| Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics Prediction 11/16/24 | |
| When: | Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 8:00 pm |
| Where: | TD Garden in Boston, MA, USA |
| TV: | NBA TV |
| Toronto Raptors Odds: | +16.5 |
| Boston Celtics Odds: | -16.5 |
| Over/Under | 228.5 |
The second-best team in the East is facing the worst, when the Boston Celtics are hosting the Toronto Raptors. Toronto has been ravaged by injuries and has been terrible so far, with just two wins in 12 games. On the other hand, Boston started the season strong, and are establishing themselves once again as one of the best teams both in the East and in the whole NBA.
Below is a detailed analysis for the Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics game.
Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics Prediction
Boston Celtics Injury Report: A. Horford, J. Springer are day-to-day, K. Porzi??is is out
Toronto Raptors Injury Report: J. Walter, I. Quickley, S. Barnes, B. Brown, K. Olynyk are out.
Boston Celtics Recent Form and Trends
The Celtics have a 10-3 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the East. Boston is 7-6 against the spread and 6-6-1 in over/under. The Celtics have a 3-2 home record but 2-3 against the spread, with a positive +6.2-point differential. Boston is 6-2 in their last 8 games. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 games.
Boston is coming off a 139-114 road win against the Nets, covering the spread as the game went over the 219.5-point total. The game was a shootout as both teams shot with 51%+ from the field, but the Celtics shot almost 50% from beyond the arc and made 22 triples. Jason Tatum led Boston’s offense once again, with a game-high 36 points, making 5-6 triple and adding 9 rebounds and a team-high 10 assists, barely missing a triple-double.
Tatum leads Boston in scoring this season, with an average of 30.2 points, adding 7.6 rebounds and a team-high 5.6 assists. Jaylen Brown adds 25.4 points, 7.2 rebounds and 3.7 assists.
Toronto Raptors Recent Form and Trends
The Raptors have a 2-10 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the East. Raptors is 8-4 against the spread and 7-5 in over/under. The Raptors have a 0-7 road record but 4-3 against the spread, with a -9.9-point differential. Toronto has five consecutive losses, and 1-3 against the spread in their last 4 games. Under is 4-0 in their last 4 games.
The Raptors are coming off an 85-99 loss in Milwaukee, not covering spread as the game went under the 226-point total. Toronto shot with just 35% from the field, but won the battle of the boards with 54-42. Gradey Dick led Toronto’s offense with a game-high 32 points, adding 5 rebounds and 3 assists, as he is enjoying a breakout season so far.
RJ Barrett leads the Raptors in scoring, with an average of 21.3 points, adding 5.8 rebounds and 5.7 assists, while Gradey Dick adds 20.1 points.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Celtics are second-best in the NBA with 121.3 points per game. They shoot 46.1% from the field (20th) and 37.3% from beyond the arc (9th). Defensively, they rank 9th in the NBA, allowing 110.5 points per game. Boston leads the NBA in offensive efficiency with 121, and are 8th in defensive rating with 110.
Offensively, the Raptors rank 15th in the NBA, with 112.8 points per game. They shoot 45.8% from the field (15th) and 33.2% from beyond the arc (23rd). Defensively, they rank just 28th in the league, allowing 120.8 points per game. Toronto is 20th in the NBA in offensive rating with 110.6, are just 28th in defensive rating with 118.4.
The Celtics won all four meetings against the Raptors last season, but were 2-2 against the spread. Boston is 8-0 in their last 8 overall meetings and 4-0 in their last 4 in Boston. The Celtics are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10. Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 meetings.
Prediction
In this Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics Prediction, the Celtics are coming as big -16.5 home favorites, and rightfully so. Everyone is going to hammer the Celtics as they are the superior team and favorite to win, but Toronto has been sneaky against the spread. There are heavy trends to the under, as both teams are 8-2 to the under in their last 10 games combined. Toronto has not scored more than 107 points in their last 4 games, while Boston is playing elite defense this season. The under has also hit in all but one time in their last 8 meetings, so I don’t expect that to change. Take the under the total.
Nick’s Pick: Under 228.5