Free College Football Picks Week 11 Part 1-11/9/2024
Florida vs. Texas College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Florida at Texas 12PM ET—Florida fell to 4-4 following their 34-20 road defeat at Georgia. The Gators gained 228 yards with 115 rushing for 3 yards per carry. DJ Lagway completed 2 of 6 passes for 47 yards and a touchdown. He left with a hamstring injury. Redshirt sophomore Aidan Warner hit 7 of 22 for 66 yards and an interception. Lagway is questionable. Texas improved to 7-1 with their 27-24 road win at Vanderbilt. The Longhorns put up 392 yards with 104 rushing for 3 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 269 yards to the Commodores with 155 passing on 31 attempts. Quinn Ewers hit 27 of 37 for 288 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions.
The Pick with the Explanation
Texas against the SEC is rushing for 4.2 yards a carry and getting good quarterback play with 69% completions for 7.2 yards per pass attempt. The Longhorns defense in SEC play held opponents to 3.2 yards a carry with 5 yards per pass attempt. Florida has struggled on defense against the conference as they allow 176 yards rushing with 7.2 yards per pass attempt. The Longhorns are 11-6 to the spread at home. Tough spot for the Gators in back-to-back games away from home following a game at Georgia. Play Texas -21.5.
West Virginia at Cincinnati College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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West Virginia at Cincinnati 12PM ET—West Virginia moves to 4-4 following their 31-26 road win at Arizona. The Mountaineers put up 401 yards with 203 rushing for 5.1 yards per run. On defense they allowed 386 yards to the Wildcats with 308 passing on 34 attempts. Nicco Marchiol completed 18 of 22 for 198 yards with two touchdowns. He rushed for 39 yards. Garrett Greene is doubtful with an upper body injury. Cincinnati fell to 5-3 with their 34-23 road defeat in Colorado. The Bearcats gained 351 yards with 171 rushing for 5.3 yards a carry. Brendan Sorsby went 16 of 30 for 180 yards with two touchdowns. He rushed for 48 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
West Virginia has performed well offensively against the Big 12 with 4.9 yards per run and 7.7 yards per pass attempt. They have stopped the run effectively against their conference foes. Cincinnati has struggled in conference defensively by allowing 4.7 yards per run and 7.9 yards per pass attempt. The Mountaineers have won and covered both road games against the Big 12. Cincinnati is 6-11 to the spread at home. Play West Virginia +5.
Miami vs. Georgia Tech College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Miami at Georgia Tech 12PM ET—Miami improved to 9-0 following their 53-31 home victory to Duke. The Hurricanes gained 526 yards with 126 rushing for 4.1 yards per carry. On defense they allowed 405 yards to the Blue Devils with 325 passing on 41 attempts. Cam Ward completed 25 of 41 for 400 yards with five touchdowns and an interception. Georgia Tech sits at 5-4 after their 21-6 road defeat at Virginia Tech. The Yellow Jackets put up 356 yards with 96 rushing for 2.9 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 233 yards to the Hokies with 134 passing on 28 attempts. Haynes King has missed the past two games with an upper body injury and is questionable. Zach Pyron hit 10 of 22 passes for 76 yards and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
Georgia Tech has put up good numbers in conference with 4.9 yards per rush with 6.8 yards per pass attempt. They hold ACC opponents to 3.9 yards per run and 63% completions. The Hurricanes defense in conference allows 32.4 points per game with 4.5 yards per run and 253 yards passing for seven yards per pass attempt. The Yellow Jackets have covered five of six against the Hurricanes. They are 3-0 to the spread at home against winning teams. Play Georgia Tech +11.
Navy vs. USF College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Navy at USF 12PM ET—Navy fell to 6-2 following their 24-10 road defeat to Rice. The Midshipmen gained 260 yards with 140 rushing for 3.5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 344 yards to the Owls with 239 passing on 40 attempts. Blake Horvath completed 10 of 21 for 120 yards and two interceptions. He rushed for 64 yards and a touchdown. USF improved to 4-4 after their 44-21 road win at FAU. The Bulls produced 525 yards with 319 rushing for 7.4 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 485 yards to the Owls with 306 passing on 42 attempts. Byrum Brown missed the game due to a foot injury and is questionable. Bryce Archie was 19 of 32 for 206 yards and two touchdowns. He rushed for a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
USF in their past three games is rushing for 4.8 yards a carry and holding opponents to 4 yards per run with 6.5 yards per pass attempt. Navy in this span is struggling on defense by allowing five yards per run with 6.9 yards per pass attempt. USF has played a tough schedule. USF won last years meeting as they put up 44 yards and 435 yards on Navy. Play USF +3.5.
