New Mexico Lobos vs Wyoming Cowboys 9-29-23

Washington State vs New Mexico 11/16 NCAAF Week 12 Picks

Washington State vs New Mexico 11/16/24 Game Info

When: Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 9:30 EST/6:30 PST
Where: University Stadium (FieldTurf) Albuquerque, New Mexico 
Tulane vs Navy Line: Washington State -10
Total: 72.5
TV: FS1

Washington State vs New Mexico Preview

No. 24 Washington State (8-1) still calls the Pac-12 home although most of the teams in the legendary conference went their own ways this season. On Saturday, the Cougars head to the Land of Enchantment to face MWC school New Mexico (4-6) in a primetime Saturday night clash only fans of these two schools and College Football bettors will be paying attention to. Both teams are coming in off wins with Washington State beating Utah State (49-28) for its 4th straight triumph in a handicap we (barely) nailed for you here at Tony’s Picks while Los Lobos too a bite out of San Diego’s State’s ankles on the Road to snap a 2-games losing streak. Against common opponent USU, the Cougars won by 21 while NM won by only 5 (50-45).

Washington State Looking to Rise Higher in Rankings

With dual–threat QB John Mateer at the helm, Washington State (6-3-0 ATS, 4-5-0 O/U) has won 9 of its last 11 games overall and made its way into the Top 25 and in the process, the Cougars have been a profitable team to back at the betting window with a 8-3 ATS record over their last 11. In the CFP rankings, Washington State is seeded No. 18, so Mateer & Company will need an awful lot to go right these next couple of weeks to crack the CFP top 12 with voters likely to lean more to 2- and maybe even 3-loss SEC and/or Big Ten Conference teams. After this date at New Mexico, the Cougars will end the NCAA Football Regular Season with games at Oregon State (Nov. 23), and vs Wyoming at Home (Nov. 30) meaning an impressive 11-1 mark is still possible.

Washington State Betting Trends

  • Washington State is 5-1 ATS in the First Half in the last 6
  • The Cougars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall
  • Washington State has an impressive +1.00 TO margin (Tied #12)
  • The Cougars are 8-3 ATS in First Half of its last 11 (+5.70 Units, 46% ROI)
  • Washington State has scored at least 24 points in every game this season

New Mexico’s Schedule Has Been a Real Blessing

New Mexico (6-4, 7-3 O/U) has faced one of the easiest schedules possible so far this season, with SEC side Auburn the only real tough opponent on the slate and no MWC powers Boise State or UNLV on the schedule. The Lobos will close out the Regular Season on November 30 at Hawai’i after having an off week with a Bye in Week 13. With 6 wins, New Mexico is already Bowl eligible so this school can lose their last 2 and still be barking in December. An appearance in the New Mexico Bowl on December 28 might make everyone happy? The Lobos lead in as one of the Best Over teams in FBS, and with the Cougars putting up 48 last Saturday night, you can see why the Total is 72.5.

New Mexico Betting Trends

  • New Mexico is 0-2 SU lifetime vs WSU (22 ppg-44 ppg)
  • The Over is 4-2 the last 6 Lobos games overall
  • The Over is 3-1 in NM’s last 4 games at Home
  • The First Half Over is 5-0 last 5 NM Home games (+5.00 Units, 85% ROI)
  • New Mexico is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games overall

Washington State vs New Mexico Pick and Prediction

This Washington State vs New Mexico prediction and free NCAAF picks will look to two of the betting markets—the Full Game Sides and the First Half Totals—to try and churn some butter in this non-conference matchup from the 505. This game saw Washington State open at -14 and then be bet down by Sharps to its current -10, so there is some perceived value in backing the Road Favorites at this price. But be advised, the Cougars have only played 3 Road games, lost one of them (Boise State) and only won the other two by 8 (Fresno State) and 3  (San Diego State).

Looking at the First Half Totals market, we see that WSU games have had 28, 26, 24, and 20 points after the first 30 minutes in its last four with NM seeing 27, 60 (yes, 60), 20, and 39 in its last four. The Weather in Albuquerque will go from 46° at kickoff down to a nippy 40°, but both schools are used to the cold so 5 TDs and a FG or two is very possible in the First Half. In the last two New Mexico Home games there have been 45 points (AFA) and those 60 points (WYO) on the scoreboard at the end of the First Half.

Kevin’s Picks: Washington State -10, First Half Over 36 (Bet365)