Free College Football Picks Week 12 Part 1-11/16/2024
Texas vs. Arkansas College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Texas at Arkansas 12PM ET—Texas improved to 8-1 following their 49-17 home victory to Florida. The Longhorns gained 562 yards with 210 rushing for 6.8 yards per run. On defense they allowed 329 yards to the Gators with 132 passing on 25 attempts. Quinn Ewers completed 19 of 27 for 333 yards five touchdowns. Arkansas moves to 5-4 after their 63-31 home defeat to Ole Miss. The Razorbacks put up 492 yards with 127 rushing for 3.4 yards per run. On defense they allowed 694 yards to the Rebels with 562 passing on 34 attempts. Taylen Green went 10 of 14 for 158 yards. He is expected to play on Saturday following the knee injury aided by the bye week.
The Pick with the Explanation
Arkansas against the SEC is completing 70.8% of his passes for 8.8 yards per pass attempt. They defend the run well against the conference but surrenders 66% completions for 9.2 yards per pass attempt. Texas in their road games is rushing for 4.4 yards a carry with 7.3 yards per pass attempt. They have defended well on the road. Texas is 2-7 to the spread on the road facing teams that average 250 yards passing yards per game or greater. Play Arkansas +14.
Liberty vs. Massachusetts College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Liberty at UMASS 12PM ET—Liberty improves to 6-2 following their 37-17 road win at Middle Tennessee St. The Flames gained 500 yards with 339 rushing for 6.8 yards per rush. On defense they allowed 351 yards to the Blue Raiders with 263 passing on 33 attempts. Kaidon Salter hit 11 of 15 for 154 yards with two touchdowns. He rushed for 94 yards and a touchdown. UMASS fell to 2-7 after their 45-20 road defeat at Mississippi St. The Minutemen put up 463 yards with 241 rushing for 8 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 335 yards to the Minutemen with 199 rushing for 4.1 yards per run. Ahmad Haston hit 4 of 5 for 25 yards. The red shirt freshman played for Taisun Phommachanh who is likely out for the season.
The Pick with the Explanation
Liberty in their road games is rushing for 6.4 yards a carry with 7.3 yards per pass attempt. They defend the run well and allow 63% completions. The Minutemen defensive form poor as in their past three games allowing 32 points with 5.4 yards per run with 8.8 yards per pass attempt. In this period UMASS is struggling with quarterback accuracy and efficiency. Play Liberty -14.
Louisiana Tech vs. Western Kentucky College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky 12PM ET—Louisiana Tech fell to 3-6 following their 44-37 home defeat to Jacksonville St. The Bulldogs put up 410 yards with 144 rushing for three yards a carry. On defense they allowed 381 yards to the Gamecocks with 191 rushing for 3.2 yards per run. Evan Bullock completed 16 of 23 for 266 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. Western Kentucky moves to 7-2 after their 41-28 road win at New Mexico St. The Hilltoppers put up 413 yards with 116 rushing for 3.3 yards per run. On defense they allowed 460 yards to the Aggies with 331 rushing for 6 yards per run. Caden Veltkamp went 18 of 27 for 246 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. He rushed for two touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
Louisiana Tech in conference USA is rushing for 3 yards a carry with 7.5 yards per pass attempt. They have defended well in conference by allowing 3.3 yards per carry with 6.6 yards per pass attempt. WKU is putting up 39.2 points per game against CUSA with 4.2 yards per run with 73% completions for 11.1 yards per pass attempt. On defense the Hilltoppers allow 59.3% completions against the conference. Louisiana Tech is 2-9 to the spread on the road against Conference USA and 0-5 to the spread on the road facing teams that average 250 yards passing per game. WKU is 4-0 to the spread at home when favored by 10.5 to 21 points. Play Western Kentucky-13.5.
Tulane vs. Navy College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Tulane at Navy 12PM ET—Tulane improved to 8-2 following their 52-6 home victory to Temple. The Green Wave gained 589 yards with 327 rushing for 6.3 yards per run. On defense they allowed 158yards to the Owls with 56 passing on 22 attempts. Darian Mensah completed 14 of 21 for 262 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Navy is 7-2 after their 28-7 road win at USF. The Midshipmen put up 379 yards with 321 rushing for 5.4 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 342 yards to the Bulls with 282 passing on 44 attempts. Blake Horvath went 6 of 11 for 58 yards and a touchdown. He rushed for 56 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Navy facing the AAC is putting up 37.3 points per game with 5.6 yards per run and 10.6 yards per pass attempt. They have been defending well against the conference. Tulane as is with Navy are putting gup great numbers on both ends of the field against the AAC. Their passing numbers and run defense though are not as good on the road. The Green Wave has played a rather weak schedule the past several weeks. Play Navy +6.5.
