Free College Football Picks Week 12 Part 3-11/16/2024
Baylor vs. West Virginia College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Baylor at West Virginia 4PM ET—Baylor improved to 5-4 following their 37-34 home victory to TCU. The Bears gained 299 yards with 257 rushing for 5.8 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 444 yards to the Horned Frogs with 339 yards passing for 35 attempts. Sawyer Robertson completed 19 of 34 for 242 yards. West Virginia is 5-4 with their 31-24 road win at Cincinnati. The Mountaineers put up 248 yards with 92 rushing for 3.3 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 436 yards to the Bearcats with 279 passing on 36 attempts. Garrett Greene has missed the past two games with injury but returned to practice this week as QB1. Greene on the year is completing 55.9% of his passes with 7.6 yards per pass attempt.
The Pick with the Explanation
Baylor on the road is surrendering 35 points per game with 4.4 yards per run with 262 yards passing for 7.5 yards per pass attempt. They have struggled with quarterback accuracy on the road. The Mountaineers have performed well offensively in conference with 4.7 yards per run and 7.9 yards per pass attempt. On defense they have defended the run well against the Big 12 with poor pass defense. Baylor is 0-2 to the spread as a road favorite. Play West Virginia +2.5.
Nebraska vs. USC College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Nebraska at USC 4PM ET—Nebraska fell to 5-4 following their 27-20 home defeat to UCLA. The Cornhuskers put up 322 yards with 113 rushing for 3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 358 yards to the Bruins with 219 passing for 25 attempts. Dylan Raiola is questionable with a back injury. Heinrich Haarberg hit 2 of 7 in relief for 32 yards and an interception. USC sits at 4-5 with their 26-21 road defeat at Washington. The Trojans gained 459 yards with 166 rushing 5.7 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 375 yards to the Huskies with 262 passing on 40 attempts. Jayden Maiava will start for a benched Miller Moss. The UNLV transfer went 8 of 11 for 66 yards against Utah St in mop up duty. He completed 63.5% of his passes last year at UNLV for 8.7 yards per pass attempt and a threat to run.
The Pick with the Explanation
Nebraska is allowing 29 points per game on the road with poor pass defense as they allowed 78% completions for 9.5 yards per pass attempt. They have been inefficient with the run and pass offense on the road. USC in their past five games is running for 5 yards a carry and limiting opponents to 3.1 yards per run. The Trojans are 5-0 to the spread at home after a loss as a favorite. Play USC -9.
Missouri vs. South Carolina College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Missouri at South Carolina 4:15PM ET—Missouri improved to 7-2 with their 30-23 home victory to Oklahoma. The Tigers put up 278 yards with 135 rushing for 2.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 257 yards to the Sooners with 135 passing on 26 attempts. Drew Pyne completed 14 of 27 for 143 yards and three touchdowns. South Carolina is 6-3 after their 28-7 road win at Vanderbilt. The Gamecocks put up 462 yards with 215 rushing for 5 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 274 yards to the Commodores with 108 rushing for 3.9 yards a carry. LaNorris Sellers hit 14 of 20 for 238 yards and two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
Pyne has experience in his time with Notre Dame. The Tigers on the road run for 4.4 yards a carry. They limit opponents to 26 points per game away from home. South Carolina at home rushes for 4.8 yards a carry but getting inaccurate quarterback play at 56.2% completions. Defensively at home the Gamecocks allow 58% completions for 6.7 yards per pass attempt. The Tigers are 7-3 to the spread on the road in conference. The Gamecocks are 0-3 to the spread at home facing teams that allow 310 yards per game or fewer. Play Missouri +14.
Arkansas St vs. Georgia St College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Arkansas St vs. Georgia St 5PM ET—Arkansas St fell to 5-4 following their 55-19 road defeat at Louisiana. The Redwolves gained 401 yards with 209 rushing for 5.4 yards per run. On defense they allowed 579 yards to the Ragin Cajuns with 301 passing on 33 attempts. Jaylin Raynor completed 23 of 35 for 167 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. Georgia St fell to 2-7 after their 38-7 road defeat to James Madison. The Panthers put up 259 yards with 46 rushing on 27 attempts. On defense they allowed 452 yards to the Dukes with 211 rushing for 5.7 yards a carry. Zach Gibson went 24 of 37 for 213 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Georgia St has lost six straight. The Red Wolves have been able to move the football against the Sun Belt with 5 yards per run with 67.2% completions. They have struggled defensively against the conference. Georgia St is putting up only 17.6 points per game against the Sun Belt with 3.9 yards per run and 6.6 yards per pass attempt. Defensively they allow 5.7 yards per run and 7.5 yards per pass attempt. The Redwolves are 7-1 to the spread on the road against losing teams. Georgia St is 4-8 to the spread as a home favorite. Play Arkansas St +3.
Rutgers vs. Maryland College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Rutgers at Maryland 6PM ET—Rutgers improved to 5-4 following their 26-19 home win to Minnesota. The Scarlet Knights put up 349 yards with 109 rushing for 2.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 297 yards to the Golden Gophers with 35 rushing on 19 carries. Athan Kaliakmanis completed 17 of 33 for 240 yards with three touchdowns and a pick. Maryland is 4-5 after their 39-18 road defeat at Oregon. The Terrapins posted 289 yards with 83 rushing for 2.7 yards a carry. On defense they surrendered 363 yards to the Ducks with 180 rushing for 5.8 yards a carry. Billy Edwards hit 22 of 44 for 206 yards with a touchdown and two picks.
