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Game Analysis: Boise St vs UNLV 10/25/24
I have a top premium pick in the Mountain West Conference on the spread, but I’m going to give you the total here. We’ve got Boise State on the road against UNLV. These teams are one and two in the Mountain West Conference, and the winner here is going to be ranked number one.
Boise State—what can you say? Gentry is up for the Heisman Trophy. He’s beating Barry Sanders’ records; you might as well just hand it to him. But look at this: UNLV, at home, is averaging 50 points in three games. That’s 50 points a game—pretty good offense, right? They’ve got a dual-threat quarterback, Austin Gentry, who’s putting up about 200 yards a game.
The only bad game Boise State had was when they went to Hawaii, and every college team struggles when they go to Hawaii. These are young kids—what do you expect? When they go to Hawaii, you always take Hawaii plus the spread when they’re getting lots of points. That score was 28-7, and because of that game, Boise State’s points allowed on the road averaged out to 29. That tells you how many points they’ve given up on the road. Boise State will give up points on the road, but they score a lot themselves.
Total Prediction: Take the Over
The total for this game is 64.5. I know it’s an important game, and there will be adjustments, and they’ll try to stop the run, but it doesn’t matter. It’s still going to go over. I’m looking at a total of 71 points here. Take the over 64.5.
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