| Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction 11/09/24 | |
| When: | Saturday, November 9, 2024 at 05:00 pm |
| Where: | Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX, USA |
| TV: | NBA TV |
| Utah Jazz Odds: | +6.5 |
| San Antonio Spurs Odds: | -6.5 |
| Over/Under | 223.5 |
In this Western Conference battle between two bottom-dwellers, the San Antonio Spurs are hosting the Utah Jazz. Utah is on their fourth and final stop of a four-game road trip and have been by far the weakest team in the NBA this season, as they have been ravaged by injuries.
That wasn’t the case in their last game, where they saw both Lauri Markkanen and Jordan Clarkson return to the lineup and still got blown out by the Bucks by 27 points.
On the other hand, the Spurs have the phenom of Victor Wembanyama in his sophomore year, and with the addition of the veteran Chris Paul, are looking to slip in the Western’s conference playoff picture.
Below is a detailed analysis for the Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs game.
Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
Spurs Injury Report: Malaki Branham Questionable, Jeremy Sochan and Tre Jones are out for the Spurs
Jazz Injury Report: Taylor Hendricks is out for the season.
San Antonio Spurs Recent Form and Trends
The San Antonio Spurs hold a 4-5 record this season and have been very effective at home, going 3-1. The Spurs are 5-4 against the spread overall and 3-1 against the spread at home, with a +5.3-point differential. They have secured back-to-back home wins by 13 and 10 points. Additionally, the Spurs are 7-1 against the spread against Northwest Division opponents.
The Spurs are coming off a 118-105 home win over Portland, covering the -4 spread as the game went over the 217.5 total. San Antonio was extremely efficient, shooting 54% from the field and 41% from beyond the arc, led by excellent playmaking that produced 35 assists. The Spurs were led by a balanced offensive effort, as eight of their players had double digits in scoring, led by Keldon Johnson and Malaki Branham with 17 points apiece off the bench.
Victor Wembanyama leads the Spurs both in scoring with 17.7 points, and in rebounding with 9.6 per game. Wemby also leads the NBA in blocks per game with 3.7, but he is struggling with his shooting to start the season at just 41.3%.
Utah Jazz Recent Form and Trends
The Jazz have the worst record in the NBA currently at 1-7, and are 1-3 on the road. Utah is 3-5 against the spread overall and 2-2 against the spread on the road with a -12-point differential. Utah is 0-15 on the road against Western Conference opponents following a loss. The Jazz are also 0-5 against the spread on the road against teams with a losing record.
The Jazz are coming off a 100-127 road defeat in Milwaukee, failing to cover the 10-point spread as the game went under the 232-point total. Utah saw both Lauri Markkanen and Jordan Clarkson returned to the lineup, yet the Jazz were still blown out by the Bucks by 27 points. Utah did not shoot the ball very well, with just 43% from the field and committed a lot of turnovers (21) that led to 39 fast break points for the Bucks. Jordan Clarkson led the Jazz’s offense with 18 points off the bench.
Lauri Markkanen leads the Jazz in scoring with 16 points, adding 7.2 rebounds, but shooting with just 37.1% from the field. John Collins adds 15.9 points per game and 7.1 rebounds.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Spurs rank 28th with 105.9 points per game. They shoot 45.9% from the field (17th) and 33.1% from beyond the arc (24th). Defensively, they are one of the top-5 teams in the NBA, allowing only 108.1 points per game. The Spurs rank just 26th in offensive rating in the league with 108.3, but on the other hand are 10th in defensive rating with 111.2. The Spurs have lost only once in their last 20 home meetings against the Jazz following a win.
Offensively, the Jazz are dead last in the league with just 104.2 points per game. Utah is also last in field goal percentage with 41.4% and 29th in 3-point percentage with 31.8%. Defensively, they rank 25th in the NBA, allowing 120 points per game. The Jazz have the worst offensive rating in the league with 102.6, and are 27th in defensive rating with 118.1.
Jazz vs Spurs Pick
The Jazz looked overmatched on Thursday in Milwaukee, even with their key players healthy. They haven’t shown signs of improvement, and finding momentum on the final leg of a four-game road trip seems unlikely.
On the other hand, if the Spurs want to be regarded as a potential playoff team in the Western Conference, they need to secure wins like this comfortably. This is the perfect spot for an easy home victory for the Spurs. Take the Spurs and lay the points at home.