Free College Football Picks Week 9 Part 4-10/26/2024
Texas vs. Vanderbilt College Football Pick Prediction 10/26/2024
Texas at Vanderbilt 4:15PM ET—Texas fell to 5-1 following their 30-15 home defeat to Georgia. The Longhorns gained 259 yards with 29 rushing on 27 carries. On defense they allowed 283 yards to the Bulldogs with 175 passing on 41 attempts. Quinn Ewers completed 25 of 43 for 211 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Vanderbilt sits at 5-2 after their 24-14 home victory to Ball St. The Commodores put up 420 yards with 145 rushing for 3.9 yards a carry. On defense they held the Cardinals to 268 yards with 78 rushing for 3.5 yards a carry. Diego Pavia went 17 of 31 for 275 yards with a touchdown. He rushed for 82 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick:
Vanderbilt in SEC play is completing 72.6% of their passes for 9.2 yards per pass attempt. Defensively they hold SEC foes to 64% completion rate. The Longhorns are rushing for 4.6 yards a carry in conference with 7.1 yards per pass attempt. The Commodores have a +6-turnover margin. Texas is 2-4 on the road to the spread facing teams that average 8 yards per pass attempt or higher. Play Vanderbilt +19.
UL Monroe vs. South Alabama College Football Pick Prediction 10/26/2024
UL Monroe at South Alabama 5PM ET—UL Monroe improved to 5-1 following their 38-21 home win to Southern Miss. The Warhawks gained 432 yards with 246 rushing for 5.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 347 yards to the Golden Eagles with 182 rushing for 4.8 yards a carry. Aidan Armenta completed 10 of 17 passes for 188 yards and two touchdowns. He rushed for 52 yards and a touchdown. South Alabama is 3-4 with their 25-9 home win to Troy. The Jaguars put up 318 yards with 160 rushing for four yards per carry. Defensively they held the Trojans to 172 yards with 36 rushing on 22 carries. Gio Lopez hit 16 of 21 for 158 yards with a touchdown. He rushed for 67 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick:
The Warhawks have struggled in their road games with 2.9 yards per run and getting inaccurate play at quarterback. On the road they allow 5.1 yards per carry with 8 yards per pass attempt. South Alabama at home is a strong offensive team with 6.3 yards a carry with 282 yards passing for 9.5 yards per attempt. Defensively at home they limit foes to 2.4 yards per run. The Jaguars have a +9-turnover margin. UL Monroe is 6-9 to the spread as a road underdog. Play South Alabama -7.5.
New Mexico vs. Colorado St College Football Pick Prediction 10/26/2024
New Mexico at Colorado St 5PM ET—New Mexico improved to 3-4 following their 50-45 road win at Utah St. The Lobos gained 552 yards with 280 rushing for 5.5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 503 yards to the Aggies with 360 passing on 47 attempts. Devon Dampier completed 17 of 27 for 272 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions. He rushed for 105 yards and two touchdowns. Colorado St is 4-3 after their 21-13 road win at Air Force. The Rams 406 yards with 205 rushing for 5.7 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 348 yards to the Falcons with 173 rushing for 3.2 yards a carry. Brayden Fowler Nicolosi hit 11 of 21 for 178 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick:
The Lobos on the road are allowing 48 points per game as they allow 6.7 yards per run with 302 yards passing for 9.1 yards per pass attempt. Their offensive numbers are good but not greater than they give up. Colorado St has defended well in conference by allowing 3.7 yards per run with 57% completions. Offensively against the MWC the Rams rush for 5.2 yards a carry with 65.4% completions for 9 yards per pass attempt. New Mexico is 5-8 to the spread as a road underdog. Play Colorado St -6.
Florida St vs. Miami College Football Pick Prediction 10/26/2024
Florida St at Miami 7PM ET—Florida St fell to 1-6 following their 23-16 road loss at Duke. The Seminoles gained 291 yards with 162 rushing for four yards a carry. On defense they held the Blue Devils to 180 yards with 70 passing on 24 attempts. Brock Glenn completed 9 of 19 for 110 yards and two interceptions. He rushed for 47 yards. Miami improved to 7-0 after their 52-45 road win at Louisville. The Hurricanes put up 538 yards with 219 rushing for 5.5 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 448 yards to the Cardinals with 342 yards passing on 51 attempts. Cam Ward hit 21 of 32 for 319 yards with four touchdowns.
The Pick:
Florida St offensively has been poor against the ACC with 2.7 yards per run and 52.3% completion rate. Defensively in conference they allow 4.5 yards per carry with 60% completions for 7.4 yards per pass attempt. Miami offensively in conference rushed for five yards a carry with 8.9 yards per pass attempt as they pile up 540 yards per game. But in their past three games the Hurricanes are allowing 39 points and 404 yards per game. Opponents in this period are rushing for 4.9 yards and passing for 7.6 yards per pass attempt. Play Florida St and Miami over 54.5.