Boston College vs. Syracuse College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Boston College at Syracuse 12PM ET—Syracuse improved to 6-2 following their 38-31 home victory to Virginia Tech. The Orange gained 420 yards with 130 rushing for 3.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 455 yards to the Hokies with 248 rushing for 5.2 yards a carry. Kyle McCord went 24 of 35 for 280 yards with two touchdowns and a pick. BC is 4-4 with their 31-27 home defeat to Louisville. The Eagles posted 218 yards with 14 rushing for 3.8 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 461 yards to the Cardinals with 332 passing on 38 attempts. Thomas Castellanos completed 13 of 28 for 164 yards and three touchdowns. He rushed for 43 yards.
The Pick with the Explanation
Syracuse has struggled in their road games as they run for 2.3 yards a carry and only 6 yards per pass attempt. Their pass defense is poor away from home by allowing 76% completions for 9.9 yards per pass attempt. The Eagles have been efficient with their passing game at home with 8.2 yards per pass attempt. Syracuse is 3-9 to the spread on the road against the ACC. Play Boston College -2.
Purdue vs. Ohio St College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Purdue vs. Ohio St 12PM ET—Purdue fell to 1-7 following their 26-20 home defeat to Northwestern. The Boilermakers gained 337 yards with 47 rushing for 2 yards per run. On defense they allowed 424 yards to the Wildcats with 302 passing on 39 attempts. Hudson Card completed 21 of 37 for 267 yards with a touchdown. Ohio St is 7-1 with their 20-13 road win at Penn St. The Buckeyes put up 358 yards with 176 rushing for 4.4 yards per run. On defense they held the Nittany Lions to 270 yards with 120 rushing for 3.8 yards per run. Will Howard was 16 of 24 for 182 yards with two touchdowns and a pick.
The Pick with the Explanation
Purdue allows 47 points per game on the road. They are allowing 249 yards rushing for 5.4 yards per run. The pass defense has been poor as well away, by allowing 281 yards for 10 yards per pass attempt. The Boilermakers offense on the road runs for 6.8 yards a carry with 7.2 yards per pass attempt as they put up 25 points per game. Ohio St offensively against the Big Ten is putting up 29 points per game behind a passing game that completes 74% for 8.8 yards per pass attempt. They have struggled in pass defense in the Big Ten by allowing 66% completions for 7.1 yards per pass attempt. Purdue is 4-1 to the over on the road facing teams that average 4.75 yards per run or greater. Play Purdue and Ohio St over 53.
Texas St vs. UL Monroe College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Texas St at UL Monroe 12PM ET—Texas St fell to 4-4 following their 23-17 home defeat to Louisiana. The Bobcats gained 378 yards with 177 rushing for 4.4 yards per carry. On defense they allowed 423 yards to the Ragin Cajuns with 252 passing on 28 attempts. Jordan McCloud completed 12 of 18 for 88 yards. He is probable to play through an ankle injury. UL Monroe drops to 5-3 after their 28-23 road defeat to Marshall. The Warhawks put up 388 yards with 239 rushing for 5.3 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 364 yards to the Thundering Herd with 166 passing on 19 attempts. Aidan Armenta hit 9 of 13 for 149 yards with two touchdowns and an interception.
The Pick with the Explanation
UL Monroe against the Sun Belt has put up great offensive numbers. They rush for 5 yards a carry and average 7.9 yards per pass attempt against the conference. Also, defensively against the Sun Belt the Warhawks hold opposing quarterbacks to 47.8% completions. Texas St on the road is allowing 27 points per game. They are struggling to stop the run in their past three games by allowing 178 yards per game with 5.1 yards per rush. UL Monroe has a home win to James Madison. The Bobcats have road losses at Old Dominion and Sam Houston St. the Bobcats are 1-5 to the spread on the road against winning teams. Play UL Monroe +7.
Minnesota vs. Rutgers College Football Pick Prediction 11/9/2024
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Minnesota at Rutgers 12PM ET—Minnesota improved to 6-3 following their 25-17 road win at Illinois. The Golden Gophers gained 361 yards with 148 rushing for 4.6 yards per run. On defense they allowed 342 yards to the Fighting Illini with 126 rushing for 4.3 yards per run. Max Brosmer completed 22 of 37 for 213 yards with a touchdown. Rutgers fell to 4-4 with their 42-20 road defeat at UCLA. The Scarlet Knights gained 434 yards with 121 rushing for 2.9 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 443 yards to the Trojans with 308 passing on 28 attempts. Athan Kaliakmanis went 27 of 47 for 313 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick with the Explanation
The Golden Gophers offense has stalled on the road where they run for 2.8 yards a carry and pass for 5.8 yards per attempt. They put up just 23.3 points per game on the road. Defensively away from home the Golden Gophers give up 7 yards per pass attempt. The Scarlet Knights running attack has thrived at home where they average 5.9 yards per carry. Back-to-back road games for Minnesota here. Play Rutgers +6.