Free College Football Picks Week 12 Part 4-11/16/2024
Tennessee vs. Georgia College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Tennessee at Georgia 7:30PM ET—Tennessee improved to 8-1 following their 33-14 home victory to Mississippi St. The Volunteers gained 452 yards with 240 rushing for 4.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 271 yards to the Bulldogs with 92 passing on 26 attempts. Nico Iamaleava completed 8 of 13 for 174 yards with two touchdowns. He is questionable with a concussion. Gaston Moore is the backup and has seen limited work the past four seasons. Georgia fell to 7-2 with their 28-10 road defeat at Ole Miss. The Bulldogs put up 245 yards with 59 rushing for 1.8 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 397 yards to the Rebels with 263 passing on 28 attempts Carson Beck hit 20 of 31 for 186 yards with an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Volunteers on the road allowed 14.7 points per game with only 2 yards per run with 6.8 yards per pass attempt. Their passing game on the road averages 7.7 yards per attempt on the road. Georgia offense against the conference rushes for only 3.6 yards a carry but 7.5 yards per pass attempt. They put up only 27.6 points per game against the conference. The Bulldog’s defense is surrendering 6.9 yards per pass attempt against the SEC. Georgia is 5-10 to the spread as a home favorite. Play Tennessee +10.
Oregon vs. Wisconsin College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Oregon at Wisconsin 7:30PM ET—Oregon is 10-0 following their 39-18 home victory to Maryland. The Ducks put up 363 yards with 180 rushing for 5.8 yards per run. On defense they allowed 289 yards to the Terrapins with 206 passing on 45 attempts. Dillon Gabriel completed 23 of 64 for 183 yards and three touchdowns. Wisconsin drops to 5-4 with their 42-10 road defeat at Iowa. The Badgers put up 261 yards with 124 rushing for 4.4 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 422 yards to the Hawkeyes with 329 rushing for 6.1 yards per carry. Braedyn Locke went 15 of 29 for 137 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Ducks on the road are rushing for 5.1 yards a carry and completing 76% of their passes for 9.1 yards per pass attempt. They limit opponents to 11 points per game on the road. Wisconsin in their past three games is averaging 15.3 points per game with 4.1 yards per run and 53.7% completion rate. In this span they are allowing 5.2 yards per run. The Ducks are 10-2 to the spread as a road favorite. Wisconsin is 1-5 to the spread at home facing teams that average 17 points per game or fewer. Play Oregon -13.5.
New Mexico St vs. Texas A&M College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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New Mexico St at Texas A&M—New Mexico St is 2-7 following their 41-28 home defeat to Western Kentucky. The Aggies gained 413 yards with 116 rushing for 3.3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 413 yards to the Hilltoppers with 297 passing on 28 attempts. Santino Marucci completed 10 of 20 for 129 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. Texas A&M fell to 7-2 after their 44-20 road defeat at South Carolina. The Aggies posted 350 yards with 144 rushing for 3.4 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 530 yards to the Gamecocks with 286 rushing for 6.7 yards per run. Marcel Reed went 18 of 28 for 206 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
New Mexico St on the road puts up 9 points per game with 3 yards per pass attempt. They surrendered 42 points per game away from home with poor rush and pass defense. The Aggies at home rush for 5.8 yards a carry with 7 yards per pass attempt. They limit teams at home to 3.8 yards per run with 51% completions. New Mexico St is 7-3 to the under on the road in the non-conference with Texas A&M 8-2 to the under. Play New Mexico St and Texas A&M under 54.5.
Wake Forest vs. North Carolina College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Wake Forest at North Carolina 8PM ET—Wake Forest fell to 4-5 following their 46-36 home defeat to California. The Demon Deacons gained 386 yards with 112 rushing for 2.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 500 yards to the Golden Bears with 385 passing on 56 attempts. Hank Bachmeier completed 19 of 36 for 274 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions. He rushed for a touchdown. North Carolina is 5-4 after their 35-11 road win at Florida ST. The Tar Heels gained 500 yards with 289 rushing for 5.3 yards per run. On defense they held the Seminoles to 201 yards with 42 rushing on 28 attempts. Jacolby Criswell hit 13 of 17 for 211 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Demon Deacons against the ACC rush for only 3.6 yards a carry and get inaccurate quarterback play. Defensively they allowed SEC opponents to 4 yards a carry with 72% completions for 7.1 yards per pass attempt. the Tar Heels defense in good form in their past three games by allowing 22 points per game with 4 yards per rush with 53.7% completions rate. Play Wake Forest and North Carolina under 64.
