Dolphins vs Rams Prediction
Welcome to week 10 of Monday Night football. This season has brought us some cool stats and trends that have kept us bettors on our toes. So far, the road teams are hitting at 57% ATS this season while ultimately it has been another year of the favorite. Favorites were 14-1 last week and are 63% ATS this season. So here we go with the 2-6 road team Dolphins vs the 4-4 home team Rams. Who will win? The main storyline is who is the closest to getting back to full strength. The stars are almost all back, so it should be a fun watch if you like both fantasy and player props.
Can the Dolphins Win Tonight?
The Dolphins must have better play out of Tua Tagovailoa if they want to win this game. Tua averages 237 yards per game, has a 72.7% completion percentage, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. When Tua starts tho, De’Von Achane has been a different running back. Achane is finally healthy and averages 52.5 yards per game with 2 touchdowns and averages 11.6 yards per attempt. Coach Mike McDaniel has never really fared well after playing the Bills. Last week they lost 27-30 to the Bills and historically they are 1-4 straight up and have a point differential of -9 after that loss. To win this one, they must be able to establish the run and then methodically get the ball down the field to their 3 stud wide receivers. Hill is tops at the position averaging 55.8 yards this season.
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- Tyreek Hill has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last 4 games in SoFi Stadium
- Raheem Mostert has recorded 9 or more attempts in 15 of his last 19 games
- Raheem Mostert has recorded 85+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 5 in November games
- Raheem Mostert has recorded at least one touchdown in his last 5 games
- Raheem Mostert has 10+ receiving yards following a loss
Can the Rams Win Tonight!
The Rams are in prime position to get this game as they have won seven of their last eight home games. The Rams are led by their fearless leader Matthew Stafford. Stafford Averages 246.1 yards per game, has a 65.9% completion percentage, has 9 touchdowns on the season and 6 interceptions. Stafford has thrown an interception in each of the Rams last 5 games, so in order to get this one, he needs to be on par with his decision making. Because of all the injuries at the wide receiver position, TuTu Atwell is the team leader with 45.8 yards per game. The main rusher this season is Kyren Williams averaging 75.3 yards per contest. On Primetime, coach McVay has had success at home, going 8-3 SU and 6-4-1 ATS.
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- Each of the Rams last 4 Monday Night Football games have gone under the total
- Cooper Kupp has recorded a touchdown in three of his last 4 home games
- Cooper Kupp has recorded 122+ receiving Yards in 4 of his last 5 Monday Games
- Damarcus Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in three if the rams last 4 games
- Kyren Williams has scored in his last 8 home games
Dolphins vs. Rams (-2.5) – O/U 49 – Free Prediction for 11/11/24
The stats and modeling are just not on the Dolphins side. Tua just doesn’t play well in night games. He is 2-6 ATS and has lost six consecutive games straight up. The Rams love to win at home and the favorites are on fire this season. McVay has tricks up his sleeves. Robinson, Nakua and Cupp look unstoppable, and my modeling has the rams winning outright by 4. Feel free to hit the Rams in the first half as well as they have won their last 5. The Rams get it done.
Mindy’s Pick: Rams ML -125
Mindy has been in the business of picking winners for over 30 years. Her analytical mind has given her the insight to find the edges over Vegas in all of the major sports. This is her 4th year at Tony’s Picks and loves to give out her Data Driven Picks. If you love Mindy’s free picks make sure you check out the link to her profile page here, to get her very best picks every day. Mindy has been crushing the books this NFL season and is 21-1 on her moneyline predictions this year!!! +$1956 Let’s get some wins!