Washington State Cougars vs California Golden Bears 11-11-23

Utah State vs Washington State Prediction 11/9 for Saturday’s NCAAF Week 11 Free Picks

Utah State vs Washington State 11/9/24 Game Info

When:  Saturday, November 9, 2024 at 10:30 ET/7:30 PT
Where: Gesa Field (FieldTurf), Pullman, Washington 
Utah State vs Washington State Line: Washington State -20.5
Total: 70
TV: The CW Network

Utah State vs Washington State Preview

The last game on the betting board for Week 11 is No. 20 Washington State (7-1) welcoming Utah State (2-6 SU) to the Evergreen State on Saturday night in a mismatch and game where one of the remaining Pac-12 schools (this year) should dominate. These two teams have only met once before with host Washington State beating Utah State, 26-23 on September 4, 2021, but failing to cover ATS (WSU -17) in a game that went Under the Total of 66 by a TD. The only loss the Cougars have suffered this 2024-25 NCAA College Football season came at Boise State, and since then Washington State has reeled off three straight victories, albeit against some very average MWC teams (FRESNO, HAW, SDS). The big motivating factor here for the Home team is that they are still in the College Football Playoff (CFP) race, with the Cougars currently ranked at No. 21 in the latest CFP rankings. Keep hope alive.

Porous Utah State Defense Being Exploited in 2024

Utah State (2-6-0 ATS, 5-3-0 O/U) finally got a win in Week 9 in its last game, beating Wyoming 27-25 after losing the previous 6 games to some pretty good programs (USC, UTAH, BOISE, UNLV). The Aggies come in after having a week off and will be rested, but the fact they are playing a ranked team still in the CFP mix doesn’t bode well for Utah State. In those 6 aforementioned straight losses, the Aggies allowed 48, 38, 45, 62, 50, and 50 points, so expect Washington State to unload on the visitors here in Pullman. Utah State is just 3-7 in its last 10 SU, but because they allow so many points, are a real Over team (7-3 L10) with 5 Overs in its last 6 games overall.

Utah State Betting Trends

  • Utah State is just 2-8 ATS over its last 10 overall
  • The Aggies have allowed 3,984 Total Yards on defense (#131)
  • The Aggies are a winless 0-5 ATS on the Road this season
  • Utah State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 overall 
  • The Aggies are the third-worst FBS team in Total Defense (498.0 ypg)

Washington State in Right Spot for a Big Blowout

Washington State (5-3-0 ATS, 3-5-0 O/U) has been fairly prolific at Home, scoring 70 vs Portland State, 37 vs Texas Tech, 54 vs San José State, and 42 vs Hawai’i, with the 24 it tallied vs in-state rivals Washington in the Apple Cup, in a game they won, the only real time that the Cougars have been held in check on offense. This team has won 8 of its last 10 games overall and have been a good team to back at the betting window with a 7-3 ATS mark over that same same span. With dual–threat QB John Mateer (2,153 yards, 18 TD, 6 Interceptions, 73.3 QBR) able to pass and rush so well (575 yards rushing, 10 TD, 4.5 ypc), Utah State will really be up against it vs a team that will be intent on winning and keeping themselves in the current CFP picture. Washington State will end the NCAAF Regular Season with games at New Mexico (Nov. 16), at Oregon State (Nov. 23), and at Home vs Wyoming (Nov. 30) so an 11-1 record is quite possible.

Washington State Betting Trends

  • Washington State is 4-1 ATS in the First Half in the last 5
  • The Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at Home
  • Washington State has an impressive +0.88 TO margin (Tied #18)
  • The Over is 4-1 in the First Half in the last 5 WSU games
  • The Cougars have scored at least 24 points in every game this season

Utah State vs Washington State Prediction 11/9/24

The Utah State vs Washington State prediction and free NCAAF pick here is for the Cougars to roll to an easy victory against a team with a weak defense and it wouldn’t be a big surprise if the hosts weren’t almost covering ATS at halftime tonight. Washington State has led at the end of the First Quarter in its last three games, and with USU allowing 50, 50, and 62 in three of its last four MWC games, logic says lay the lumber in the Pacific Northwest in a game where Mateer and the homeboys should have 6 TDs and around 45 points while holding the Aggies to 20 points or less.

Kevin’s Pick: Washington State -20.5