| Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Prediction 11/14/24 | |
| When: | Thursday, November 14, 2024 at 9:00 pm |
| Where: | Delta Center in Utah, CO, USA |
| TV: | NBA TV |
| Dallas Mavericks Odds: | -8.5 |
| Utah Jazz Odds: | +8.5 |
| Over/Under | 233.5 |
Two Western Conference teams clash in this matchup, as the Utah Jazz are hosting the Dallas Mavericks. Utah has been the worse team in the West so far, but with key returns of Lauri Markkanen and Jordan Clarkson are looking to turn things around. Dallas is struggling right now, with three consecutive losses and are on their final spot of a four-game road trip.
Below is a detailed analysis for the Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz game.
Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Prediction
Utah Jazz Injury Report: Walker Kessler is day-to-day, Taylor Hendricks is out
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report: PJ Washington is day-to-day, Dante Exum is out.
Utah Jazz Recent Form and Trends
The Jazz have a 2-8 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the West. The Jazz are 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 in over/under. Utah is winless at home with a 0-5 record, and 1-4 against the spread with a league-low -17.2-point differential. The Jazz are 2-2 in their last 4 games and 6-3 to the under.
The Jazz are coming off a 112-120 loss against the Suns, not covering spread as the game went over the 230-point total. Utah performed well in that game, shooting with 49% from the field, dominating the paint with 58-34 points, and also dishing more assists than the Suns (32-21). John Collins led Utah’s offense with 29 points, adding a team-high 10 rebounds.
John Collins leads the Jazz in scoring with 17.1 points, adding 7.7 rebounds per game. Lauri Markkanen adds 16.7 points and 6.3 rebounds, in an underwhelming season so far.
Dallas Mavericks Recent Form and Trends
The Mavs have a 5-6 record this season and are tied with the Spurs on the 11th place of the West. They are 4-6-1 against the spread and 5-6 in over/under. Dallas is 1-3 on the road but 1-2-1 against the spread, with a -2.8-point differential. The Mavs have three consecutive losses.
The Mavericks are coming off a 117-120 road loss against the Warriors, not covering the spread as the game went over the 234.5-point total, but had 222 total points in regulation. Dallas shot better than Golden State from the field (52% to 48%), but lost the battle of the boards with 50-40, and had fewer fast break points (15-25). They could not contain Steph Curry defensively, who torched them with 37 points. Luka Doncic led the Mavs’ offense once again, with 31 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists, but with just 2-10 from downtown.
Doncic leads the Mavs in scoring with 28.5 points, adding 8.1 rebounds and a team-high 7.9 assists per game. Kyrie Irving adds 25.2 points, 4.6 rebounds and 4.9 assists.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Jazz are dead last in the league with just 105.7 points per game. Utah is also last in field goal percentage with 42.7% and 24th in 3-point percentage with 32.4%. Defensively, they rank 26th in the NBA, allowing 119 points per game. The Jazz have the worst offensive rating in the league with 104.5, and are 27th in defensive rating with 117.6.
Offensively, the Mavs average 114.4 points per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. They are 12th field goal percentage with 47.7%, while they shoot with 34.6% from beyond the arc (20th). Defensively, the Mavs allow 111 points per game, which is 9th in the league. Dallas is 11th in offensive rating in the NBA with 114.1, and also 11th in defensive rating with 110.9.
In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Mavericks won at home with a 110-102 score, not covering the spread and the game went under the total. Dallas is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against Utah, but just 4-5-1 against the spread. Under is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.
Prediction
In this Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Prediction, the Mavericks are coming as road favorites. There is no denying that the Mavs should be the favorites but they are in a tough spot, playing their third straight road game and they are looking tired right now. They had a minus point differential on the road, and being favorited by a large margin in this spot, is something to bet against. The Jazz actually looked good against the Suns, keeping in kind of close in Phoenix, so I expect another decent effort in their second straight home game. Take the Jazz and lay the plus points at home.
Nick’s Pick: Utah Jazz +8.5