Newcastle United vs. Manchester City 1-13-24 EPL Soccer Latest Predictions, Odds, and Analysis

Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction 11/9 for Saturday’s EPL Matchweek 11 Soccer Picks

Manchester City vs Brighton 11/9/24 Match Information

When:  Saturday, November 9, 2024 at 12:30 ET/9:30 PT
Where: Falmer Stadium (Grass), Falmer, England 
Manchester City vs Brighton Line: Manchester City -130, Brighton +320, Draw +310
Total: 3.5u -165
TV: USA Network, Universo

Manchester City vs Brighton Preview

Defending EPL champions Manchester City (7-2-1, 23 points) look to stop a rare 3-match losing streak when they head to Falmer, Brighton & Hove Albion on Saturday to face the Seagulls (4-4-2, 18 points) in EPL Matchweek 11 action at Amex Stadium (Falmer). In this slide, the Sky Blues have fallen to Tottenham Hotspur in the Carabao Cup (2-1) in London, at AFC Bournemouth in EPL play (2-1), and to Sporting CP in the UEFA Championship League (4-1), in their worst loss in the prestigious tournament in years. Manchester City has scored one goal apiece in its last four matches. BHA is winless in its last three, drawing with Wolves at Home in EPL action (2-2), and then losing to Liverpool twice—once in the Carabao Cup (3-2) and then again last weekend in the EPL (2-1).

Manchester City FC

The Citizens are seeming to get scoring from only one player this season, Erling Haaland (11 goals), and for Manchester City to wake up in all competitions, Manager Pep Guardiola will need Phil Foden (0 goals, 1 assist in EPL) and Bernardo Silva (0 goals) to start getting on the scoresheet. One huge reason why the Citizens have been having trouble scoring so much is the fact that playmaker Kevin De Bruyne (fitness) has been out injured as well as other key cogs like Jack Grealish, Rodri, Ruben Dias, and John Stones. Even with all these injuries and recent losses, remember this is Manchester City and they will wake up and find a way to win behind GK Ederson.

Manchester City Betting Trends

  • Manchester City is 21-6-5 lifetime vs Brighton (72 GF-33 GA) 
  • The Citizens are an unbeaten 5-1-0 the last 6 meetings (17 GF-4 GA)
  • GK Ederson has 7 Clean Sheets and 6 Goals Allowed lifetime vs BHA
  • MCFC is 63-19-9 over the last three EPL seasons
  • Erling Haaland has scored 74 goals in the EPL the last three seasons

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Brighton & Hove Albion only has one player with more than 2 goals—Danny Welbeck (6)—with Georgino Rutter (2) and João Pedro (2) both having notched a pair. And the Seagulls have no players with more than 2 assists, with Welbeck, Rutter, and Kaoru Mitoma all having 2 assists. And we are in November, so this is hardly a prolific scoring team and the Seagulls rely on controlling pace, a stout defense and good goalkeeping from GK Bart Verbruggen (29 Saves, 2 Clean Sheets, 13 Goals Against).

Brighton & Hove Albion Betting Trends

  • 5 of the last 6 meetings at Brighton have seen 4 goals or more
  • 6 of the last 7 Home EPL matches for Brighton have had 4 or more goals
  • Brighton & Hove Albion have scored a goal in 8 straight matches 
  • Welbeck has scored a goal in 4 straight EPL games (+240 Anytime Goalscorer)
  • BHA has trailed at halftime in 6 off the last 7 series meetings vs Manchester City

Expect Citizens to Get Off the Schneid at BHA

The weather forecast is calling for 49° F and Cloudy conditions at Falmer, Brighton Saturday, so although it won’t really be cold, it won’t be that warm either. Four big things stand out looking at this free Soccer pick and Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction. 1—Manchester City desperately wants to win to stop this 3-game losing streak. 2—Manchester City desperately needs to win to keep pace with first place Liverpool in the EPL. 3—The Citizens own BHA and haven’t lost to them in the last 6 meetings, so getting them at the more-than-fair price of -130 seems like a bargain and this line would have been in the -175 to -200 range before the season started and before KDB was injured. And, 4—With so many goals having been scored when these two meet and so many goals on the board in BHA Home EPL games, shopping on the alternate Totals line and taking the match Over 2.5 (-185) seems wise, especially with Welbeck on a roll and the Seagulls having scored in 8 straight games. The Noisy Neighbors for the win.

Kevin’s Picks: Over 2.5 -185, Manchester City -130