Missouri vs South Carolina Preview 11/16/24 Game Info

Missouri vs South Carolina Preview

No. 24 Missouri (7-2, 3-2 in SEC) needs to do everything right to stay in the Top 25 and make the College Football Playoff (CFP) as a longshot, and the Tigers will really be up against it here in Week 12 when they in Columbia to face a solid South Carolina side (6-3, 4-3 in SEC) on Saturday afternoon. Both come in off Week 10 wins, but the Gamecocks have won 3 in a row, allowing just 36 points and scoring 107. Both lost to common opponent Alabama is Tuscaloosa, but the Tigers were shut out, 34-0 while this South Carolina side almost pulled off the upset, losing 27-25 in Week 8. What should strike people as interesting here is the fact Mizzou is ranked but an 11.5- to 12-point underdog to an unranked Gamecocks side. The oddsmakers don’t make mistakes. Let’s look at the important numbers and Trends and make a Missouri vs South Carolina prediction.

Mizzou Ranked, But Up Against on Saturday

Missouri (5-4-0 ATS, 3-6-0 O/U) is led by QB B Cook (1,575 passing yards, 7 TD, Interception), RB N Noel (534 rushing yards, 3 TD), and WR Theo Wease Jr. (552 receiving yards, 3 TD), but the Tigers haven’t been has prolific as they hoped heading into the season and are averaging 28.0 ppg (#67). Mizzou is beating the teams it is supposed to beat (UMass, Auburn, Oklahoma) but was whacked by stronger SEC opponents like Alabama (34-0) and Texas A&M (41-10) who outscored the Tigers 75-10. With Mississippi State (Nov. 23) and Arkansas (Nov. 30) left on the Regular Season schedule, this game will loom large on where Missouri ends up playing come Winter and if it has a shot of squeezing into one of the 12 CFP bracket spots (+2500, FanDuel).

Missouri Betting Trends

• Missouri is 5-0 SU/ATS the last 5 meetings 
• The Tigers are 7-3 AU/ATS in the last 10 meetings
• The Under is 3-1 in the last 3 Missouri games
• The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 in this series
• Missouri is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 overall
• The Tigers are 8-2 SU in their last 10 overall

SC Seeking to End 5-Game Losing Streak to Missouri

South Carolina (7-2 ATS, 5-4 O/U) has been one of the best FBS teams ATS this season, losing to the betting number only against Old Dominion in its season opener (SC -20.5, W 23-19) and vs Ole Miss (SC +10.5, L 27-3). QB Lannoris Sellers (1,340 passing yards, 8 TD, 4 Interceptions), RB Raheiom Sanders (696 yards, 10 TD), and WR Joshua Simon (357 receiving yards, 5 TD) lead a Gamecocks offense averaging 30.2 ppg (#52), but they will be up against it here vs a Missouri unit very stout defensively (18.4 ppg, tied #16). Sanders has gone wild over the last two games, rushing for 126 yards and 2 TD vs Vanderbilt (8.4 ypc) after a 144-yard game with 2 TDs vs No. 10 Texas A&M (7.2 ypc). So if the Tigers can keep Sanders in check, they may be able to win in Columbia.

South Carolina Betting Trends

• South Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
• The Gamecocks are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 at Home vs Missouri
• South Carolina is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 (+5.70 units)
• The Over is 5-2 in the Gamecocks last 7 games
• The First Half Under is 8-2 n the last 12 SC games

Missouri vs South Carolina Pick and Prediction

This Missouri vs South Carolina prediction and free NCAAF pick is a hard one, with the Gamecocks the hotter team now and at Home while the Tigers have dominated this series over the past five years. One big Trend expert handicappers like to use in their toolbox—both in College Football and College Basketball—is betting on Unranked Home Favorites, and here we have just that and in a big way. While Missouri cracks the Top 25 and SC doesnt, the Gamecocks are still considerable double-digit Favorites. Looking at two things supports taking the Gamecocks and laying the lumber. The first is a common opponent, Texas A&M—tied with Tennessee for the SEC lead. SC beat the Aggies by 24 here, while Mizzou was clocked by A&M, 41-10. The second reality is that the Tigers have played two SEC Road games and lost to A&M by 31 and Alabama by 34. South Carolina should be able to win by 15 here if Sanders can keep rolling from the backfield.

Kevin’s Pick: South Carolina -12