Maryland Eastern Shore vs Penn Prediction 11/7 for Thursday’s NCAAB Free Picks

MD Eastern Shore vs Penn 11/7/24 Game Information

 

When:  Thursday, November 7, 2024 at 7 ET/6 CT/4 PT
Where: The Palestra, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 
Maryland ES vs Penn Line: Penn -19
Total: 139.5
TV: ESPN+

Maryland Eastern Shore vs Penn

Maryland Eastern Shore (0-1, 0-1 on Road) travels to the city of Brotherly Love tonight to face Ivy league side Penn (1-0, 0-0 at Home) in the home opener for the Quakers. In their first game, the Hawks lost 102-63 at Vanderbilt, failing to cover the big 30-point spread in Nashville while Penn narrowly defeated NJIT on the Road, 58-57 in a game that saw the Quakers close as 8-point Favorites. When these two schools met last season, UMES pulled off the big upset, winning outright as 10.5-point Underdogs, 83-80 in OT. So expect Penn to be looking to exact some revenge in this contest at Home. The game went well Over the closing Total of 140.5.

MD Eastern Shore Ranks Near Bottom of Power Rankings

Maryland Eastern Shore (9-20 in 2023-24) ranks No. 363 of 364 teams—Mississippi Valley State is last—in Ken Pomeroy’s 2025 College Basketball Ratings, so now is theoretically the best time to fade the Hawks when they are playing the Non-Conference part of their schedule. Maryland Eastern Shore was No. 358 in points scored per possession last season and were last in 2-point conversions on the Road and were 13-12 ATS when all was said and done. Cleo Hill is the new head Coach (Winston Salem) and one of his best players, KC Shaw (10.8 points, 4.8 rpg) followed him to Maryland Eastern Shore. With Hill, and fellow transfer Jose Cuello (20.2 ppg, 5.5 rpg at College of the Sequoias) will look to improve the Hawks offense. UMES is 6-3-0 ATS in its last 9 lined games and despite the Over in the opener, trended to the Under late last season.

Maryland Eastern Shore Betting Trends

  • UMES had been an underdog 7 straight games
  • The Hawks are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games
  • UMES has allowed 87 and 102 points in its last two games
  • The Hawks are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games overall
  • The Under is 4-2 in the Hawks last 6 games

Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania (11-18 in 2023-24) had a down year last season and ranked No. 325 in points allowed per possession, so the defense needs to improve some. The Quakers were also a bad team from the Free Throw line (#305, 68.5%), from Three-Point range (#320), and were poor at forcing TO’s (#337). Hoping to make Penn a bit better is JUCO transfer (Triton) PG Dylan Williams (15 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 5.4 apg). With San Brown (10.9 ppg), Nick Sponoso (10.8 pg), Cam Thrower, George Smith, and Eddie Holland (5.8 ppg) all back, this Big 5 school should be better than last year. In their opener, Williams had 17 points with Ethan Roberts contributing 15. The Quakers were poor shooting vs NJIT, going 16-for-49 on 2’s (33%), 5-for-19 on 3’s (26%) and 21-for-35 from the charity stripe (60%). There is no reason a College Basketball team should be so poor from the FT line.

Penn Betting Trends

  • Penn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • The Quakers are just 3-7 SU in their last 10 games, 9 in the Ivy league
  • The Over is 7-1 in the First Half in the last 8 Penn games
  • Penn is 10-18 ATS in its last 28 games (-9.8 units, -32% ROI)
  • The Over is 5-1 in Penn’s last 5 games, 3-0 last 3 at Home

Penn’s Poor Shooting Makes Them a Fade Here

With Penn so poor offensively, ATS, and having barely escaped vs NJIT in the opener, taking the points here seems prudent as Penn hasn’t beaten anyone by 20 or more in awhile. Toss in the fact that UMES upset the Quakers last year and maybe the hosts will just be happy to escape with a win and avoid embarrassment. The Hawks may rank as the second-to-last team in the guru’s power rankings, but Penn is just too bad at so many facets of the game and expecting a new JUCO transfer to make all well in Philly to start the new season is asking too much. Your free NCAA Basketball pick and Maryland Eastern Shore vs Penn prediction is for the home team to win by 17 or less, so taking the points is the call here. Losing by 39 at Vanderbilt shows UMES is bad, but Penn is far from the team as Vandy is and the Hawks are familiar with the Quakers after last year.

Kevin’s Pick: Maryland Eastern Shore +19