Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs Portland State Vikings 2-17-22

Northern Arizona vs Pacific 11/14/2024 NCAA Basketball Picks

Northern Arizona vs Pacific Game Information

When:  Thursday, November 14, 2024 at 10 EST/7 PST
Where: Alex G. Spanos Center, Stockton, California
Northern Arizona vs Pacific Line: Pacific -5.5
Total: 150.5
TV: ESPN+

Northern Arizona vs Pacific Preview

The last game on the NCAA Basketball betting board on Thursday sees Northern Arizona (2-1, 0-1 on Road) at Pacific (3-1, 1-0 at Home). Both schools are off to decent starts but lost their last games with the Lumberjacks beating two smaller schools in Park University-Gilbert (100-49) and Nelson (115-67) before losing at Stanford (90-64) while the Tigers beat Jessup University (92-65), San José State (80-67), and Life Pacific (94-41) before falling to Hawai’i in its last game in the Rainbow Classic (76-66). NAU is averaging 93.0 ppg and allowing 68.7 ppg with Pacific averaging 83.0 ppg and allowing 62.3 ppg, both reflections of the early season scheduling and games vs teams in Division II and NAIA. The Lumberjacks call the Big Sky Conference home while the Tigers play in the West Coast Conference (WCC), home of mighty Gonzaga, who will be leaving the conference and playing in the Pac-12 starting on July 1, 2026.

Northern Arizona a Live Underdog in Stockton?

Northern Arizona (0-1-0 ATS, 1-0-0 O/U) gets scoring from star Trent McLaughlin (25.7 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 2.3 apg), Carson Towt (14.3 ppg, 9,3 rpg), and Oakland Fort (10.7 ppg) with Ryan Abelman (8.0 ppg), and Diego Campisano (7.0 ppg) also chipping in. The Lumberjacks went 14-19 last year (7-11 in Big Sky) and had two 3-game losing streaks, one 4-game losing streak, and one 3-game and one 4-game winning streak. NAU was clobbered by eventual National Champions UConn in their 2023 season lidlifter and pounded this Pacific team, 78-58 for its first Home win in a game they led by 14 at halftime (36-22). With the oddsmakers making the Lumberjacks the Underdogs in this one, like the Southern Illinois vs Oklahoma State game earlier in the night, it may be a good idea to back the Road Underdogs in the Moneyline market (+198, FanDuel).

Northern Arizona Betting Trends

  • NAU is 2-0/ATS lifetime against Pacific
  • The Lumberjacks are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 overall
  • NAU went 14-19-0 ATS in 2023-24 (42.4%)
  • The Over is 5-3-1 in Northern Arizona’s last 9 games
  • The Under is 2-0 in this series all-time

Pacific Still an Auto-Fade in 2024 NCAAB Season?

Pacific (1-2 ATS, 1-1-0 O/U) was the best team to bet against in College Basketball last season with the Tigers ending with a 6-24 ATS (20%) record including 8 straight to end the season. Elias Ralph (17.8 ppg, 6.5 rpg), Elijah Fisher (17.5 ppg, 4.5 rpg), Lamar Washington (9.5 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 9.3 apg), Jazz Gardner (9.0 ppg, 6.5 rpg), and Jefferson Koulibaly (8.0 ppg, 2.8 apg, 1.3 spg) are the main players for the Tigers. Pacific finished 6-26 SU last season (18.8%) and was one of the worst teams in NCAA Basketball, went 0-16 in conference and ended the year on a 17-game losing streak. Stink, stank, stunk. The Tigers lost 76-66 to Hawai’i on Monday in the Rainbow Classic on Monday, failing to get the pineapple juice as 3-point Underdogs.

Pacific Betting Trends

  • Pacific is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 overall, 0-3 ATS last 3 at Home
  • The Tigers are 30-66 ATS over the last 4 seasons (31.3%)
  • Pacific Team Total Under is 24-6 in the last 30 games (+16.90 Units, 48% ROI)
  • The Tigers are 5-25 ATS in their last 30 games (-22.55 Units, -68% ROI)
  • Pacific was 6-24 ATS in 2023, 15-18 ATS in 2022, 8-22 in 2021

Northern Arizona vs Pacific Prediction and Pick

This Northern Arizona vs Pacific prediction and free NCAAB pick is simply an auto-fade of the worst Point Spread team in Division I, Pacific. Like Kent State in NCAA College Football, this team has been a money-maker for those fading the Tigers in recent seasons, and with Northern Arizona unbeaten against them, backing them in the Point Spread and Moneyline markets in this meeting in Stockton on Thursday night seems prudent. You can’t always get what you want, but if you try sometimes, you get what you need…. 

Kevin’s Pick: Northern Arizona +5.5