Clemson vs. Pittsburgh College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Clemson at Pittsburgh 12PM ET—Clemson improved to 7-2 following their 24-14 road win at Virginia Tech. The Tigers gained 378 yards with 167 rushing for 3.6 yards per run. On defense they allowed 228 yards to the Hokies with 40 rushing yards for 1.9 yards per run. Cade Klubnik completed 16 of 34 for 211 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. Pittsburgh fell to 7-2 after their 24-19 home defeat to Virginia. The Panthers posted 292 yards with 127 rushing for 4 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 340 yards to the Cavaliers with 170 rushing for 3.8 yards per run. Eli Holstein went 10 of 23 for 121 yards. He is questionable with a head injury. Nate Yarnell took over and hit 4 of 12 for 44 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
Holstein injury a massive concern here. The Tigers against the ACC and put up 38.6 points per game with 5.5 yards per run and 267 yards passing for 6.9 yards per pass attempt. They have held ACC foes to 4 yards per run and 53.9% completions. The Panthers have struggled in conference play with the running game and with accuracy as well as efficiency in the passing game. On defense against the conference the Panthers allow 6.6 yards per pass attempt. Two straight losses for the Panthers. Play Clemson -10.
Ohio St vs. Northwestern College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Ohio St at Northwestern 12PM ET—Ohio St improved to 8-1 following their 45-0 home victory to Purdue. The Buckeyes gained 433 yards with 173 rushing for 4.9 yards per run. On defense they allowed 206 yards to the Boilermakers with 108 passing on 21 attempts. Will Howard hit 21 of 26 for 260 yards with three touchdowns. Northwestern is 4-5 after their 26-20 road overtime win at Purdue. The Wildcats produced 424 yards with 122 rushing for 4.1 yards per rush. On defense they allowed 337 yards to the Boilermakers with 47 rushing for 2 yards per run. Jack Lausch completed 23 of 35 for 250 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Ohio St against the Big Ten is rushing for 4.4 yards a carry with 73.1% completions for 8.7 yards per pass attempt. They defended well against the conference. Northwestern offense against the conference has struggled on the ground and with quarterback accuracy along with efficiency. They surrender 254 yards passing against the Big Ten with 7.4 yards per pass attempt. The Wildcats are 1-3 to the spread at home facing teams that allow 310 yards per game or fewer. Play Ohio St -29.5.
Utah vs. Colorado College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Utah at Colorado—Utah fell to 4-5 following their 22-21 home defeat to BYU. The Utes gained 259 yards with 147 rushing for 4.9 yards per run. On defense they allowed 339 yards to the Cougars with 219 passing on 33 attempts. Brandon Rose completed 12 of 21 for 112 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Colorado improved to 7-2 with their 41-27 road win at Texas Tech. The Buffs put up 351 yards with 60 rushing for 2.2 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 368 yards to the Red Raiders with 275 passing on 41 attempts. Shedeur Sanders hit 30 of 43 for 291 yards and three touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Pick:
The Utes on the road rush for 4.6 yards a carry while on defense allow 4.4 yards per run and 49.1% completion rate. The Buffs have passed well in conference but run for only 2.7 yards a carry. Defensively they allow 7.1 yards per pass attempt. Play Utah +10.5.
UL Monroe vs. Auburn College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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UL Monroe at Auburn 12:45PM ET—UL Monroe fell to 5-4 following their 38-17 home defeat to Texas St. The Warhawks gained 278 yards with 159 rushing for nearly four yards per carry. On defense they allowed 398 yards to the Bobcats with 326 rushing for 6 yards a carry. Aidan Armenta completed 13 of 24 for 119 yards and an interception. Auburn is 3-6 after their 17-7 home defeat to Vanderbilt. The Tigers posted 327 yards with 88 rushing for 3 yards a carry. On defense they held the Commodores to 227 yards with 143 passing on 23 attempts. Payton Thorne had a shoulder injury and missed practice last week. He is questionable here. Redshirt freshman Hank Brown has seen limited work this year competing 62.8% of his passes with 9.4 yards per pass attempt.
