Free College Football Picks Week 10 Part 4-10/26/2024
Navy vs. Rice College Football Pick Prediction 11/2/2024
Navy at Rice 4PM ET—Navy fell to 6-1 following their 51-14 defeat to Notre Dame. The Midshipmen gained 310 yards with 222 rushing for 5.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 466 yards to the Fighting Irish with 265 rushing for 6.6 yards a carry. Blake Horvath completed 7 of 13 for 88 yards and an interception. He rushed for 129 yards and a touchdown. Rice drops to 2-6 with their 17-10 road defeat at Connecticut. The Owls put up 178 yards with 90 rushing for 2.8 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 309 yards to the Huskies with 181 rushing for 4.1 yards a carry. Drew Devillier hit 14 of 30 for 88 yards.
The Pick:
Rice in AAC play has struggled to get points on the board. They rush for 4.5 yards a carry with 60% completions against the conference. The Owls defend against the AAC well allowing 4.1 yards per run and only 57.3% completions. Navy has been efficient offensively facing the ACC. They are a high-volume rushing team. In conference they allow 4.8 yards per run with only 57.8% completions against the AAC. Play Navy and Rice under 50.5.
Coastal Carolina vs. Troy College Football Pick Prediction 11/2/2024
Coastal Carolina at Troy 4PM ET—Coastal Carolina fell to 4-3 following their 34-24 home defeat to Louisiana. The Chanticleers gained 400 yards with 208 rushing for 7.7 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 516 yards to the Ragin Cajuns with 373 passing on 36 attempts. Ethan Vasko completed 3 of 10 for 10 yards. Noah Kim was 16 of 25 for 182 yards with two touchdowns. Kim could start here. Troy drops to 1-7 with their 34-31 road defeat at Arkansas St. The Trojans put up 466 yards with 162 rushing for 4.3 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 534 yards to the Redwolves with 349 passing on 40 attempts. Matthew Caldwell went 22 of 33 for 304 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions.
The Pick:
Coastal Carolina defensively in the Sun Belt is allowing 4.8 yards per run with 278 yards passing for 8 yards per pass attempt. Troy is rushing for 5 yards a carry at home and completes 65% for 8.5 yards per pass attempt. The Chanticleers lost three of four. Play Troy +4.5.
Wyoming vs. New Mexico College Football Pick Prediction 11/2/2024
Wyoming at New Mexico 4PM ET—Wyoming drops to 1-7 following their 27-25 home defeat to Utah St. The Cowboys gained 470 yards with 276 rushing for 6.6 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 378 yards to the Aggies with 148 rushing for 4.9 yards a carry. Kaden Anderson completed 15 of 24 for 182 yards. New Mexico fell to 3-5 after their 17-6 road defeat at Colorado St. The Lobos put up 453 yards with 134 rushing for 3.8 yards a carry. Defensively they held the Rams to 334 yards with 192 rushing for 5.3 yards a carry. Devon Dampier was 23 of 40 for 319 yards and two interceptions. He rushed for 51 yards.
The Pick:
Wyoming struggles offensively against the MWC with only 51.6% completion rate. The Cowboys defend by allowing 4.3 yards per run with 51.6% completions. New Mexico is a high-volume rushing team in the Mountain West and has been efficient in the passing game. They allow 4.5 yards per run and struggled in pass defense in the conference. Wyoming is 6-3 to the under on the road against the MWC. The Cowboys lack a passing game but good pass defense the key here. Play Wyoming and New Mexico under 61.
Massachusetts vs. Mississippi St College Football Pick Prediction 11/2/2024
UMASS at Mississippi St 4:15PM ET—Massachusetts improved to 2-6 after their 35-7 home win to FCS Wagner. Two weeks prior it was a 45-3 home defeat to Missouri. The Minutemen gained 237 yards with 95 rushing for 3.1 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 461 yards to the Tigers with 231 rushing for 6.1 yards a carry. Taisun Phommanchanh went 12 of 22 for 132 yards with an interception. Mississippi St is 1-7 with their 58-25 home defeat to Arkansas. The Bulldogs put up 471 yards with 162 rushing for 3.9 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 673 yards to the Razorbacks with 359 rushing for 9.7 yards a carry. Michael Van Buren went 22 of 31 for 309 yards with two touchdowns and a pick. He had a rushing touchdown.
The Pick:
UMASS offense has struggled on the road with 3 yards per rush and inaccuracy in the passing game. They hold opposing quarterbacks on the road to 55% completions. Mississippi St has struggled on the ground with 3.6 yards a carry. Their defense will have a physical advantage here which means scoring will be a difficult task for the Minutemen. Play UMASS and Mississippi St under 60.
Hawaii vs. Fresno St College Football Pick Prediction 11/2/2024
Hawaii at Fresno St 7PM ET—Hawaii improved to 3-5 after their 34-13 home victory to Nevada. The Warriors gained 395 yards with 242 rushing for 5.8 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 380 yards to the Wolf Pack with 286 passing on 39 attempts. Brayden Schager completed 14 of 25 for 153 yards with an interception. He rushed for 120 yards and four touchdowns. Fresno St sits at 5-3 with their 33-10 home victory to San Jose St. The Bulldogs put up 401 yards with 126 rushing for 3.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 385 yards to the Spartans with 284 passing on 51 attempts. Mikey Keene hit 30 of 41 for 275 yards with three touchdowns and an interception.
