Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs 11-4-23

Hawai’i vs Utah State 11/16 NCAAF Week 12 Picks

Hawai’i vs Utah State 11/16/24 Game Info

When: Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 3 EST/12 PST
Where: Maverik Stadium (AstroTurf) Logan, Utah
Hawai’i vs Utah State Line: Hawai’i -2.5
Total: 60.5
TV: None

Hawai’i vs Utah State Preview

This Mountain West Conference Week 12 game sees Hawai’i (4-6, 2-3 in MWC) heading to the Beehive State to face Utah State (2-7, 1-3 in MWC) in a game which will be played in some chilly temperatures with the forecast in Logan, Utah calling for 38° at gametime. Both teams are coming off losses, the Golden Rainbows to UNLV in Honolulu (29-27) with the Aggies losing at No. 21 Washington State (49-28) in a game that saw the Home team cover by a half-point. While Utah State has been more of an Over team this season (6-3-0), Hawai’i games have trended to the Under, with 7 of 10 of its games going under the Total, making them one of the best Under teams in FBS. But being used to that beautiful Honolulu weather, will playing in the cold in the Bear River Mountains affect the Rainbow Warriors?

Hawai’i Needs a Win Here to Get to 5 on the Season 

Outside of a loss to Sam Houston State in Week 3, Hawai’i (5-4-1, 3-7-0 O/U) has won the games it was supposed to win and lost the ones vs tougher opponents. The Rainbow Warriors have lost 4 of their last 5, but to San Diego State on the mainland, Boise State, Washington State and last weekend vs UNLV. QB Brandon Schager (2,467 passing yards, 19 TD, 10 Interceptions) and his cast of dynamic WRs, Nick Cenacle (50 receptions, 556 yards, 5 TD, 11.1 ypc) Pofele Ashlock (51 receptions, 538 yards, 5 TD, 10.5 ypc), Dekel Crowdus (26 receptions, 290 yards, 2 TD, 24.2 ypc), and Jonah Panoke (26 receptions, 284 yards, 3 TD, 10.9 ypc) spearhead the Bows offense. If the Rainbow Warriors can win here and get to 5 on the season, they will be just one win away from Bowl eligibility and with only New Mexico left on the Regular Season schedule (Nov. 3), Hawai’i needs to win out these last to to have a .500 season overall, be above .500 in the MWC, and extend its evolutionary season with a Bowl appearance in December.

Hawai’i Betting Trends

  • Hawai’l is a profitable 3-0 ATS in its last 3 games 
  • The Over is 3-0 the last 3 in this series, 7-3-0 the last 10 
  • The Rainbow Warriors have lost 7 straight to Utah State
  • The First Half Under is 10-2 the last 12 Hawai’i games (+7.65 units)
  • Hawai’i is 0-3 SU/ATS in its last 3 trips to Logan, Utah 

Utah State Looks For 8th Straight Win vs Hawai’i

Utah State (2-7-0 ATS, 6-3-0 O/U) has had a tough 2024 season, mustering only wins against FCS side Robert Morris in the opener and Wyoming, But like Hawai’i, the Aggies have won the games they have supposed to win and lost to much tougher opponents, five of them ranked (and still ranked) at the time they played (#13 USC, #12 Utah, Temple, #21 Boise State, UNLV, New Mexico, #21 Washington State). So this hasn’t exactly been a season to remember in Logan, but QB Spencer Petras (2,033 passing yards), RB Rashul Faison (800 rushing yards), and WR Jalen Royals (834 receiving yards) are better than the record indicates and can score points (27.8 ppg, #71). Here against the Rainbow Warriors, it will be a clash of styles, but the Home Site and Weather should end up being big advantages for the hosts.

Utah State Betting Trends

  • Utah State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games vs Hawai’i
  • The Over is 8-4 in the Aggies last 12 games
  • Utah State is 12-6 SU lifetime vs Hawai’i, 4-2 at Home 
  • The Aggies are 0-3 ATS their last 3 games, 1-5 the last 6
  • Utah State averages 34.4 ppg vs the Rainbow Warriors

Hawai’i vs Utah State Pick and Prediction

The Rainbow Warriors will have to travel 3,008 miles from Honolulu to Logan and play in a Time Zone (MST) three hours ahead of their HST (Hawai’i Standard Time) Body Clocks, so that means this game equates to a 9 am kick off for the visitors. Toss in the cold weather and the Rainbow Warriors may be in for a literal rude awakening on Saturday. Bring parkas, not leis, bruh. With Utah State used to offensive production on its AstroTurf GameDay Grass 3D60 Extreme playing surface, expect the hosts to get their obligatory 30 points here and USU will just be glad it isn’t facing a tough opponent, although Hawai’i is better than it has been in previous seasons. This Hawai’i vs Utah State prediction and free NCAAF pick comes down to four key things: 1—The Site (Time and Travel); 2—The Weather (Cold); 3—The Series History (USU won 7 straight); and 4—The Number (USU getting 2.5-3 points). Shop around if taking the Aggies as there are 3’s out there in the online marketplace now (Caesars Sportsbook).

 

Kevin’s Pick: Utah State +3