Free College Football Picks Week 11 Part 3-11/9/2024
San Jose St vs. Oregon St College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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San Jose St at Oregon St 3:30PM ET—San Jose St fell to 5-3 following their 33-10 road defeat to Fresno St. The Spartans gained 385 yards with 101 rushing for 5.6 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 401 yards to the Bulldogs with 275 passing on 41 attempts. Walker Eget completed 14 of 31 for 202 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. Oregon St drops to 4-4 after their 44-7 road defeat to California. The Beavers put up 200 yards with 60 rushing for 2.2 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 478 yards to the Golden Bears with 364 passing on 37 attempts. Gevani McCoy hit 2 of 5 passes for three yards and a touchdown. Ben Gulbranson went 11 of 20 for 131 yards and a touchdown in relief.
The Pick with the Explanation
San Jose St on the road rushes for four yards and throws for 317 yards for 7 yards per pass attempt. Defensively they held opponents on the road to 4 yards per carry but 7.2 yards per pass attempt. The Beavers rush for 246 yards at home with 5.4 yards a carry with accuracy and efficiency issues at quarterback. Their defensive form is poor in their past three games by allowing 40 points per game with 5.6 yards per run and 8.2 yards per pass attempt. The Beavers are 1-3 to the spread at home against the Mountain West. Play San Jose St +3.
Michigan vs. Indiana College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Michigan at Indiana 3:30PM ET—Michigan drops to 5-4 following their 38-17 home defeat to Oregon. The Wolverines gained 270 yards with 105 rushing for 3.8 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 470 yards to the Ducks with 294 passing on 34 attempts. Davis Warren completed 13 of 23 for 165 yards with two touchdowns. Indiana improved to 9-0 after their 47-10 road win at Michigan St. The Hoosiers put up 385 yards with 122 rushing for 3.8 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 265 yards to the Spartans with 36 rushing on 32 carries. Kurtis Rourke went 19 of 29 for 263 yards with four touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
Indiana against the Big Ten is completing 71% of their passes for 286 yards and 9.7 yards per pass attempt. They hold the Big Ten teams to 2.7 yards per run and 6.4 yards per pass attempt. The Wolverines have a -5-turnover margin. In conference play their passing game has been inaccurate and inefficient. The Michigan pass defense allows conference foes 7.1 yards per pass attempt. They are 0-2 to the spread on the road this season with Indiana 5-1 to the spread at home. Play Indiana -14.
Clemson vs. Virginia Tech College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Clemson at Virginia Tech 3:30PM ET—Clemson fell to 6-2 following their 33-21 home defeat to Louisville. The Tigers gained 450 yards with 222 rushing for 4.9 yards per run. On defense they allowed 366 yards to the Cardinals with 210 rushing for 7.8 yards per run. Cade Klubnik completed 33 of 56 for 228 yards with a touchdown. He rushed for 43 yards. Virginia Tech drops to 5-4 after their 38-31 road defeat to Syracuse. The Hokies gained 455 yards with 249 rushing for 5.2 yards per carry. On defense they surrendered 410 yards to the Orange with 280 passing on 36 attempts. Kyron Drones missed the game due to a foot injury and is probable here. Drones complete 62.3% of his passes with 7.1 yards per pass attempt. He has rushed for six touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
Virginia Tech is putting up 32 points per game against the ACC behind 5.6 yards per run and 66% completions for 7.3 yards per pass attempt. On defense in the conference, they hold foes to 3.7 yards per run with 57.8% completions. Clemson in their road games is putting up 27 points per game with 6.7 yards per pass attempt. The Hokies have won both home games in conference. Clemson has played weak ACC teams on the road in Wake Forest and Florida St. The Tigers are 4-6 to the spread as a road favorite of +3.5 to +10 points. Play Virginia Tech +6.5.
Colorado vs. Texas Tech College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Colorado at Texas Tech—Colorado improved to 6-2 following their 34-23 home victory to Cincinnati. The Buffaloes gained 446 yards with 123 rushing for 3.1 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 251 yards to the Bearcats with 5.3 yards per run. Shedeur Sanders completed 25 of 30 for 323 yards with two touchdowns. He had a rushing touchdown. Texas Tech is 6-3 with their 23-22 road win at Iowa St. The Red Raiders put up 366 yards with 129 rushing for 3.8 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 432 yards to the Cyclones with 299 passing on 39 attempts. Behren Morton went 21 of 40 for 237 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
In the Big 12 the Buffs rushed for only 2.7 yards per carry. The passing game has shown improvement in their past three games with 78.1% completions for 9.2 yards per pass attempt and 320 yards. Their defense has shown improvement this season. Texas Tech against the conference has struggled with accuracy and efficiency in the passing game. Defensively in conference the Red Raiders allow 321 yards passing with 8.2 yards per pass attempt. The Buffs have covered three of four on the road. The Red Raiders are banged up at running back and receiver. Play Colorado -3.5.