The Pick with the Explanation
Rutgers have struggled offensively on the road with 2.8 yards per run with 53.2% completion rate. On defense on the highway the Scarlet Knights give up 4.5 yards per run with 7.3 yards per pass attempt. Maryland passing game works well at home with 72% completions for 328 yards and 7.9 yards per pass attempt. They limit opponents at home to 3 yards per run. The Terrapins are 2-0 to the spread at home facing teams that allow 4.75 yards per run or greater. Play Maryland -6.
South Alabama vs. Louisiana College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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South Alabama at Louisiana 7PM ET—South Alabama fell to 4-5 following their 34-30 home defeat to Georgia Southern. The Jaguars put up 458 yards with 185 rushing for 5.1 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 237 yards to the Eagles with 106 rushing for 2.9 yards a carry. Gio Lopez is questionable with a concussion. There are reports that he will be cleared for the game. Lopez completed 22 of 30 for 257 yards with a touchdown and interception. Louisiana is 8-1 after their 55-19 home win to Arkansas St. The Ragin Cajuns put up 579 yards with 278 rushing for 8.7 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 401 yards to the Red Wolves with 209 rushing for 5.4 yards per carry. Ben Wooldridge went 17 of 26 for 264 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
South Alabama has struggled defensively on the road surrendering 5.1 yards per run with 8.4 yards per pass attempt. They have been able to move the football effectively in the conference. Louisiana form great in their past three games with 5.6 yards per run with 69% completions for 9.5 yards per pass attempt. In this span they hold opposing quarterbacks to 5.6 yards per pass attempt plus outscoring opponents by 17.3 points per game. Play Louisiana -7.
Southern Miss vs. Texas St College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Southern Miss at Texas St 7PM ET—Southern Miss fell to 1-8 following their 37-3 home defeat to Marshall. The Golden Eagles gained 183 yards with 113 rushing for 2.8 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 526 yards to the Thundering Herd with 267 rushing for 5.7 yards a carry. Ethan Crawford hit 5 of 18 for 70 yards with three interceptions. Texas St moved to 5-4 after their 38-17 road win at UL Monroe. The Bobcats posted 398 yards with 326 rushing for 6 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 278 yards to the Warhawks with 119 passing on 24 attempts. Jordan McCloud hit 4 of 5 for 56 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Golden Eagles against the Sun Belt is surrendering 35 points per game as they allow 5.5 yards per run with 7.7 yards per pass attempt. The Golden Eagles offensively in conference play rush for 3.5 yards a carry and is getting inaccurate play at quarterback. Texas St in Sun Belt play has rushed for 5.5 yards a carry and getting accurate and efficient play at quarterback. They hold Sun Belt teams to 4.3 yards a carry and 59.6% completions. Play Texas St -26.5.
Arizona St vs. Kansas St College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Arizona St at Kansas St 7PM ET—Arizona St improved to 7-2 following their 35-31 home victory to UCF. The Sun Devils gained 260 yards with 99 rushing for 3.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 406 yards to the Knights with 177 rushing for 4.8 yards per run. Sam Leavitt hit 16 of 25 for 161 yards and three touchdowns. Kansas St is 7-2 after their 24-19 road defeat at Houston. The Wildcats posted 327 yards with 89 rushing for 2.6 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 332 yards to the Cougars with 121 rushing for 3 yards a carry. Avery Johnson went 23 of 39 for 238 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
ASU facing the Big 12 has rushed for 4.7 yards a carry and 7.8 yards per pass attempt. They have defended well in conference play by allowing 4.3 yards per run with 58.9% completions. Kansas St rushes for 5.3 yards a carry in the Big 12 but getting inaccurate quarterback play. The Wildcats defensively in the conference allows 64% completions for 7.2 yards per pass attempt. ASU is 7-5 to the spread as a road underdog. Play Arizona St +9.
Boise St vs. San Jose St College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Boise St at San Jose St 7PM ET—Boise St improved to 8-1 with their 28-21 home victory to Nevada. The Broncos gained 393 yards with 274 rushing for 5.8 yards per carry. On defense they allowed 319 yards to the Wolfpack with 232 passing on 27 attempts. Maddux Madsen hit 9 of 20 for 119 yards with a touchdowns and pick. He rushed for 58 yards. San Jose St is 6-3 after their 24-13 road win at Oregon St. The Spartans put up 463 yards with 68 rushing for 3.8 yards per rush. Defensively they allowed 474 yards to the Beavers with 292 passing on 37 attempts. Walker Eget went 18 of 35 for 295 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Boise St is putting up good offensive numbers against the conference. Defensively they hold MWC foes to 3.6 yards per run with 58.6% completions. San Jose St rushes for 4.4 yards a carry in conference but is getting inaccurate quarterback play with 53.6% completions. On defense they hold Mountain West teams to 23.2 points per game as they allow 3.5 yards per rush and 62.5% completions. Play Boise St and San Jose ST under 61.5.