Free NFL Picks For Today, Sunday 11/3/2024
New England Patriots vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Pick Prediction 11/3/2024
Patriots at Titans 1PM ET—A left tackle and left guard are questionable for New England. On defense a linebacker and safety are questionable. Quarterback Will Levis, running back Pollard, receiver Boyd and their right guard are questionable for Tennessee. On defense a corner is out with nose tackle and safety questionable. New England improved to 2-6 following their 25-22 home victory to NY Jets. The Patriots gained 248 yards with 112 rushing for 3.6 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 336 yards to the Jets with 224 passing on 28 attempts. Drake Maye completed 3 of 6 passes for 23 yards. He rushed for 46 yards and a touchdown. He passed concussion protocol and is off the injury report. Tennessee falls to 1-6 with their 52-14 road defeat at Detroit. The Titans put up 415 yards with 158 rushing for 4.9 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 225 yards to the Lions with 164 rushing for 6.8 yards a carry. Will Levis missed the game due to injury. Mason Rudolph went 22 of 38 for 266 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.
The Pick:
Tennessee has a slight injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings. The running game will be impacted with Pollard’s backup Spears out. The Patriots pass offense has shown improvement the past three games with 64% completions for 6 yards per pass attempt. Three straight losses for the Titans as they have averaged 15 points per game. The Titans passing game struggling over that span of games with 60% completions with 5.3 yards per pass attempt. Tennessee is 3-6 to the spread as a home favorite. Play New England +3.
LA Chargers vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Pick Prediction 11/3/2024
Chargers at Browns 1PM ET—Receiver Chark is questionable for LA. On defense a corner is out with two linebackers questionable. Cleveland starters are healthy on offense and on defense a linebacker is out. LA improved to 4-3 following their 26-8 home victory to New Orleans. The Chargers gained 378 yards with 122 rushing for 4.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 366 yards to the Saints with 117 rushing for 5.6 yards a carry. Justin Herbert completed 20 of 32 for 279 yards with two touchdowns. He rushed for 49 yards. Cleveland is 2-6 with their 29-24 home victory to Baltimore. The Browns put up 401 yards with 80 rushing for 3.5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 387 yards to the Ravens with 263 passing on 38 attempts. Jameis Winston went 27 of 41 for 334 yards and three touchdowns.
The Pick:
The Chargers have a slight injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. LA is running for 4 yards a carry and completing 65% of their passes for 6.9 yards per pass attempt. A wide injury advantage is a healthier Chargers offense going against a banged-up Browns defense. The LA defense on the road has allowed 14 points per game as they allow opposing quarterbacks 5.6 yards per pass attempt. The Browns defense allows 4.5 yards per rush with 6.9 yards per pass attempt. LA is 5-0 to the spread on the road off a home win. Play LA -1.
Washington Commanders vs. NY Giants NFL Pick Prediction 11/3/2024
Commanders at Giants 1PM ET—Washington running back Robinson is questionable. Their defensive starters are healthy. NY starters on offense and defense are healthy. Washington is 6-2 following their 18-15 home victory to the Chicago Bears. The Commanders gained 481 yards with 168 rushing for 5.3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 307 yards to the Bears with 105 passing on 24 attempts. Jayden Daniels completed 21 of 38 for 326 yards with a touchdown. He rushed for 52 yards. NY drops to 2-6 after their 26-18 road defeat to Pittsburgh. The Giants put up 394 yards with 157 rushing for 6.3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 326 yards with 167 rushing for 5.4 yards a carry. Daniel Jones went 24 of 38 for 264 yards and an interception.
The Pick:
NY has a small injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. Both teams have high injury health ratings. Washington is rushing for 5.2 yards a carry but effective with their passing game by averaging 72% completions for 7.9 yards per pass attempt. NY is putting up 14.6 points per game at home with an inefficient passing game that averages 5.4 yards per pass attempt. Their defense is giving up 5.4 yards a carry with 71% completions. Washington is 5-2 to the spread on the road facing teams that average 17 or fewer points per game. Play Washington -3.5.
Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Pick Prediction 11/3/2024
Broncos at Ravens 1PM ET—Denver has healthy starters on offense with a safety out. Baltimore starters are healthy on offense with their nickel back questionable. Denver improved to 5-3 following their 28-14 home victory to Carolina. The Broncos gained 400 yards with 102 rushing for 3.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 284 yards to the Panthers with 215 passing on 38 attempts. Bo Nix completed 28 of 37 for 284 yards with three touchdowns. Baltimore drops to 5-3 with their 29-24 road defeat at Cleveland. The Ravens put up 387 yards with 124 rushing for 5.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 401 yards to the Browns with 321 passing on 41 attempts. Lamar Jackson hit 23 of 38 for 289 yards and two touchdowns. He rushed for 46 yards.
