Los Angeles Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 11/11/24 | |
When: | Monday, November 11, 2024 at 08:00 pm |
Where: | Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK, USA |
TV: | NBA TV |
Los Angeles Clippers Odds: | +10.5 |
Oklahoma City Thunder Odds: | -10.5 |
Over/Under | 217.5 |
In this Western showdown between two teams having successful courses so far this season, the Oklahoma City Thunder are hosting the Los Angeles Clippers. Both teams are currently within the top-8 of the Western conference and both have exceeded expectations so far.
The Thunder have been one of the best teams of the whole NBA thus far, while the Clippers are doing much better than expected, given the fact that they are playing without three of last season’s starters. Paul George and Russell Westbrook left the team and Kawhi Leonard still dealing with an injury, leaving James Harden as the only star in this Clippers team.
Below is a detailed analysis for the Los Angeles Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder game.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
Thunder Injury Report: Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Isiah Hartenstein and Nikola Topic are out.
Clippers Injury Report: PJ Tucker, Mo Bamba and Kawhi Leonard are out.
Oklahoma City Thunder Recent Form and Trends
The Oklahoma City Thunder has an 8-1 record this season and are tied with the Phoenix Suns in the first place of the West. The Thunder are 7-2 against the spread and 4-5 in over/under. The Thunder have a perfect 4-0 home record and 3-1 against the spread, with a dominant +17.8-point differential. Oklahoma City is 7-1 straight up in their last 8 games and 4-1 against the spread in their last 4.
The Thunder are coming off a 126-107 home victory against the Houston Rockets, covering the -7.5-point spread as the game went over the 221.5-point total. The dynamic young duo of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren led the Thunder’s offense with 29 points apiece.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the Thunder both in scoring with 26.3 points, and in assists made with 6.4, adding 5.9 rebounds per game. His numbers are down compared to last season but the Thunder are winning, which indicates how complete this team is. Jalen Williams adds 19 points, 6.6 rebounds and 5 assists per game.
Los Angeles Clippers Recent Form and Trends
The Los Angeles Clippers have a 6-4 record this season and are tied with the Memphis Grizzlies on the 6th place of the Western Conference. The Clippers are 6-4 against the spread and 3-7 in over/under. The Clippers are perfect on the road with a 3-0 record and 3-0 against the spread, with a positive +7.3-point differential. LA is 4-0 in their last 4 games and 3-1 against the spread.
The Clippers are coming off a hard-fought 105-103 home win against the Raptors, not covering the -6-point spread as the game went under the 226.5-point total. The Clippers had yet another efficient defensive performance, as they held Toronto into just 42% from the field. James Harden and Normal Powell led LA’s offense with 24 points apiece, with Harden adding 12 rebounds and a team-high 7 assists.
Normal Powell leads the Clips in scoring with 25.5 points, with excellent shooting percentages, 51.5% from the field and 49.4% from downtown. James Harden adds 21.2 points, 8.1 rebounds and a team-high 9 assists.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Thunder are scoring 115.7 points per game, which is 11th in the league. They shoot 46.3% from the field (17th) and 35.7% from beyond the arc (15th). Defensively, they are the best team in the NBA, allowing 100.2 points per game. OKC is 16th in offensive rating in the NBA with 112.3, and boast the best defensive rating with 97.3.
Offensively, the Clippers are just 23rd in the league with 108.5 points per game. They shoot 46.7% from the field (14th) and 37.7% from beyond the arc (8th). Defensively, they are bottom-10 in the NBA, allowing 116 points per game. LA is just 21st in offensive rating in the NBA with 110.5, and have the 4th defensive rating with 107.7.
In their previous meeting this season, the Thunder won in LA, 105-92, covering the spread. Thunder are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Clippers, going for 6-2 against the spread. Thunder are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 meetings against the Clippers at home, going for 5-0 against the spread.
Prediction
In this Los Angeles Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, the Thunder are coming as big home favorites and rightfully so. When looking at the records of both teams, one would think that they are close, but they aren’t.
The Clippers’ record is boosted by wins against bottom-tier teams such as the Raptors, Sixers and the Spurs. The Thunder have been dominant at home, where they win by 17.8 points on average, and have already won the Clippers on the road by 13 points.
Keep it simple and take OKC to get the job done easily. Take the Oklahoma City Thunder and lay the points at home.