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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Pick Prediction 11/4/2024
Buccaneers at Chiefs—Tampa Bay receiver Evans is out with McMillan questionable. Receivers Godwin and Johnson are on IR. On defense a safety and nickel back are questionable. KC receiver Smith Schuster is out. Receivers Brown, Rice and Moore on IR with Pacheco out for the season. On defense an end and corner are out. Tampa Bay drops to 4-4 following their 31-26 home defeat to Atlanta. The Buccaneers gained 432 yards with 102 rushing for 4.6 yards per carry. On defense they allowed 384 yards to the Falcons with 265 passing on 29 attempts. Baker Mayfield completed 37 of 50 passes for 330 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. Kansas City improved to 7-0 after their 27-20 road win at Las Vegas. The Chiefs put up 334 yards with 82 rushing for 2.8 yards a carry. On defense they held Las Vegas to 227 yards with 33 rushing on 21 carries. Patrick Mahomes hit 27 of 38 for 262 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions.
The Pick:
Kansas City has a slight injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings. Both sides are dealing with receiver injuries, it is just that the Bucs have been more recent. Tampa Bay over their past three games is rushing for 5.8 yards a carry with 70% completions for 7.7 yards per pass attempt. Their defense in this period is surrendering 33 points per game with 5.7 yards per run along with 8.3 yards per pass attempt. KC in this span is putting up 27 points per game with 68% completions for 6.9 yards per pass attempt. Their defense in this period is allowing 64% completions for 6 yards per pass attempt. Tampa Bay is 8-5 to the over as a road underdog. Play Tampa Bay and KC over 45.5.