The Pick:
No clear advantage in the Chao injury ratings with both teams with high health scores. Denver is a strong defensive team as they allow four yards per run with only 5.3 yards per pass attempt. The Ravens defense has struggled the past three games by allowing 28 points with 68% completions for 7.7 yards per pass attempt. The Broncos have won five of six. Baltimore is 5-10 to the spread at home against the AFC. Play Denver +9.5.
Las Vegas Raider vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Pick Prediction 11/3/2024
Raiders at Bengals 1PM ET—Las Vegas center is out with their right guard questionable. On defense a linebacker is questionable. Cincinnati receiver Tee Higgins and their left tackle is doubtful. On defense a safety is questionable. Las Vegas fell to 2-6 following their 27-20 home defeat to Kansas City Chiefs. The Raiders gained 228 yards with 33 rushing on 21 carries. On defense they allowed 252 yards passing to the Chiefs on 38 attempts. Gardner Minshew hit 24 of 30 for 209 yards and two touchdowns. Cincinnati drops to 3-5 with their 37-17 home defeat to Philadelphia. The Bengals put up 280 yards with 58 rushing for 2.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 397 yards to the Eagles with 236 passing on 20 attempts. Joe Burrow completed 26 of 37 for 234 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick:
Cincinnati has an injury advantage based on Dr Chao ratings. The healthiest unit is the Bengals defense with a 90.4 rating. Las Vegas defense has a low injury rating of 77.9. The Raiders offense has been inefficient with 3.6 yards per run and 5.8 yards per pass attempt. Their defense on the road allows 5 yards per carry. The Bengals offense at home is completing 74.1% with 7.4 yards per pass attempt. The issue with the Bengals home performance has been their defense as they give up 33 points per game with 71.6% completions for 8.7 yards per pass attempt. The Raiders have covered two straight as underdogs. Las Vegas is 9-6 to the spread as road underdog. Cincinnati is 0-4 to the spread at home as a favorite of -7.5 to -14. Minshew could have some success against this poor pass defense. Play Las Vegas +7.
New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Pick Prediction 11/3/2024
Saints at Panthers—New Orleans receiver Wilson and their left guard are questionable. On defense both corners are out. Carolina receiver Legette and tight end Tremble are questionable. Theie left tackle is out. Their current defensive starters are healthy. New Orleans fell to 2-6 following their 28-6 road defeat to LA Chargers. The Saints gained 366 yards with 117 rushing for 5.6 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 378 yards to the Chargers with 256 passing on 32 attempts. Derek Carr returns from injury. He is completing 70.3% of his passes with 7.7 yards per pass attempt. Carolina drops to 2-6 after their 28-14 road defeat to Denver. The Panthers put up 284 yards with 69 rushing for 3.5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 401 yards to the Broncos with 298 passing on 39 attempts. Bryce Young hit 24 of 37 for 224 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions.
The Pick:
New Orleans has a significant injury advantage based on Dr Chao injury ratings. The Panthers defense has a very low 67.5 health rating based on the quality of players on the IR. New Orleans rushes for 4.3 yards a carry and allows 5.2 yards per run. The Panthers rush for 4.5 yards a carry but are an inefficient passing team with 5.4 yards per pass attempt. Carolina is allowing 34 points per game by allowing 4.5 yards per run with 72% completions for 7.8 yards per pass attempt. Panthers defensive injured players plus huge difference in quarterback quality here. The Saints are 3-1 to the spread against a team that allows 350 yards per game or greater. Carolina is 2-6 to the spread at home when an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Play New Orleans -7.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Pick Prediction 11/3/2024
Cowboys at Falcons—Dallas right guard is out. On defense an end and left corner are out with a linebacker plus right corner questionable. Atlanta fullback is out with right guard questionable. On defense a linebacker is questionable. Dallas fell to 5-3 after their 30-24 road defeat at San Francisco. The Cowboys put up 292 yards with 56 rushing for 2.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 469 yards to the 49ers with 246 passing on 26 attempts. Dak Prescott completed 25 of 38 for 243 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Atlanta moves to 5-3 with their 31-26 road win at Tampa Bay. The Falcons gained 394 yards with 129 rushing for 4.5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 432 yards to the Buccaneers with 330 passing on 50 attempts. Kirk Cousins went 23 of 29 for 276 yards and four touchdowns.