The Pick:
Hawaii has struggled on the road with the run and accuracy in the passing game. The Warriors allow 33.3 points per game on the road behind a poor pass defense that allows 75.3% with 8.4 yards per pass attempt. Fresno St is a good passing team against the Mountain West with 70% completions for 7.4 yards per pass attempt. Hawaii lost and failed to cover all three road games. Hawaii is 1-3 to the spread on the road against a winning team. Play Fresno St -13.5.
Louisville vs. Clemson College Football Pick Prediction 11/2/2024
Louisville at Clemson 7:30PM ET—Louisville improved to 5-3 following their 31-27 road win at Boston College. The Cardinals gained 461 yards with 129 rushing for 4 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 318 yards to the Eagles with 154 rushing for 3.8 yards a carry. Tyler Shough hit 28 of 38 for 332 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Clemson is 6-1 with their 48-31 home victory to Virginia. The Tigers put up 539 yards with 194 rushing for 5.1 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 346 yards to the Cavaliers with 68 rushing for 2.3 yards a carry. Cade Klubnik went 23 of 35 for 308 yards with three touchdowns and an interception.
The Pick:
Clemson in their past three games is putting up 42 points with 5.7 yards per run with 308 yards passing for 8 yards per pass attempt. They are defending well in this period allowing 2.2 yards per run with 56.3% completion over this period. Louisville defense in their past three games allowed 33 points with 4.5 yards per run with 7.4 yards per pass attempt. Louisville is 2-9 to the spread on the road against the ACC. Play Clemson -10.
Georgia Southern vs. South Alabama College Football Pick Prediction 11/2/2024
Georgia Southern at South Alabama 7:30PM ET—Georgia Southern fell to 5-3 following their 47-19 road defeat at Old Dominion. The Eagles gained 416 yards with 113 rushing for 4.7 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 560 yards to the Monarchs with 304 passing on 37 attempts. JC French completed 17 of 29 for 259 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. South Alabama is 4-4 with their 46-17 home victory to UL Monroe. The Jaguars put up 523 yards with 355 rushing for 7.4 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 383 yards to the Warhawks with 338 rushing for 6.4 yards a carry. Gio Lopez hit 18 of 30 for 168 yards. He rushed for 25 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick:
Georgia Southern offensive in the Sun Belt is rushing for 4.7 yards a carry and passing for 271 yards for 7.3 yards per pass attempt. Defensively they hold conference foes to 4.2 yards a carry and 59% completions. South Alabama has good numbers against the conference offensively. They allow conference foes to 4 yards a carry and 6.4 yards per pass attempt. South Alabama is 1-3 to the spread at home against a winning team. Play Georgia Southern +6.5.
USC vs. Washington College Football Pick Prediction 11/2/2024
USC at Washington 7:30PM ET—USC improved to 4-4 following their 42-20 home victory to Rutgers. The Trojans gained 443 yards with 135 rushing for 5.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 434 yards to the Scarlet Knights with 313 passing on 47 attempts. Miller Moss hit 20 of 28 for 308 yards with two touchdowns. He had a rushing touchdown. Washington fell to 4-4 with their 31-17 road defeat at Indiana. The Huskies put up 318 yards with 116 rushing for 3.7 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 312 yards to the Hoosiers with 188 rushing for 3.6 yards a carry. Will Rogers went 19 of 26 for 202 yards and two interceptions.
The Pick:
The Trojans on the road struggle offensively with 4.4 yards per run and 63.3% completions for 6.8 yards per pass attempt. On defense away from home the Trojans allow 4.8 yards per run with 75% completions for 7.3 yards per pass attempt. Washington against the Big Ten rushes for 4.3 yards per game and completes 71% of their passes for 7.6 yards per pass attempt. Defensively they hold Big Ten teams to 49.5% completions for 4.7 yards per pass attempt. USC is 2-10 to the spread as a road favorite. Play Washington +2.
Wisconsin vs. Iowa College Football Pick Prediction 11/2/2024
Wisconsin at Iowa 7:30PM ET—Wisconsin drops to 5-3 following their 28-13 home defeat to Penn St. The Badgers gained 298 yards with 81 rushing for three yards per carry. On defense they allowed 419 yards to the Nittany Lions with 246 passing on 31 attempts. Braedyn Locke completed 22 of 42 for 217 yards and an interception. Iowa improved to 5-3 with their 40-14 home victory to Northwestern. The Hawkeyes put up 355 yards with 203 rushing for 5.2 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 163 yards to the Wildcats with 43 rushing for 1.8 yards a carry. Brendan Sullivan went 9 of 14 for 79 yards. He rushed for 41 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick:
Wisconsin on the road is rushing for 205 yards with 5.3 yards a carry. They average 7.4 yards per pass attempt away from home. The Badgers defend well on the road by allowing 4.4 yards a carry with 50.5% completions for 4.9 yards per pass attempt. Iowa rushes well against the Big Ten with inaccuracy and inefficiency at the quarterback position. Defensively in conference they allow 68% completions and 4.3 yards per run. The Badgers are 3-1 to the spread on the road when lined between +3 and -3. Play Wisconsin +3.