The Pick with the Explanation
Louisiana Monroe defensively on the road is allowing 5.6 yards per run with 7.4 yards per pass attempt. They rushed for 4.6 yards a carry and struggled with quarterback accuracy. Auburn at home this year is rushing for 5 yards per carry and passing for 251 yards for 8.7 yards per pass attempt. Defensively they have allowed 19 points per game at home with 6.6 yards per pass attempt. Louisiana Monroe is 3-1 to the over on the road facing teams that rush for 4.75 yards per carry or higher. Auburn is 3-0 to the over at home following a home loss. Play UL Monroe and Auburn over 46.
Coastal Carolina vs. Marshall College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Coastal Carolina at Marshall 1PM ET—Coastal Carolina improved to 5-4 following their 38-24 home victory to Appalachian St. The Chanticleers gained 353 yards with 203 rushing for 5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 376 yards to the Mountaineers with 150 rushing for 3.8 yards a carry. Ethan Vasko hit 14 of 18 for 150 yards with a touchdown. He rushed for 52 yards and a touchdown. Marshall is 6-3 with their 37-3 road win at Southern Miss. The Thundering Herd put up 526 yards with 267 rushing for 5.7 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 183 yards to the Golden Eagles with 70 passing on 18 attempts. Braylon Braxton went 14 of 21 for 220 yards with a touchdown and pick. He rushed for 59 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Coastal Carolina against the Sun Belt rushed for 4.7 yards a carry with 7.3 yards per pass attempt. They have been poor defensively in conference by allowing 5.1 yards per rush with 8.2 yards per pass attempt. Marshall has moved the ball effectively in conference with 5.7 yards a carry with 8.2 yards per pass attempt with 6.9 yards allowed per pass attempt. The Chanticleers are 4-2 to the spread as a road underdog. Play Coastal Carolina +8.5.
FAU vs. Temple College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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FAU fell to 2-7 following their 49-14 road defeat at East Carolina. The Owls gained 399 yards with 137 rushing for 4.3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 571 yards to the Pirates with 343 passing on 22 attempts. Kasen Weisman hit 20 of 35 passes for 188 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Temple is 2-7 with their 52-6 road defeat at Tulane. The Owls put up 158 yards with 102 rushing for 4.4 yards per carry. On defense they allowed 589 yards to the Green Wave with 327 rushing for 6.3 yards a carry. Evan Simon went 11 of 22 for 56 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
In AAC play FAU rushes for 3.9 yards a carry and averaged 243 yards passing with 7 yards per pass attempt. They have been defending poorly against the conference by allowing 6.1 yards per run with 8.6 yards per pass attempt. Temple against the conference has been poor on defense. They rush for only 2.5 yards per carry with 6.3 yards per pass attempt against the AAC. FAU is getting better work from the quarterback position. Play FAU -2.5.
FIU vs. Jacksonville St College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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FIU at Jacksonville St—FIU improved to 3-6 following their 34-13 home victory to New Mexico St. the Panthers gained 438 yards with 100 rushing for 2.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 246 yards to the Aggies with 30 passing on 19 attempts. Keyone Jenkins went 18 of 27 for 338 yards and four touchdowns. Jacksonville St sits at 6-3 with their 44-37 road win at Louisiana Tech. The Gamecocks put up 391 yards with 191 rushing for 3.2 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 410 yards to the Bulldogs with 286 passing on 23 attempts. Tyler Huff went 14 of 31 for 200 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He rushed for 42 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
FIU in the conference has struggled running the football but has been efficient in the passing game. The defensive numbers have been good against CUSA allowing 4.4 yards per run with 5.3 yards per pass attempt. Jacksonville St puts up 47 points per game against the conference with 6.5 yards per run and 8 yards per pass attempt. Defensively the Gamecocks hold foes to 4.2 yards per run with 57.6% completions. FIU is 1-3 to the spread on the road facing teams that average 425 yards per game or greater. The Gamecocks are 6-1 to the spread as a home favorite. Play Jacksonville St -14.