The Pick:
The Falcons have a significant injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. The lowest rating is the Cowboys defense with a health score of 72.8. The Falcons have health scores over 90 on each unit. Dallas has struggled with their run game and efficiency in the passing game. The pass defense has been poor by allowing 7.7 yards per pass attempt. Atlanta rushes for 4.7 yards a carry with 68% completions for 7.4 yards per pass attempt. On defense they allow 4.4 yards a carry with 6.4 yards per pass attempt. Dallas is 1-7 to the spread on the road facing a good passing team that averages 7 yards per pass attempt or greater. Play Atlanta -3.
Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Pick Prediction 11/3/2024
Dolphins at Bills 1PM ET—Miami fullback is questionable. On defense a safety is doubtful with nickel back out. Buffalo fullback is out with receiver Cooper questionable. On defense a corner is questionable. Miami is 2-5 following their 28-27 home defeat to Arizona. The Dolphins gained 377 yards with 150 rushing for 6 yards per carry. On defense they allowed 389 yards to the Wildcats with 307 passing on 36 attempts. Tua completed 28 of 38 for 234 yards with a touchdown. Buffalo improved to 6-2 with their 31-10 road win at Seattle. The Bills posted 445 yards with 164 rushing for 4.8 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 233 yards to the Seahawks with 32 rushing on 17 carries. Josh Allen completed 24 of 34 for 283 yards with two touchdowns and an interception.
The Pick:
Buffalo has an injury advantage in this game based on the Chao ratings. Both offenses have health scores over 90. The lowest health score is the Dolphins defense based on the quality of players on the IR. The Dolphins have struggled with efficiency in their passing game on the road. Their defense on the road is allowing 5.1 yards per run. Buffalo form is good over their past three games by averaging 29 points per game with 4.4 yards per run and 8.8 yards per pass attempt. Their defense in this period allowed 3.9 yards per run and 6.5 yards per pass attempt. Miami is 1-4 to the spread as a road underdog of +3.5 to +9.5. They are also 3-8 to the spread on the road facing teams that average 5.65 yards per rush or greater. Play Buffalo -6.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Pick Prediction 11/3/2024
Jaguars at Eagles 4PM ET—Jacksonville running back Etienne, Thomas and receiver Davis is questionable. Their left guard is out with right guard questionable. Their defensive starters are healthy. Philadelphia tight end Goedert is out. On defense a corner is out. Jacksonville fell to 2-6 following their 30-27 home defeat to Green Bay. The Jaguars gained 390 yards with 91 rushing for 4 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 422 yards with 252 passing on 27 attempts. Trever Lawrence completed 21 of 32 for 308 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He had a rushing touchdown. Philadelphia improved to 5-2 with their 37-17 road win at Cincinnati. The Eagles put up 397 yards with 161 rushing for 4.1 yards a carry. Jalen Hurts went 16 of 20 for 236 yards with a touchdown. He rushed for 37 yards and three touchdowns.
The Pick:
Philadelphia has a clear injury advantage based on the Chao injury ratings. The Eagles defense has the highest health ratings at 92.5 with the Jaguars offense the lowest at 75.5. Philadelphia form is outstanding in their past three games are running for 4.6 yards a carry with 70% completions for 9.4 yards per pass attempt. The defense has been outstanding in this span by allowing 3.7 yards per run with 4.6 yards per pass attempt. The Jaguars on the road have been inaccurate and inefficient in the passing game. Their defense on the road allows 71% completions for 8 yards per pass attempt and allowing 28 points per game. Philadelphia is 3-0 to the spread at home facing a team that allows 235 yards passing per game or greater. Jacksonville is 1-5 to the spread on the road following a home loss. Play Philadelphia -7.5.
Chicago Bears vs. Arizona Cardinals NFL Pick Prediction 11/3/2024
Bears at Cardinals 4PM ET—Chicago left tackle is out with their left guard questionable. On defense a safety is out with an end and nickel back questionable. Arizona has healthy starters on offense with both tackles on defense questionable. Chicago fell to 4-3 following their 18-15 road defeat at Washington. The Bears gained 307 yards with 202 rushing for 6.1 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 481 yards with 313 passing on 38 attempts. Caleb Williams hit 10 of 24 for 131 yards. Arizona improved to 4-4 after their 28-27 road win at Miami. The Cardinals put up 389 yards with 82 rushing for 3.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 377 yards to the Dolphins with 150 rushing for six yards a carry. Kyler Murray completed 26 of 36 for 207 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick:
It is a slight injury advantage for Chicago based on the Chao ratings. The healthiest unit is the Cardinals offense with a 92.1 health rating, but the lowest rating is from their defense at 75.4. Arizona offense in their past three games is rushing for 4.5 yards a carry with 66% completions. On defense they are allowing 4.6 yards per run with 71% completions for 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Chicago offense in good form in this period with 4.7 yards per run and 7.7 yards per pass attempt while holding foes to 61% completions with 6.4 yards per pass attempt. Play Chicago +2.
Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Pick Prediction 11/3/2024
Lions at Packers—Detroit receiver Williams is out. On defense both ends are out as is a linebacker. Green Bay quarterback Love and running back Jacobs are questionable. On defense a safety is out with cornerback questionable. Detroit improved to 6-1 following their 52-14 home victory to Tennessee. The Lions gained 225 yards with 164 rushing for 6.8 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 416 yards to the Titans with 158 rushing on 4.9 yards a carry. Jared Goff completed 12 of 15 passes for 85 yards and three touchdowns. Green Bay moves to 6-2 with their 30-27 road win at Jacksonville. The Packers put up 422 yards with 170 rushing for 4.4 yards per run. On defense they allowed 390 yards to the Jaguars with 299 passing on 32 attempts. Jordan Love hit 14 of 22 for 196 yards and an interception. He is bothered by a groin injury but expected to start and was limited in practice this week.
The Pick:
The Packers have a slight injury advantage based on Dr Chao injury ratings. The healthiest unit is the Lions offense with a 92.6 rating but a low 75.8 rating with their defense. Rain and wind are in the forecast and the Lions play their first game outdoors. The Packers offense is in good form in their past three games with 4.4 yards per run and 70% completions for 7.7 yards per pass attempt. The Detroit offense in this period is rushing for 5.7 yards a carry with 79% completions for 8.7 yards per pass attempt. But they are surrendering 5 yards per run in this span. The concern is the Lions defensive injuries to both edge rushers and Goff outdoors in bad weather. Play Green Bay +2.5.
LA Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Pick Prediction 11/3/2024
Rams at Seahawks 4:25PM ET—LA receiver Nacua is questionable. On defense a safety is questionable. Seattle receiver Metcalf and tight end Fant are out. On defense a linebacker is questionable. LA improved to 3-4 following their 30-20 home victory to Minnesota. The Rams gained 386 yards with 107 rushing for 3.3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 276 yards to the Vikings with 64 rushing for 2.9 yards a carry. Matthew Stafford connected on 25 of 34 for 279 yards with four touchdowns and an interception. Seattle fell to 4-4 after their 31-10 home defeat to Buffalo. The Seahawks posted 233 yards with 32 rushing on 17 carries. Defensively they allowed 445 yards to the Bills with 164 rushing for 4.8 yards a carry. Geno Smith went 21 of 29 for 212 yards and an interception.
The Pick:
Seattle has a slight injury advantage based on the Chao ratings with all four units hovering in the mid 80’s for health ratings. As LA got healthier, they have shown improvement. Their defense in the past three games is allowing 3.9 yards per run with 56.8% completions. Seattle in this period is struggling offensively. On defense in this span, they are allowing 5.5 yards per run with 68% completions for 7.8 yards per pass attempt. Play LA -1.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Pick Prediction 11/3/2024
Colts at Vikings 8:20PM ET—Indianapolis left tackle is out. On defense an end is questionable. Minnesota has healthy starters on offense while on defense a linebacker is questionable. Indianapolis drops to 4-4 following their 23-20 road defeat to Houston. The Colts put up 303 yards with 163 rushing for 6.3 yards per carry. Joe Flacco will start ahead of a benched Anthony Ricardson. Flacco this season is completing 65.7% of his passes for 6.6 yards per pass attempt. Minnesota drops to 5-2 after their 30-20 road defeat to LA Rams. The Vikings produced 276 yards with 64 rushing for 2.9 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 386 yards to the Rams with 279 passing on 34 attempts. Sam Darnold hit 18 of 25 for 240 yards and two touchdowns.
The Pick:
Minnesota has a slight injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. The Colts defense has the lowest rating at 82.3 with the three other units relatively high health ratings. The Colts defense in their past three games have played well by allowing 4.4 yards per run and 5.7 yards per pass attempt while surrendering only 16.7 points per game. They are rushing for 4.4 yards a carry in this period. Minnesota has dropped two straight and in this period of three games running for only 3.9 yards per carry while allowing 67% completion rate. Minnesota is 1-7 to the spread at home facing a team that averages 4.5 yards rushing per game or greater. Play Indianapolis +5.5.