Troy vs. Arkansas St College Football Pick Prediction 10/26/2024
Troy at Arkansas St 7PM ET—Troy fell to 1-8 on the year after their 25-9 road defeat to South Alabama. The Trojans gained 172 yards with 36 rushing on 22 carries. On defense they allowed 318 yards with 160 rushing for four yards per carry. Goose Crowder is out for the season. Matthew Caldwell went 17 of 30 for 142 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. Arkansas St improved to 4-3 after their 44-28 road win at Southern Miss. The Redwolves gained 467 yards with 281 rushing for 7.2 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 367 yards to the Golden Eagles with 180 rushing for 3.8 yards a carry. Jaylen Raynor hit 20 of 31 for 186 yards and three touchdowns.
The Pick:
Arkansas St has defended poorly this season by allowing 221 yards rushing for 5.6 yards a carry with 8.4 yards per pass attempt. The Trojans are holding opponents to 25 points per game in their past three games as they hold teams to 4.3 yards a carry. The Redwolves defensive form makes it difficult to back here. Play Troy +7.5.
Utah vs. Houston College Football Pick Prediction 10/26/2024
Utah at Houston 7PM ET—Utah fell to 4-3 following their 13-7 home defeat to TCU. The Utes put up 267 yards with 68 rushing for 2.6 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 395 yards to the Horned Frogs with 263 passing on 41 attempts. Isaac Wilson completed 17 of 33 for 199 yards with a touchdown and interception. Houston drops to 2-5 after their 42-14 road defeat to Kansas. The Cougars posted 335 yards with 98 rushing for 3 yards a carry. Zeon Chriss went 3 of 4 for 26 yards and an interception. He is listed as probable after injury a hamstring in the Kansas game.
The Pick:
Utah offensively against the conference has struggled offensively with 4.1 yards per carry and 50.6% completions. They allow four yards per run against the Big 12 and has been effective defending the pass. The Utes have a -3-turnover margin. Houston against the conference is rushing for 4.5 yards a carry and completed 66.7% of their throws. Utah is 3-7 to the spread on the road following a home game. Play Houston +4.
Utah St vs. Wyoming College Football Pick Prediction 10/26/2024
Utah St at Wyoming 7PM ET—Utah St fell to 1-6 following their 50-45 home defeat to New Mexico. The Aggies gained 503 yards with 143 rushing for 4.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 552 yards to the Lobos with 280 rushing for 5.5 yards a carry. Spencer Petras hit 32 of 47 passes for 360 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He rushed for a touchdown. Wyoming drops to 1-6 after their 24-14 road defeat to San Jose St. The Cowboys put up 366 yards with 56 rushing for 1.5 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 498 yards to the Spartans with 322 passing on 39 attempts. Evan Svoboda hit 14 of 27 for 194 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick:
Wyoming offense against the Mountain West is rushing for 3.5 yards per carry and is inaccurate in the passing game. Defensively in conference the Cowboys are allowing 4.6 yards per run with 8.7 yards per pass attempt. Utah St is a very poor defensive team in the conference. Offensively in conference they rush for 4 yards a carry and complete 68% of their passes for 398 yards passing per game. The Cowboys offense is too poor to back here. Play Utah St -1.5.
West Virginia vs. Arizona College Football Pick Prediction 10/26/2024
West Virginia at Arizona 7PM ET—West Virginia drops to 3-4 following their 45-18 home defeat to Kansas St. The Mountaineers put up 295 yards with 152 rushing for 3.5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 412 yards to the Wildcats with 298 passing on 29 attempts. Garett Greene is questionable with an upper body injury. Nicco Marchiol went 6 of 13 for 58 yards and a touchdown in relief last week. He has struggled with accuracy and efficiency the past two seasons in a backup role. Arizona drops to 3-4 after their 34-7 home defeat to Colorado. The Wildcats put up 245 yards with 107 rushing for 3.1 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 398 yards to the Buffs with 250 passing on 34 attempts. Noah Fifita completed 16 of 26 for 138 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick:
West Virginia in their road games is rushing for 5.2 yards a carry with 8.2 yards per pass attempt. Defensively away from home they hold opponents to 2.3 yards a carry but allow 9.1 yards per pass attempt. Arizona in the Big 12 runs for only 3.9 yards a carry with only 5.9 yards per pass attempt. They are allowing 4.5 yards per run to conference foes with 7.5 yards per pass attempt. The Wildcats have thrown ten interceptions the season. Arizona is 1-3 to the spread as a home favorite of -7 or lower. Play West Virginia +3.5.
Michigan St vs. Michigan College Football Pick Prediction 10/26/2024
Michigan St at Michigan 7:30PM ET—Michigan St improved to 4-3 following their 32-20 home win to Iowa. The Spartans gained 478 yards with 212 rushing for 5.3 yards a carry. On defense they held the Hawkeyes to 283 yards with 133 rushing for 5.8 yards a carry. Aidan Chiles completed 22 of 30 for 256 yards with a touchdown and interception. He rushed for 51 yards. Michigan fell to 4-3 after their 21-7 road defeat to Illinois. The Wolverines put up 322 yards with 114 rushing for 5.6 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 267 yards to the Fighting Illini with 80 passing on 19 attempts. Jack Tuttle hit 20 of 32 for 208 yards and an interception.