Temple vs. Tulane College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Temple at Tulane 4PM ET—Temple fell to 2-6 following their 56-34 road defeat at East Carolina. The Owls gained 405 yards with 111 rushing for 2.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 494 yards to the Pirates with 225 rushing for 6.3 yards a carry. Evan Simon hit 23 of 41 for 294 yards with three touchdowns and three picks. He had a rushing touchdown. Tulane sits at 7-2 after their 34-3 road win at Charlotte. The Green Wave put up 431 yards with 217 rushing for 4.4 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 189 yards to the 49ers with 69 passing on 22 attempts. Darian Mensah went 21 of 29 for 214 yards.
The Pick:
The Green Wave against the AAC is putting up 44 points per game as they run for 5.2 yards a carry and complete 70% of their passes for 9.7 yards per pass attempt. On defense in conference, they allow 239 yards passing and 16 points per game. Temple on the road surrenders 44 points per game with 5.2 yards per run. They throw for 209 yards per game away from home and put up 17 points per game. Play Temple and Tulane over 49.5.
The Pick with the Explanation
Kennesaw St vs. UTEP College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Kennesaw St at UTEP 4PM ET—Kennesaw St sits at 1-7 following their 31-14 road defeat at Western Kentucky. The Owls put up 272 yards with 176 rushing for 4.3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 464 yards to the Hilltoppers with 276 yards passing on 22 attempts. Davis Bryson completed 13 of 26 for 96 yards and an interception. He rushed for a touchdown. UTEP drops to 1-8 with their 20-13 home defeat to Middle Tennessee St. The Minors gained 305 yards with 160 rushing for 3.8 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 333 yards to the Blue Raiders with 239 passing on 35 attempts. Skyler Locklear missed the game with a concussion and questionable. JP Pickles hit 18 of 33 for 145 yards and an interception. He rushed for 77 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Kennesaw St has struggled with quarterback accuracy and efficiency against CUSA. Their defense in conference is allowing 5.4 yards per run with 7.2 yards per pass attempt. At home the Miners have been efficient with their passing game. In their past three games the Miners have allowed 2 yards per run. Play UTEP -4.
South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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South Carolina at Vanderbilt 4:15PM ET—South Carolina improves to 5-3 following their 44-20 home victory to Texas A&M. The Gamecocks gained 530 yards with 286 rushing for 6.7 yards a carry. On defense they held the Aggies to 350 yards with 144 rushing for 3.4 yards per run. LaNorris Sellers completed 13 of 27 for 244 yards with two touchdowns. He rushed for 106 yards and a touchdown. Vanderbilt moved to 6-3 after their 17-7 road win at Auburn. The Commodores put up 227 yards with 84 rushing for 2.2 yards per run. On defense they allowed 327 yards to the Tigers with 88 rushing for 3 yards a carry. Diego Pavia went 9 of 22 for 143 yards with two touchdowns. He was listed as probable here.
The Pick with the Explanation
South Carolina on the road is rushing for 2.6 yards a carry but efficient in the passing game. They allow 7.2 yards per pass attempt against the SEC. Vanderbilt against the SEC is efficient in their passing game with 7.5 yards per pass attempt. They hold conference foes to 22.4 points per game. Play Vanderbilt +3.5.
Jacksonville St vs. Louisiana Tech College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Jacksonville St at Louisiana Tech 7:30PM ET—Jacksonville St moved to 5-3 following their 31-21 road win at Liberty. The Gamecocks gained 457 yards with 363 rushing for 7.4 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 420 yards to the Flames with 273 rushing for 4.9 yards a carry. Tyler Huff hit 6 of 10 for 95 yards. He rushed for 130 yards. Louisiana Tech drops to 3-5 after their 9-3 road defeat at Sam Houston St. The Bulldogs produced 312 yards with 105 rushing for 2.6 yards per run. On defense they allowed 268 yards to the Bearkats with 105 rushing for 3.3 yards per run. Evan Bullock hit 16 of 25 for 148 yards and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Jacksonville St has put up good numbers offensively on the road in the run and passing game. They put up 35.5 points per game on the road but surrendered 33. Defensively away from home the Gamecocks are giving up 4.6 yards a carry with 7.8 yards per pass attempt. Louisiana Tech pass offense works at home where they throw for 263 yards for 8.7 yards per pass attempt. Defensively they have held teams to 17.8 points per game at home as they limit foes to 2.9 yards per rush and 57.3% completions. The Bulldogs are 3-1 to the spread as a home underdog. Play Louisiana Tech +10.