Falcons vs Saints 11/10/24 Game Information

Falcons vs Saints Preview

The New Orleans Saints (2-7-0) welcome the Atlanta Falcons (6-2-0) to The Big Easy on Sunday afternoon for an NFC South showdown and game more important to the visitors with the Saints having last seven straight and essentially out of and Playoff positioning now. After winning their first two games this season, New Orleans has gone straight down the toilet and like other NFL teams with horrible starts, will have to wait until 2025 for a better season. Although New Orleans has gone 7-3 over the last 10 series meetings and won the last two, Atlanta is playing much better football now under new QB Kirk Cousins and are the rightful Favorite here. Let’s look at all the series trends, key players and injuries and make a Falcons vs Saints prediction.

Falcons Can Pretty Much End NFC South Race With a Win

The only team with a winning record in the NFC South, the Falcons (221 PF-216 PA) will look for their third straight win here against a Saints squad that is just 1-3 at Home. Leading the way for this new-look Atlanta team is veteran QB Kirk Cousins (2,328 passing yards, 17 TD, 7 interceptions), RB Bijan Robinson (632 yards, 4 TD), and WR D Mooney (41 receptions, 588 yards, 5 TD, 14.3), a Tulane product who will feel right at home playing in the Caesars Superdome. The Dirty Birds are an impressive 6-1 SU vs the NFC and have only lost thrice all 2024-25 NFL Regular Season, to the Steelers (Week 1), the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs (Week 3) and to the Seahawks (Week 7). Atlanta has three LBs who are injured while WR Drake London (thigh) is listed as Day-to-Day.

Falcons Betting Trends

• Atlanta is 4-0 SU vs the NFC South to start this season
• The Falcons are an unbeaten 3-0 SU/ATS on the Road this season
• Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
• Falcons First Quarter Unders are 12-8 in the last 20 games
• The Over is 4-2 in Atlanta’s last 6 games
• Kirk Cousins is 3-3 SU lifetime vs New Orleans

Saints Get Carr Back, But Lose a lot on Sunday 

New Orleans got starting QB Derek Carr back in Week 9, but it was a bad day for Carr and the Saints as the lost their seventh straight—to the worst team in the league, the Carolina Panthers—lost their best WR to a concussion (Chris Olave), and then saw Head Coach Dennis Allen fired a day later. RB Alvin Kamara (660 rushing yards, 6 TD, 4.4 ypc) has been effective this year, and the Saints have been outscored by 22 points (207 PF-229 PA), but have still managed to lose seven times. Expecting this team to wake up quickly and click on all cylinders is a stretch and interim Head Coach Darren Rizzi will be up against it vs an Atlanta side smelling Black and Gold blood in the NFC South waters.

Saints Betting Trends

• Derek Carr is the only QB to ever lose to all 31 teams in the NFL
• New Orleans has now lost 5 straight games ATS, 6 of 7
• The Saints are 2-0 ATS in the last 2 series meetings 
• New Orleans is 7-3 SU over the last 10 series meetings 
• The Saints are 7-13 SU in its last 20 games overall
• NO outgained Carolina by 181 yards and had 10 more First Downs

Falcons Look to Hand Falcons 8th Straight Loss

No one has lost more games in a row this year than New Orleans, while the Falcons (W2) are among a select group of NFC teams like the Commanders (W3), Eagles (W4), and Lions (W6), currently on winning streaks. With a new Head Coach, Olave hurt, and nothing but losses in October and November, the thought here is that Atlanta simply outplays the Saints and wins by double-digits, making the Atlanta -3.5 the free NFL pick. Some handicaps are simple if the line isn’t too high and this is one of them. Atlanta has been playing well, winning on the Road and in the NFC South while New Orleans has been on a downward spiral all season.

Kevin’s Pick: Falcons -3.5