Free College Football Picks Week 11 Part 2-11/9/2024
Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee St College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Liberty at Middle Tennessee St 1PM ET—Liberty fell to 5-2 following their 31-21 home defeat to Jacksonville St. The Flames gained 410 yards with 273 rushing for 4.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 457 yards to the Gamecocks with 363 rushing for 7.4 yards a carry. Kaidon Salter hit 12 of 25 for 147 yards with a touchdown and interception. He rushed for 68 yards. Middle Tennessee Sits at 3-6 with their 20-13 road win at UTEP. The Blue Raiders gained 333 yards with 94 rushing for 3.4 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 305 yards to the Miners with 160 rushing for 3.8 yards per run. Nicholas Vattiato went 21 of 35 for 239 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. He rushed for a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Liberty is a good offensive team against CUSA as they run for 5.4 yards a carry and average 7.5 yards per pass attempt. On defense they are allowing conference foes to 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Middle Tennessee St is a poor defensive team against the conference by allowing 5.2 yards per run with 8.3 yards per pass attempt. The Blue Raiders have an experienced quarterback and against CUSA are averaging 293 yards passing with 8.4 yards per pass attempt. Liberty is 8-2 to the over as a road favorite. The Blue Raiders are 4-1 to the over as a home underdog. Play Liberty and Middle Tennessee St over 54.
UCONN vs. UAB College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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UCONN at UAB 2:30PM ET—Connecticut improved to 6-3 following their 34-27 home victory to Georgia St. The Huskies gained 346 yards with 271 rushing for 6.3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 374 yards to the Panthers with 265 passing on 43 attempts. Nick Evers completed 10 of 16 passes for 75 yards with a touchdown. He rushed for 25 yards and a touchdown. UAB is 2-6 after their 59-21 home victory to Tulsa. The Blazers put up 537 yards with 113 rushing for 4.9 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 423 yards to the Golden Hurricane with 187 rushing for 3.8 yards a carry. Jacob Zeno missed the game with a shoulder injury and questionable. Jalen Kitna hit 25 of 32 for 404 yards with six touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
UCONN has struggled in their road games with inefficient and inaccurate quarterback play. The Huskies defense away from home is allowing 4.6 yards per run with 69% completions for 8.1 yards per pass attempt. They are allowing 519 yards per game away from home. UAB offense in their past three games is averaging 350 passing yards with 8 yards per pass attempt. Defensively in this span they are allowing 52% completions. UAB is 5-1 to the spread at home in the non-conference. Play UCONN +6.5.
Marshall vs. Southern Miss College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Marshall at Southern Miss 3PM ET—Marshall improved to 5-3 following their 28-23 home victory to UL Monroe. The Thundering Herd gained 364 yards with 198 rushing for 4.6 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 378 yards to the Warhawks with 239 rushing for 5.3 yards a carry. Braylon Braxton went 10 of 19 for 166 yards with a touchdown. Southern Miss sits at 1-7 after their 32-15 road defeat at James Madison. The Golden Eagles put up 319 yards with 141 rushing for 3.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 357 yards to the Dukes with 199 rushing for 4.9 yards a carry. Ethan Crawford completed 11 of 34 for 179 yards and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Thundering Herd has struggled defensively in the Sun Belt as they allow 4.8 yards per run with 245 yards passing for 7.3 yards per pass attempt. The defense has been trending poorly in their past three games. Southern Miss at home is averaging 8.7 yards per pass attempt and has defended the pass well. Play Southern Miss +14.
Iowa St vs. Kansas College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Iowa St at Kansas 3PM ET—Iowa St is 7-1 following their 23-22 home defeat to Texas Tech. The Cyclones gained 432 yards with 133 rushing for 3.5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 366 yards to the Red Raiders with 237 passing on 40 attempts. Rocco Becht completed 23 of 39 for 299 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Kansas drops to 2-6 after their 29-27 road defeat at Kansas St. the Jayhawks put up 401 yards with 192 rushing for 5.6 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 479 yards to the Wildcats with 253 passing on 34 attempts. Jaylon Daniels hit 18 of 31 for 209 yards with a touchdown and interception. He rushed for 66 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Iowa St defense in their past three games is allowing 210 yards rushing for 6 yards a carry. On the offensive side the Cyclones in this period are rushing for 2.5 yards a carry with inaccurate quarterback play. Against the Big 12 the Jayhawks rush for 5.4 yards a carry with 7.6 yards per pass attempt. Defensively in this period they are allowing 5.2 yards per run but only 61.6% completions. The Jayhawks have covered two straight including a 42-14 home win to Houston. Play Kansas +3.
