| Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 11/12/24 | |
| When: | Tuesday, November 12, 2024 at 10:00 pm |
| Where: | Chase Center in Oakland, CA, USA |
| TV: | NBA TV |
| Dallas Mavericks Odds: | +2 |
| Golden State Warriors Odds: | -2 |
| Over/Under | 234 |
In the opening day of the NBA In-Season tournament, we will take a look at a rematch of the 2022 Western Conference Finals, as the Golden State Warriors are hosting the Dallas Mavericks. Even though the dubs’ player core is getting old, there are playing surprisingly good basketball and are tied for first in the West. On the other hand, the Mavs have been mediocre this season but are coming to this matchup looking for revenge for that 1-4 elimination in the 2022 WCF.
Below is a detailed analysis for the Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors game.
Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
Golden State Warriors Report: No injuries
Dallas Mavericks Report: Derreck Lively, PJ Washington are day-to-day, Dante Exum is out.
Golden State Warriors Recent Form and Trends
The Warriors have an 8-2 record this season and are tied with the Suns and the Thunder on the first place of the West. The Warriors are 8-2 against the spread and 7-3 in over/under. Golden State has a 2-1 home record, and 2-1 against the spread with a strong +8.3-point differential. The Warriors are 6-1 in their last 7 games both straight up and against the spread. Over is 5-0 in their last 5 games.
The Warriors are coming off a 127-116 road victory against the Thunder, covering the +6.5-point spread as the game went over the 228.5-point total. The Warriors looked like the dubs of old, torching OKC from downtown with 21 made triples on 49% shooting. Steph Curry led the Warriors’ offense with a game-high 36 points with 7 triples, 5 rebounds and 7 assists. Jonathan Kuminga added 20 points and 5 rebounds off the bench.
Curry leads the Warriors in scoring with 22 points, adding 4.6 rebounds and a team-high 6.3 assists per game. Buddy Hield adds 18 points and 4.3 rebounds per game.
Dallas Mavericks Recent Form and Trends
The Mavs have a 5-5 record this season and are sitting on the 11th place of the West. The Mavericks are 4-5-1 against the spread and 4-6 in over/under. Dallas is 1-2 on the road but 1-1-1 against the spread, with a -2.7-point differential. The Mavs are 1-3 in their last 4 games and 4-2 to the under.
The Mavericks are coming off a 120-122 road loss against the Nuggets, as the game went over the 233-point total, but had 222 total points in regulation. Dallas managed to lose this game even though they shot with 53% from the field, as they got dominated by Nikola Jokic who had a monster triple double with 37 points, 18 rebounds and 15 assists. Kyrie Irving led the Mavs’ offense with 43 points with 6 triples, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
Luka Doncic leads the Mavs in scoring with 28.3 points, adding 8.1 rebounds and a team-high 8.1 assists per game. Kyrie Irving adds 25.6 points, 4.8 rebounds and 4.8 assists.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Warriors are second in the league with 121.3 points per game. The Dubs are 6th in field goal percentage with 47.8% and 4th in 3-point percentage with 39.5%. Defensively, they rank 7th in the NBA, allowing 109.4 points per game. The Warriors are 4th in offensive rating in the league with 119.2, and are third in defensive rating with 107.6.
Offensively, the Mavs average 114.1 points per game, which ranks 15th in the NBA. They are 11th field goal percentage with 47.3%, while they shoot with 34.8% from beyond the arc (20th). Defensively, the Mavs allow 110.1 points per game, which is 11th in the league. Dallas is 10th in offensive rating in the NBA with 114.2, and also 10th in defensive rating with 110.3.
The Mavericks won all three meetings against the Warriors last season, and were 3-0 against the spread. Dallas is 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 meetings. Over is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.
Prediction
In this Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, the Warriors are coming as -2 home favorites. Even though the Mavs dominated the Warriors last season, I expect this to change in this game. The Warriors are clearly in a better spot, playing excellent basketball and having lost only once in their last seven games. Dallas is coming off a hard-fought battle in Denver, are right in the middle of a three-game Western road trip and had to travel back from the high altitude of Colorado. This is a Warriors spot in a very nice price, so pick the Golden State Warriors on the moneyline at home.