James Madison Dukes vs Arkansas State Red Wolves 10-8-22

James Madison vs Old Dominion 11/16 NCAAF Week 12 Picks

James Madison vs Old Dominion 11/16/24 Game Info

When: Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 4 EST/1 PST
Where: SB Ballard Stadium (AstroTurf GameDay Grass 3D) Norfolk, Virginia
James Madison vs ODU Line: James Madison -3
Total: 52
TV: ESPNU

James Madison vs Old Dominion Preview

This Week 12 Sun Belt Conference showdown between James Madison (7-2, 3-2 in Sun Belts) and Old Dominion (4-5, 3-2 in Sun Belt) will see the loser eliminated from having a shot to win the league with Georgia Southern (4-1) and Marshall (4-1) currently tied atop the standings. In their last game. The Dukes won their last two games, beating Georgia State (38-7) and Southern Miss (32-15) while the Monarchs lost at Appalachian State, 28-20 in Week 11. Both teams have won 3 of their last 5 games. With a 7-2 record to the Under, James Madison is one of the best Under teams in FBS. In the 2023 NCAAF season, the Dukes were 8-5 to the Over.

James Madison Looks to Keep Up its Winning Ways 

James Madison (5-4-0 ATS, 2-7-0 O/U) has already won 7 games this season and qualified for a Bowl, but this team, which saw Head Coach Curt Cignetti and 13 players head to Indiana in the offseason to play for the still undefeated Hoosiers, is very intent on winning, or at least grabbing a share of the Sun Belt title after knocking off Georgia State in Week 11. QB Alona Barnett III (2,024 passing yards, 21 TD, 2 Interceptions), RB George Pettway (664 rushing yards), and WR Omarion Dollison (444 receiving yards) have been very careful with the football and come in with an impressive +2.00 TO Differential (#1) behind Jacob Dobbs (64 tackles) and a solid Dukes defense.

James Madison Betting Trends

  • James Madison has 16 Interceptions and 8 Fumble Recoveries 
  • The Dukes only have thrown 2 Picks and lost 4 Fumbles (+18)
  • James Madison has played 5 consecutive Unders
  • The Dukes are 2-0 lifetime vs ODU, 1-1 ATS
  • James Madison has had 463 and 492 Total yards in the 2 series meetings

Old Dominion Needs 2 Wins in Last 3 to Make a Bowl

Old Dominion (5-4-0 ATS, 4-5-0 O/U) won 3 straight (GSU, TX ST, GA SO) before losing to Appalachian State last weekend, and the Monarchs need to squeeze out two wins here in their last 3 games against James Madison, Marshall (Nov. 23), and Arkansas State (Nov. 20) in order to get to 6 and become Bowl eligible. A loss to the Dukes here and ODU will have to win those last two to keep playing football in December. On offense, the Monarchs are led by QB Colton Joseph (1,207 passing yards), RB Aaron Young (541 rushing yards), and WR Isiah Page (622 receiving yards) while S Jahron Manning (75 tackles) is one the key cogs on the Old Dominion defense.

Old Dominion Betting Trends

  • Old Dominion have been outscored 67-30 in this series
  • ODU is 2-0 ATS at Home in Sun Belt, 0-2 ATS in Non-Conference games 
  • The Monarchs have been Underdogs in 8 of 10 games in 2024 
  • The Under is 3-1 in the last 4 ODU games overall
  • Old Dominion is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 games

James Madison vs Old Dominion Pick and Prediction

This James Madison vs Old Dominion prediction and free NCAAF pick comes down to who the better team is, and that has been James Madison, despite losing so much talent off last year’s roster to Indiana. The Dukes clobbered North Carolina (70-50) and Ball State (63-7) to get off to a 4-0 start before being upset at UL Monroe (21-19) in the bayou. Against common opponent Coastal Carolina, James Madison won 39-7 while Old Dominion lost to the Chanticleers, 46-37. Barnett III and James Madison can be extremely prolific on Offense, are used to winning and have the best TO Margin in the land, so laying just 3 here seems like a wise decision and the logical betting approach.

Kevin’s Pick: James Madison -3