Duke vs. NC State College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Duke at NC State 3:30PM ET—Duke fell to 6-3 following their 53-31 road defeat to Miami. The Blue Devils gained 405 yards with 80 rushing for 3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 526 yards to Miami with 400 passing on 41 attempts. Maalik Murphy completed 25 of 41 for 325 yards with three touchdowns and three interceptions. NC State improved to 5-4 after their 59-28 home victory to Stanford. The Wolfpack put up 527 yards with 281 rushing for 7 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 398 yards to the Cardinal with 225 rushing for 5.8 yards per run. CJ Bailey went 18 of 20 for 234 yards and three touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Blue Devils against the conference has rushed for 3.6 yards a carry with inaccurate and inefficient quarterback play. Defensively they held conference foes to 4.3 yards per run with only 58.4% completion rate. NC State has shown improvement offensively in their past three games in the passing game with 75% completions for 11 yards per pass attempt. In that period, they allowed 69% completions for 7.9 yards per pass attempt. NC State is in the better offensive form. Play NC State -3.
Georgia St vs. James Madison College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Georgia St at James Madison 3:30PM ET—Georgia St fell to 2-6 following their 34-27 road defeat to Connecticut. The Panthers posted 374 yards with 109 rushing for 3.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 346 yards to the Huskies with 271 rushing for 6.3 yards a carry. Zach Gibson completed 28 of 40 for 257 yards with a touchdown and interception. He had a rushing touchdown. James Madison is 6-2 after their 32-15 home victory to Southern Miss. The Dukes put up 357 yards with 199 rushing for 4.9 yards a carry. Alonza Barnett went 15 of 25 for 135 yards with two touchdowns and a pick.
The Pick with the Explanation
James Madison defense in good form in their past three games by allowing 3.7 yards per run with 47.3% completions. Georgia St against the Sun Belt has been a poor defensive team by allowing 236 rushing yards for 5.7 yards per run with 7.4 yards per pass attempt. The numbers are worse in their past three games overall. James Madison put up 42 points on Georgia St in each of the past two seasons. The Dukes are 3-1 to the spread at home against poor defensive teams that allow 5.9 yards per play or greater. Play James Madison -16.5.
Georgia vs. Ole Miss College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Georgia at Ole Miss 3:30PM ET—Georgia improved to 7-1 following their 34-20 home victory to Florida. The Bulldogs gained 453 yards with 144 rushing for 4.4 yards a carry. On defense they held the Gators to 228 yards with 113 passing on 30 attempts. Carson Beck completed 25 of 40 for 309 yards with two touchdowns and three picks. Ole Miss is 7-2 with their 63-31 road win at Arkansas. The Rebels produced 684 yards with 132 rushing for 3.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 492 yards to the Razorbacks with 365 passing on 28 attempts. Jaxon Dart hit 25 of 31 for 515 yards and six touchdowns.
The Pick with the Explanation
On the road the Bulldogs are rushing for 4.1 yards a carry with only 60.1% completions. They defended the run and pass very well away. Ole Miss against the conference rushes for only 3.3 yards a carry but has been efficient and accurate in the passing game. The Rebels are averaging 10.6 yards per pass attempt in the conference. The Rebels are holding SEC teams to 3 yards per rush. Georgia is 3-7 to the spread as a road favorite. Play Ole Miss +2.5.
Army vs. North Texas College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Army at North Texas 3:30PM ET—Army improved to 8-0 following their 20-3 home victory to Air Force. The Black Knights gained 255 yards with 207 rushing for 4.8 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 209 yards to the Falcons with 117 rushing for 2.9 yards a carry. Bryson Daily is expected to play. He is completing 57.4% with 13.4 yards per pass attempt. North Texas fell to 5-3 with their 45-37 home defeat to Tulane. The Mean Green put up 525 yards with 76 rushing for three yards a carry. On defense they allowed 472 yards to the Green Wave with 297 rushing for 6.3 yards a carry. Chandler Morris went 38 of 57 for 449 yards with three touchdowns. He rushed for 20 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
Army against the AAC is averaging 54 rushing attempts per game and running for 6.7 yards a carry. Defensively they hold conference foes to 2.8 yards per run with six yards per pass attempt. The Mean Green struggles with their run defense. Army keeps it on the ground and runs clock. Army is 5-1 to the under on the road against winning teams. Play Army and North Texas under 63.5.