| Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz Prediction 11/12/24 | |
| When: | Tuesday, November 12, 2024 at 09:00 pm |
| Where: | Delta Center in Utah, CO, USA |
| TV: | NBA TV |
| Phoenix Suns Odds: | -5.5 |
| Utah Jazz Odds: | +5.5 |
| Over/Under | 234 |
In the opening day of the NBA In-Season tournament, we will take a look at a Western matchup between two teams sitting on opposite sides of the conference table. The Suns are fresh off the Kevin Durant injury news, who will be re-evaluated in two weeks, while the Jazz saw two of their best scorers return to the lineup, and are coming off their second win of the season.
Below is a detailed analysis for the Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz game.
Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz Prediction
Utah Jazz Report: Keyonte George is day-to-day, Taylor Hendricks is out.
Phoenix Suns Report: Kevin Durant is out.
Utah Jazz Recent Form and Trends
The Jazz have a 2-7 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the West. The Jazz are 4-5 against the spread and 3-6 in over/under. Utah is winless at home with a 0-4 record, and 1-3 against the spread with a league-low -19.5-point differential. The Jazz are 2-1 in their last 3 games and 6-2 to the under in their last 8 games.
The Jazz are coming off a 111-110 road victory against the San Antonio Spurs, covering the +6.5-point spread as the game went under the 221.5-point total. Utah had a decent shooting night with 46% from the field, managed to control the boards with 45-37 and dominated San Antonio in points in the paint with 54-34. Collin Sexton led Utah’s offense with 23 points and 4 rebounds, while Lauri Markkanen added 20 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists.
Markkanen leads the Jazz in scoring with 16.7 points, adding 7 rebounds per game. John Collins adds 15.8 points and 7.4 rebounds per game.
Phoenix Suns Recent Form and Trends
The Phoenix Suns have an 8-2 record this season and are tied with the Warriors and the Thunder on the first place of the West. The Suns are 3-7 against the spread and 6-4 in over/under. Phoenix is 3-1 on the road but 2-2 against the spread, with a +0.8-point differential. The Suns are 7-1 in their last 8 games, but just 1-4 against the spread. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 games.
The Suns are coming off a 118-127 home loss against the Kings in overtime that snapped their previous seven-game winning streak. They failed to cover the +1-point spread as the game went over the 229.5-point total, but had 222 total points in regulation. The Suns allowed the Kings to shoot with 49% from the field and failed to secure the boards (57-48). Three Phoenix players had 22+ points, led by Bradley Beal with 28 points and 8 rebounds, while Devin Booker added 23 points and a game-high 12 assists.
Kevin Durant leads the Suns in scoring with 27.6 points, adding 6.6 rebounds per game. Devin Booker adds 23.1 points and a team-high 7.3 assists.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Jazz are dead last in the league with just 105 points per game. Utah is also last in field goal percentage with 42% and 28th in 3-point percentage with 31.6%. Defensively, they rank 26th in the NBA, allowing 118.9 points per game. The Jazz have the worst offensive rating in the league with 103.1, and are 24th in defensive rating with 116.7.
Offensively, the Suns average 114.8 points per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. They are 12th field goal percentage with 47%, while they shoot with 37.4% from beyond the arc (9th). Defensively, the Suns allow 112.7 points per game, which is 17th in the league. Phoenix is 13th in offensive rating in the NBA with 113, and are 13th in defensive rating with 111.
The Suns won all four meetings against the Jazz last season, but were 2-2 against the spread. Phoenix is 6-0 in their last 6 meetings, and 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Utah. The Jazz are 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 meetings in Utah. Over is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings.
Prediction
In this Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz Prediction, the Suns are coming as -5.5 road favorites. The Over/Under is set at 232 points and I’m looking at the under here. The Suns have an average total of 223 points in their last 8 games, and they will be missing their top scorer, Kevin Durant. The Jazz are struggling mightily offensively, as they have average just 102.6 points per game in their last 8 games. This total is way too high, so I’m taking the under 232 in this one.