UConn Huskies vs. Marquette Golden Eagles 3/6/24

Le Moyne vs Connecticut Prediction 11/13/2024 NCAA Basketball Picks

Le Moyne vs Connecticut Game Information

When:  Wednesday, November 13, 2024 at 7 EST/4 PST
Where: XL Center, Hartford, Connecticut 
Le Moyne vs UConn Line: UConn -37.5
Total: 150.5
TV: FS1

Le Moyne vs Connecticut Preview

No. 3 ranked Connecticut (2-0, 2-0 at Home) plays host to Le Moyne (1-2, 0-1 on Road) in a big Conference mismatch we see every November and December in College Basketball. The Dolphins are still transitioning to the DI level and won’t be eligible to play in the Big Dance until the 2027-28 season. Le Moyne hung with Big East legends Syracuse in the opener (Lost 86-82), then fell at Merrimack (61-51) before notching its first win of the season at Home vs SUNY-Polytechnic, 107-73 in a non-lined game. UConn pasted Sacred Heart and New Hampshire by near identical scores (92-56, 92-53) in its first two games this season, so maybe we see a 92-54 or 92-55 score here?

Le Moyne Deep, But Overmatched in This One

Le Moyne (1-1-0 ATS, 2-0-0 O/U) plays in the NEC and went 9-7 in conference and 15-17 overall in its first season playing D1 basketball. At Home last season, the Dolphins were No. 2 in the nation at 3-point shooting but this team was poor on the offensive glass and ranked No. 324 (21.5%). Against Connecticut, getting offensive boards will be harder than getting a good pizza in Antarctica. Le Moyne does have a deep roster and should be a bit better than last season with Will Amica (14.0 ppg, 5.5 rpg), Zek Tekin (12.7 ppg, 5.3 rpg), Dwayne Koroma (11.0 ppg, 5.0 rpg), Nate Fouts (11.0 ppg), Trent Mosquera (10.3 ppg), Freds Pauls Bagatskis (10,7 ppg, 4.7 rpg), AJ Dancier (9.0 ppg, 4.0 rpg), Darrick Jones (6.5 ppg), and Ocypher Owens (6.0 ppg, 3.0 rpg). So bench strength and having players who can score won’t be an issue, but trying to slay a big dragon like Connecticut is a completely different story.

Le Moyne Betting Trends

  • Le Moyne was #344 in Road Rebounding last season
  • Le Moyne went 17-11-0 ATS in its first season in DI (60.7%)
  • The Dolphins were 13-16 O/U last season
  • The Under is 6-2 in the Dolphins last 8 games
  • Le Moyne has never played Connecticut

Connecticut Now Seeking its 10th Straight ATS Cover

UConn (2-0-0 ATS, 0-2-0 O/U) went 37-3 SU in 2023-24 and rolled over everyone in the Big Dance rewarding its fans as well as its betting backers. Seldom do we see such a juggernaut, where a team seems to always win SU as well as ATS. It is important to ride these ATS streaks when someone is hot, and the Huskies are really hot. Don’t step in front of moving trains brother. UConn lost its four top scorers, including Stephon Castle (Spurs), Tristen Newton (Pacers), and Cam Spencer (Grizzlies) to the NBA Draft but reloaded and now look to Alex Karaban (13.3 rpg, 5.1 rpg in 2023), Hasaan Diarra, Samson Johnson, Liam McNeeley, and Saint Mary’s transfer Aidan Mahaney (13.9 ppg in 2023) to keep the train rolling. With genius Head Coach Danny Hurley staying in Storrs, expect to see this team in another Final Four and you might as well keep betting them until they lose. 

Connecticut Betting Trends

  • Connecticut has played 8 straight Unders
  • The Huskies are 57-23-1 ATS over their last 81(71.3%)
  • The Under is 11-1 in the last 12 UConn games
  • UConn has won 15 SU in a row; its last loss was at Kansas
  • The Huskies have covered 9 straight games ATS

Le Moyne vs Connecticut Prediction and Pick

There conference mismatches, and then there are often mismatches deeper than that and that’s what we are looking at here with the two-time defending champion Huskies hosting Le Moyne in a nice payday for the Dolphins but also a nice spanking in the process. UConn never seems to care who it is playing and has just one speed and is very good at making every possession count. And with so many new faces in Storrs, all these new guys will want to impress HC Hurley and will slowly jell as a unit. This LeMoyne vs Connecticut prediction and free NCAA Basketball pick is one that ignores the point spread as the Huskies should win by 50 and actually didn’t play as well as they wanted to when we last handicapped them against Sacred Heart. The Dolphins will be up against it here and will inevitably be down 22 to 28 at halftime, then UConn will coast to another big win against a smaller conference school. Lay the lumber up to 40. 

Kevin’s Pick: Connecticut -37.5