| Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction 11/16/24 | |
| When: | Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 8:00 pm |
| Where: | Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA, USA |
| TV: | NBA TV |
| Los Angeles Lakers Odds: | -6.5 |
| New Orleans Pelicans Odds: | +6.5 |
| Over/Under | 224.5 |
Two Western squads in opposite trajectories are clashing tonight, when the New Orleans Pelicans are hosting the Los Angeles Lakers. New Orleans has been decimated by injuries, and are playing without four of their five starters. As a result, they have been terrible and are sitting on the bottom of the West. On the other hand, the Lakers have been doing much better, but are in their second leg of a back-to-back in this game.
Below is a detailed analysis for the Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans game.
Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction
New Orleans Pelicans Injury Report: Zion Williamson, Jordan Hawkins, CJ McCollum, Herb Jones and Dejounte Murray are out for the Pelicans
Los Angeles Lakers Injury Report: Jaxon Hayes, Jalen Hood-Schiffino are day-to-day, Jarred Vanderbilt and Christian Wood are out.
New Orleans Pelicans Recent Form and Trends
The Pelicans have a 3-9 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the West. New Orleans is 2-10 against the spread and 7-5 in over/under. The Pelicans are 2-4 at home and 2-4 against the spread, with a -4.2-point differential. Pels are 1-9 in their last 10 games, and 1-10 against the spread in their last 11.
The Pelicans are coming off an 88-106 defeat to the Thunder, not covering the spread and the game went under the 225-point total. New Orleans shot with just 38% from the field but shot just 57% from the free-throw line. Brandon Ingram led the Pelicans’ offense with 18 points, 6 rebounds and 6 assists
Zion Williamson leads the Pels in scoring with 22.7 points, adding 8 rebounds and 5.3 assists, but he is out with an injury. Brandon Ingram adds 22.5 points, 5.9 rebounds and 5.1 assists.
Los Angeles Lakers Recent Form and Trends
The Lakers have a 7-4 record this season and are sitting in the 6th place of the West. LA is 6-5 against the spread and 6-5 in over/under. The Lakers are struggling on the road with a 1-4 record, and 1-4 against the spread, with a -10.2-point differential. LA is coming off three consecutive home wins, all of them at home.
The Lakers are coming off a 128-123 win over Memphis, not covering the spread as the game went over the 233-point total. LA made 20 triples on 49% shooting, and saw four players scoring 18+ points, led by LeBron James with 35. LeBron showed that he can be unstoppable, even at this age, and added 12 rebounds and 14 assists for a monster triple double.
Anthony Davis leads the Lakers both in scoring with 30.2 points and in rebounding with 10.8 per game. LeBron adds 24.3 points, 8.1 rebounds and a team-high 9.4 assists.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Pels average 107 points per game, which is just 25th in the NBA. They shoot 44.5% from the field (22nd) and 35.9% from beyond the arc (12th). Defensively, the Pels allow 116.5 points per game, which is just 23rd in the league. New Orleans is just 25th in offensive rating in the NBA with 108.1, and have the second-worse defensive rating with 118.7.
Offensively, the Lakers average 117.6 point per game, which is 6th in the league. LA boasts elite shooting percentages, with 48% from the field (6th) and 36.9% from beyond the arc (12th). Defensively, they have been less effective, allowing 117.5 points per game, which ranks 24th in the NBA. The Lakers are 5th offensive rating with 117.3, but they are just 25th in defensive rating with 117.5.
The Lakers led the Pelicans 3-1 wins last season, going for 3-1 against the spread. They are 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 overall meetings, and 4-0 in their last 4 meetings in LA. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.
won all four meetings against the Raptors last season, but were 2-2 against the spread. Boston is 8-0 in their last 8 overall meetings and 4-0 in their last 4 in Boston. The Celtics are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10. Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 meetings.
Prediction
In this Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, the Lakers are coming as -6.5 road favorites. This is a tricky one, as the Lakers are undoubtedly the better team, but they are also extremely inefficient on the road, and are also playing their second game in two nights. With what I’ve been from this Pelicans squad, I think the Lakers will be able to pull this off. The Pelicans have been outright terrible and have lost at home by the Nets, the Blazers and the Hawks. Expect to lose another one against the Lakers tonight. Take the Los Angeles Lakers and lay the points on the road.
Nick’s Pick: Los Angeles Lakers -6.5