Michigan St vs. Illinois College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Michigan St at Illinois 2:30PM ET—Michigan St fell to 4-5 after their 47-10 home defeat to Indiana. The Spartans put up 265 yards with 36 rushing on 32 attempts. On defense they allowed 385 yards to the Hoosiers with 263 passing on 29 attempts. Aiden Chiles completed 16 of 24 for 193 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. Illinois is 6-3 after their 25-17 home defeat to Minnesota. The Fighting Illini posted 352 yards with 126 rushing for 4.3 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 361 yards to the Golden Gophers with 148 rushing for 4.6 yards a carry. Luke Altmyer hit 20 of 33 for 226 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Michigan St on the road has struggled defending the pass by allowing 69% completions for 7.8 yards per pass attempt. They rush for 3.6 yards a carry away from home and throw for 8.3 yards per pass attempt. Illinois in the conference runs for only 3.9 yards a carry with 7.2 yards per pass attempt. Defensively in the conference the Fighting Illini allows 4.7 yards per run with 8.1 yards per pass attempt. The Spartans lost five of six. They have averaged 15.3 points per game in their past three road games. Play Illinois -2.5.
Sam Houston St vs. Kennesaw St College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Sam Houston St at Kennesaw St—Sam Houston ST improved to 7-2 following their 9-3 home victory to Louisiana Tech. The Bearcats gained 268 yards with 105 rushing for three yards a carry. On defense they held the Bulldogs to 312 yards with 105 rushing for 2.6 yards a carry. Hunter Watson hit 14 of 22 for 146 yards and an interception. Kennesaw St moves to 1-8 with their 43-35 road defeat at UTEP. The Owls put up 300 yards with 117 rushing for 2.8 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 453 yards to the Miners with 333 passing on 34 attempts. Davis Bryson went 14 of 25 for 183 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. He rushed for 70 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Sam Houston has rushed for 4.5 yards a carry in CUSA but has struggled in the passing game with accuracy and efficiency. They have defended well against conference foes by allowing 14.6 points per game. Kennesaw St rushes for 3.7 yards a carry against CUSA and struggles in their passing game. They allow conference foes to 4.8 yards per run with 7.8 yards per pass attempt. The Owls are 2-0 to the over at home. The Owls gave up 43 to UTEP, 31 to Western Kentucky and 62 to Jacksonville St in conference play. Play Sam Houston St and Kennesaw St over 42.5.
Syracuse vs. California College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Syracuse at California—Syracuse moves to 6-3 following their 37-31 road defeat to Boston College. The Orange gained 431 yards with 39 rushing on 25 carries. On defense they allowed 378 yards to the Eagles with 313 rushing for 6.1 yards a carry. Kyle McCord hit 31 of 48 for 392 yards with two touchdowns. Cal improved to 5-4 with their 46-36 road win at Wake Forest. The Golden Bears posted 500 yards with 115 rushing for 3.7 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 386 yards to the Demon Deacons with 274 passing on 48 attempts. Fernando Mendoza hit 40 of 56 for 384 yards with two touchdowns and a pick. He rushed for 51 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Syracuse against the ACC has struggled on the ground by throws for 343 yards with 7.4 yards per pass attempt. Defensively in conference they allow 5.1 yards per run with 7.4 yards per pass attempt. Cal in ACC play rushes for only 2.9 yards a carry with an efficient passing game. Defensively in conference the Golden Bears allow 3.1 yards per run with 271 passing for 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Syracuse is 0-5 to the spread on the road facing teams that average 250 yards per passing game or greater. Play California -8.
Hawaii vs. Utah St College Football Pick Prediction 11/16/2024
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Hawaii at Utah St 3PM ET—Hawaii fell to 4-6 following their 28-27 home defeat to UNLV. The Warriors gained 374 yards with 92 rushing for 3 yards per run. On defense they allowed 465 yards to the Rebels with 290 rushing for 6 yards per carry. Brayden Schager went 14 of 35 for 282 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. He rushed for 42 yards. Utah St drops to 2-7 after their 49-28 road defeat at Washington St. The Aggies put up 395 yards with 187 rushing for 6.9 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 482 yards to the Cougars with 303 rushing for 6.7 yards a carry. Spencer Petras completed 28 of 45 for 208 yards with two touchdowns and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Hawaii has struggled offensively on the road with 3.2 yards per run and issues with inaccurate with inefficient play at quarterback. Defensively on the road the Warriors allow 77% completions for 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Utah St has moved the ball effectively through the ground and air on the year. Their defense has been poor on their home field. Hawaii is 0-2 to the spread on the road facing teams that average 5.9 yards per play or greater. The Aggies are 8-2 to the spread at home following a road game. Play Utah St +2.5.