Los Angeles Chargers vs. Tennessee Titans 9/17/23

Titans vs Chargers Prediction 11/10 for Sunday’s NFL Week 10 Free Picks

Titans vs Chargers 11/10/24 Game Information

 

When:  Sunday, November 10, 2024 at 4:05 ET/3:05 CT/1:05 PT
Where: SoFi Stadium (Matrix Turf) Inglewood, California 
Titans vs Chargers Line: Chargers -7.5
Total: 38
TV: FOX

Titans vs Chargers Preview

Two teams headed in opposite directions meet in an AFC interdivisional game on Sunday when the Los Angeles Chargers (5-3, 2-1 at Home) play host to the Tennessee Titans (2-6, 1-3) on Road. The Jim Harbaugh rejuvenated Chargers have won two straight, beating the Saints at Home in Week 9 (26-8) and the Browns in Cleveland in Week 9 (27-10). Tennessee has lost three of its last four but did manage to edge the lowly Patriots on a last-second FG in Nashville on Sunday. Tennessee QB Will Levis is Questionable and backup Mason Rudolph played in Week 9 vs New England.

Titans May Have Trouble Scoring vs the Chargers

Tennessee has only managed to score 140 points this season, and going up against the best defense in the NFL far, far from home with either a hobbled QB or a backup means the Titans will have to do everything right and get some luck to pull off the upset in this one. Backup QB Rudolph (806 passing yards, 4 TDs, 4 interceptions) has done what he could with Levis nursing a shoulder injury. On Monday, Tennessee Head Coach Brian Callahan said that Levis will be practicing heavier this week with hopes he can go on Sunday. Either way, the hosts will have the better QB in this game. RB Troy Pollard (620 rushing yards, 3 TDs) and WR Calvin Ridley (27 receptions, 399 yards, 1 TD) are the Titans most productive players on offense, but racking up significant yardage against this Chargers defense which has allowed just 18 points in its last two games.

Titans Betting Trends

  • Tennessee is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 series meetings 
  • The Titans have lost 4 straight ATS and have NFL’s worst ATS record (1-7)
  • The Total has alternated Overs/Unders the last 7 meeting (OUOUOUO)
  • The Titans last 3 Road games have gone Over
  • Tennessee is 8-16-1 ATS over the last two seasons (33.3%)

Chargers Are Looking for Their Third Straight Win  

Justin Herbert (1,725 passing yards, 10 TDs, 1 interception) has been brilliant this year, as have the Chargers, but few have noticed with Los Angeles AFC in the same division (AFC West) as the two-time Super Bowl champion Chiefs who started the season off with a nice unbeaten run (8-0). RB JK Dobbins (620 rushing yards, 5 TDs) and WR Ladd McConkey (36 receptions, 440 yards, 4 TDs) are the Chargers leaders on offense, but this is a team that has relied more on its defense and game management as the final scores of their games reveal. Los Angeles (+9 TO Differential) leads the NFL in Scoring Defense (12. 6 ppg, 101 points allowed) and has played just one Over as we enter into Week 10 play and you can see by the Total here, this one may also be low-scoring.

Chargers Betting Trends

  • The Under in the Totals market in Chargers games is 7-1
  • Herbert is 1-1 vs Tennessee, winning at Home and losing on the Road
  • The Chargers are 4-1-1 in the last 6 Home games in this series
  • No team has scored 30 points (or 29) yet in a Chargers game this season
  • The Under in Chargers games is 19-6 since last year, the best in the NFL

Chargers Becoming the Masters of the Under 

Tennessee won this meeting last season, 27-24 in OT in Nashville, covering by a half-point on the last play of the game. Here, both the Chargers -7.5 and the Under 38 seem like decent picks, but for your free NFL pick and Titans vs Chargers prediction, I am going with the Under. The hosts have played just one Over all year, held their last two opponents to just 18 total points, and have played 19 Unders and just 6 Unders since the start of last season. Tennessee (17.5 ppg) also struggles to score and should have around 10 here with the Chargers (19.7 ppg) putting up 17-24, so the Under is the pick.

Kevin’s Pick: Under 38