| San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 11/16/24 | |
| When: | Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 8:30 pm |
| Where: | American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX, USA |
| TV: | NBA TV |
| San Antonio Spurs Odds: | +9.5 |
| Dallas Mavericks Odds: | -9.5 |
| Over/Under | 223.5 |
The Dallas Mavericks are hosting the San Antonio Spurs, in this Texan battle in Dallas. Both teams have been average this season, but one is playing better than expected and the other is not. Mavericks are having a flat season after reaching the finals last year, and are coming into this game looking to end a lengthy losing streak. On the other hand, the Spurs with the addition of veteran and future hall of famer, Chris Paul, have upgraded their roster and have been playing better basketball lately, having lost only once in their last four games.
Below is a detailed analysis for the San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks game.
San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report: PJ Washington is day-to-day, Dante Exum is out.
San Antonio Spurs Injury Report: Tre Jones and Jeremy Sochan are out
Dallas Mavericks Recent Form and Trends
The Mavs have a 5-7 record this season and are tied sitting on the 12th place of the West. They are 4-7-1 against the spread and 5-7 in over/under. Dallas is 4-3 at home but 3-4 against the spread, with a +6.9-point differential. The Mavs have four consecutive losses, and are 0-3-1 against the spread.
The Mavericks are coming off a 113-115 loss in Utah, not covering the spread as the game went under the 230-point total. Dallas shot with 51% from the field, but they allowed Utah to shoot with the same percentage. Luka Doncic led Dallas’ offense once again with a game-high 37 points but shot just 4-13 from downtown. He also added 7 rebounds and 9 assists.
Doncic leads the Mavs in scoring with 29.3 points, adding 8 rebounds and a team-high 8 assists per game. Kyrie Irving adds 25.2 points, 4.6 rebounds and 4.9 assists.
San Antonio Spurs Recent Form and Trends
The Spurs have a 6-6 record this season and are tied with two more teams on the 9th place of the West. The Spurs are 6-6 against the spread and 6-6 in over/under. San Antonio has been strong at home with a 5-2 record, and 4-3 against the spread with positive +7-point differential. The Spurs are 3-1 in their last 4 games and 5-2 to the over.
The Spurs are coming off a 139-130 win against the Wizards, covering spread as the game went over the 224.5-point total. San Antonio emerged victorious from this shootout, as both teams shot with 52% from the field. Victor Wembanyama led the Spurs with a career-high 50 points with 8 made threes and 6 rebounds. He has now 6+ triples made in three consecutive games.
Wemby leads the Spurs both in scoring with 23.3 points, and in rebounding with 10.2 per game. Wemby also leads the NBA in blocks per game with 3.8, and he has improved his shot as of late, and now sits at 47.1% field goal percentage.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Mavs average 114.2 points per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. They shoot 48% from the field (8th) and 34.2% from beyond the arc (22th). Defensively, the Mavs allow 111.3 points per game, which is 10th in the league. Dallas is 9th in offensive rating in the NBA with 114.6, and also 12th in defensive rating with 111.6.
Offensively, the Spurs average 109.8 points per game, which ranks 22nd in the NBA. They shoot 46.7% from the field (13th) and 35.6% from beyond the arc (16th). Defensively, they are one of the top-5 teams in the NBA, allowing 109.2 points per game. The Spurs rank 19th in offensive rating with 110.9, and are 11th in defensive rating with 110.9.
In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Mavericks won at home, 120-109. Dallas is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against San Antonio and 6-3-1 against the spread. Over is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.
Prediction
In this San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, the Dallas are coming as -9.5 home favorites. Dallas should be favorited at home but I’m not so sure they can cover. San Antonio is on the second leg of a back-to-back, so I don’t trust them to keep this one close. Dallas needs a bounce back win and this is exactly the spot. I trust them more to score, than to win by a large margin, so I’m taking the over the total.
Nick’s Pick: Over 223.5