road defeat at Kansas City. The Broncos put up 260 yards with 78 rushing for 3.4 yards per run. On defense they held the Chiefs to 300 yards with 57 rushing for three yards per run. Bo Nix went 22 of 30 for 215 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Falcons in their road games are rushing for 5.2 yards a carry with 68% completions for 8 yards per pass attempt. Defensively on the road they allowed 22 points per game with 4.5 yards a carry. Denver at home puts up 21 points with 4 yards per run and 6.8 yards per pass attempt. In their past three games the Broncos defense allowed 69% completions for 7.3 yards per pass attempt. Denver is 6-9 to the spread as a home favorite. Play Atlanta +2.5.
Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Pick Prediction 11/17/2024
Seahawks at 49ers Injuries
Seattle tight end is out with their defensive starters healthy. San Francisco tight end plus left tackle and left guard are questionable. On defense an end is questionable, and corner is out. Seattle has a clear injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings. Both units on Seattle have health ratings over 90.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Seahawks at 49ers 1PM ET—Seattle fell to 4-5 following their 26-20 home defeat to LA Rams. The Seahawks gained 414 yards with 107 rushing for 3.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 366 yards to the Rams with 298 passing on 44 attempts. Geno Smith completed 21 of 34 for 363 yards with three touchdowns and three interceptions. San Francisco is 5-4 with their 23-20 road win at Tampa Bay. The 49ers put up 413 yards with 75 rushing for 3.4 yards per run. On defense they held the Bucs to 215 yards with 105 passing on 29 attempts. Brock Purdy hit 25 of 36 for 353 yards and two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
Seahawks come off the bye. Seattle on the road puts up 28.7 points per game behind 4.4 yards per run and 70% completions for 7.2 yards per pa ss attempt. On defense away from home they allow 4.8 yards per run with 7.7 yards per pass attempt. San Francisco at home rushes for 5.2 yards a carry with 59.5% completions rate. Their defense in their past three games is allowing 24 points per game. The 49ers are 2-6 to the spread at home facing a team that averages 7 yards per pass attempt or greater. Play Seattle +6.5.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Pick Prediction 11/17/2024
Chiefs at Bills Injuries
Kansas City has healthy starters on offense and defense. Buffalo receiver Coleman and tight end Kincaid are out. Receiver Cooper and their right tackle is questionable. Their defensive starters are healthy. Buffalo has a slight injury advantage based on Dr. Chao ratings. KC does have impact playmakers on IR that have since been replaced by new starters.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Chiefs at Bills 4:25PM ET—KC is 9-0 following their 16-14 home win to Denver. The Chiefs gained 300 yards with 57 rushing for three yards a carry. On defense they held the Broncos to 260 yards with 78 rushing for 3.4 yards per run. Patrick Mahomes completed 28 of 42 for 266 yards with a touchdown. Buffalo is 8-2 after their 30-20 road win at Indianapolis. The Bills gained 415 yards with 135 rushing for 4.4 yards per run. On defense they allowed 361 yards to the Colts with 240 passing on 35 attempts. Josh Allen went 22 of 37 for 280 yards with two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Buffalo offense in their past three games are running for 4.7 yards a carry with 7.2 yards per pass attempt. On defense the Bills defense allows 78% completions for 7.2 yards per pass attempt. The KC defense on the road allows 2.9 yards per run with 65.8% completions and 16.3 points per game. KC is 8-0 to the spread as a road underdog the past three seasons. The Bills are 4-6 to the spread as a home favorite. Play KC +2.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. LA Chargers NFL Pick Prediction 11/17/2024
Bengals at Chargers Injuries
Cincinnati left tackle is questionable. On defense a right tackle and right end are questionable. LA starters on offense are healthy. On defense a linebacker is questionable. There is no clear injury advantage in this game based on the Chao ratings.
Recent Box Score Key Stats
Bengals at Chargers 8:20PM ET—Cincinnati is 4-6 following their 35-34 road defat at Baltimore. The Bengals gained 470 yards with 49 rushing on 16 carries. On defense they allowed 398 yards to the Ravens with 290 passing on 33 attempts. Joe Burrow completed 34 of 56 for 428 yards with four touchdowns. LA improved to 6-3 with their 27-17 home victory to Tennessee. The Chargers produced 309 yards with 145 rushing for 3.7 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 289 yards to the Titans with 132 rushing for 6.3 yards a carry. Justin Herbert went 14 of 18 for 164 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Bengals on the road throw for 249 yards with 7.1 yards per pass attempt. They have held opponents on the road to 4.3 yards per run with 5.7 yards per pass attempt and 21.2 points per game. LA at home puts up 21.3 points per game with 4.2 yards per run and 182 yards passing. Cincinnati is 5-2 to the spread on the road facing teams that average 4.5 yards per rush or lower. Play Cincinnati +1.5.