Cincinnati vs. Iowa St College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Cincinnati at Iowa St 8PM ET—Cincinnati fell to 5-4 following their 31-24 home defeat to West Virginia. The Bearcats put up 436 yards with 157 rushing for 3.7 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 248 yards to the Mountaineers with 156 passing on 15 attempts. Brendan Sorsby completed 25 of 36 for 279 yards with a touchdown and interception. He rushed for 48 yards and a touchdown. Iowa St is 7-2 with their 45-36 road win at Kansas. The Cyclones put up 461 yards with 78 rushing for 5.2 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 532 yards to the Jayhawks with 285 passing on 24 attempts. Rocco Becht was 24 of 37 for 383 yards with three touchdowns and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Cincinnati against the Big 12 has rushed for 4.1 yards a carry and getting accurate and efficient work I the passing game. They allowed Big 12 teams 4.1 yards per run with 8.2 yards per pass attempt. Iowa St has rushed for 4.6 yards a carry with 8.1 yards per pass attempt against the conference. They defend the pass well against the Big 12 but allow 5.5 yards a carry. The Bearcats are 4-0 to the over when a road underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. Play Cincinnati and Iowa St over 53.
UAB vs. Memphis College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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UAB at Memphis—UAB is 2-7 after their 31-23 home defeat to Connecticut. The Blazers gained 403 yards with 170 rushing for 5.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 365 yards to the Huskies with 189 rushing for 4.7 yards per run. Jacob Zeno has missed the past five games due to injury and is questionable. Jalen Kitna completed 22 of 42 for 233 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. Memphis improved to 8-2 with their 27-20 home victory to Rice. The Tigers posted 366 yards with 207 rushing for 5 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 367 yards to the Owls with 121 rushing for 5.2 yards per run. Seth Henigan went 14 of 31 for 159 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
UAB has struggled offensively on the road with 2.9 yards per run. Kitna has been battling accuracy and turnover issues at quarterback. In their past three games the Tigers allowed 3.8 yards per run with 56.2% completion rate. Play UAB and Memphis under 62.5.
Washington St vs. New Mexico College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Washington St at New Mexico 9:30PM ET—Washington St is 8-1 following their 49-28 home victory to Utah St. The Cougars gained 482 yards with 303 rushing for 6.7 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 395 yards to the Aggies with 187 rushing for 6.9 yards per run. John Mateer completed 18 of 24 for 179 yards and four touchdowns. He rushed for 55 yards and a touchdown. New Mexico is 406 with their 21-16 road win at San Diego St. The Lobos posted 475 yards with 300 rushing for 8.6 yards per carry. On defense they allowed 341 yards to the Aztecs with 146 rushing for 3.2 yards per run. Devon Dampier hit 16 of 24 for 175 yards with a touchdown. He rushed for 127 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
Washington St on the road has been held to 25 points per game as they rush for 3.3 yards a carry and 59.4% completions. They allow 5.2 yards per run on the road. New Mexico in their past three games is putting up 24 points per game as they complete for 58% of their passes. In this period, they held opponents to 4.4 yards per run with 63% completion rate. Washington St is 7-1 to the under on the road following a home win. Play Washington St and New Mexico under 72.
Kansas vs. BYU College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Kansas at BYU 10:15PM ET—Kansas improved to 3-6 following their 45-36 home victory to Iowa St. The Jayhawks gained 532 yards with 237 rushing for 5.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 461 yards to the Cyclones with 383 passing on 38 attempts. Jalon Daniels completed 12 of 24 for 295 yards with two touchdowns. He rushed for 68 yards and a touchdown. BYU improved to 9-0 after their 22-21 road win at Utah. The Cougars put up 339 yards with 120 rushing for 3.8 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 259 yards to the Utes with 112 passing on 22 attempts. Jake Retzlaff hit 15 of 33 for 219 yards and a rushing touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Kansas on the road has struggled with quarterback accuracy. Their defense away from home allows 4.5 yards per run with 247 yards passing for 8.2 yards per pass attempt. BYU against the Big 12 has rushed for 4.9 yards a carry and averaging 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Defensively in the conference the Cougars are allowing 5 yards per run with only 54.6% completions for 5.8 yards per pass attempt. They beat Kansas St 38-9 at home. Kansas has lost all four road games this season. The Jayhawks are 6-9 to the spread on the road. Play BYU -2.5.
San Diego St vs. UNLV College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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San Diego St at UNLV 10:30PM ET—San Diego St fell to 3-6 following their 21-16 home defeat to New Mexico. The Aztecs gained 341 yards with 146 rushing for 3.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 475 yards to the Lobos with 300 rushing for 8.6 yards per run. Danny O’Neil completed 26 of 41 for 195 yards with a touchdown. UNLV improved to 7-2 with their 29-27 road win at Hawaii. The Rebels produced 465 yards with 290 rushing for 6 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 374 yards to the Warriors with 282 passing on 25 attempts. Hajj Malik Williams went 13 of 27 for 175 yards and a touchdown. He rushed for 122 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
San Diego St in their road games rush for 3.2 yards a carry and getting inaccurate play at quarterback. On defense they allow 33.3 points per game on the road with 4.9 yards per run and 7.1 yards per pass attempt. UNLV is putting up 41 points per game at home behind 5.7 yards per run and 73% completion rate for 9.4 yards per pass attempt. Defensively at home they allow 3.4 yards per rush with 6.2 yards per pass attempt. UNLV is 7-3 to the spread at home as a favorite. Play UNLV -21.