The Pick:
On the road the Spartans are allowing 151 yards rushing for 4.1 yards per carry with 69% completions for 7.9 yards per pass attempt. Michigan is a strong running team with 5.2 yards a carry at home. At home they limit opponents to 2.8 yards per run with 6 yards per pass attempt. The Wolverines are 4-1 to the spread at home following a road game. Play Michigan -5.
LSU vs. Texas A&M College Football Pick Prediction 10/26/2024
LSU at Texas A&M 7:30PM ET—LSU improved to 6-1 following their 34-10 road victory at Arkansas. The Tigers gained 393 yards with 158 rushing for 4.3 yards a carry. On defense held the Razorbacks to 277 yards with 38 rushing for 2 yards per run. Garrett Nussmeier completed 23 of 34 for 233 yards. Texas A&M is 6-1 after their 34-24 road win at Mississippi St. The Aggies put up 353 yards with 136 rushing for 3.7 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 377 yards to the Bulldogs with 242 passing on 41 attempts. Connor Weigman went 15 of 25 for 217 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick:
LSU on the road has rushed for 4.3 yards a carry and getting accurate and efficient play in the passing game. On defense away from home the Tigers are allowing 4.2 yards per carry with 257 yards passing for 8.8 yards per pass attempt. Texas A&M in conference is rushing for five yards a carry and averaging 9.7 yards per pass attempt. In the conference they hold opponents to 2.9 yards per run with only 53.7% completions. LSU is 5-11 to the spread away from home. The Aggies are 3-0 to the spread at home facing teams that average 425 yards per game or greater. Play Texas A&M -1.
Penn St vs. Wisconsin College Football Pick Prediction 10/26/2024
Penn St at Wisconsin 7:30PM ET—Penn St improved to 6-0 following their 33-30 road win at USC in overtime. The Nittany Lions gained 518 yards with 118 rushing for 3.8 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 409 yards to the Trojans with 189 rushing for 7.9 yards a carry. Drew Allar completed 30 of 43 for 391 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions. He rushed for 32 yards. Wisconsin is 5-2 after their 23-3 road win at Northwestern. The Badgers put up 359 yards with 199 rushing for 4.6 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 209 yards to the Wildcats with 82 passing on 24 attempts. Braedyn Locke went 14 of 24 for 160 yards with a touchdown and interception. He had a rushing touchdown.
The Pick:
Wisconsin against the conference is rushing for 5.4 yards per carry with 235 yards passing for 8.6 yards per pass attempt. The Nittany Lions hold Big Ten teams to 4.3 yards a carry with only 51% completions for 5 yards per pass attempt. Penn St rushes for 4.2 yards a carry in the conference with accurate and efficient quarterback play. Their defense is allowing 3.7 yards per run against the Big 12 with 65% completions for 6.4 yards per pass attempt. Penn St is 2-4 to the spread on the road against winning teams. Play Wisconsin +6.5.
Auburn vs. Kentucky College Football Pick Prediction 10/26/2024
Auburn at Kentucky 7:45PM ET—Auburn fell to 2-5 following their 21-17 road defeat to Missouri. The Tigers gained 286 yards with 110 rushing for 3.1 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 353 yards to the Tigers with 272 passing on 43 attempts. Payton Thorne completed 17 of 29 for 176 yards with a touchdown. Kentucky sits at 3-4 after their 48-20 road defeat at Florida. The Wildcats put up 309 yards with 144 rushing for 4 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 476 yards to the Gators with 279 passing on 15 attempts. Brock Vandagriff went 12 of 26 for 165 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.
The Pick:
Auburn on the road has struggled offensively putting up 15 points per game with 3.7 yards per run and inaccuracy at the quarterback position. They struggle defending the pass on the road allowing 256 yards with 7.1 yards per pass attempt. Kentucky has defended well at home by allowing 3.1 yards a carry with 141 yards passing. Four straight losses for the Tigers with scoring the concern. The Wildcats have a three-point win at Ole Miss and dropped one point home decision to Georgia. Play Kentucky -2.5.
SMU vs. Duke College Football Pick Prediction 10/26/2024
SMU at Duke 8PM ET—SMU improved to 6-1 following their 40-10 road win at Stanford. The Mustangs gained 501 yards with 179 rushing for 4.7 yards a carry. On defense they held the Cardinal to 206 yards with 33 rushing on 35 attempts. Kevin Jennings completed 17 of 27 for 322 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. Duke is 6-1 after their 23-16 home victory to Florida St. The Blue Devils put up 180 yards with 110 rushing for 3.1 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 291 yards to the Seminoles with 162 rushing for four yards per carry. Maalik Murphy hit 12 of 24 for 70 yards.
The Pick:
SMU has sparkled in ACC play by averaging 39 points with 4.6 yards per run and 70% completions for 11.1 yards per pass attempt. They have defended well in conference by allowing 2.5 yards per run with 49.1% completions. Duke has struggled offensively in conference play with 3.9 yards per run with inaccuracy at the quarterback position. On defense they allow 4.4 yards per run to conference foes. The Mustangs are 6-3 to the spread as a road favorite. Play SMU -12.
Kansas vs. Kansas St College Football Pick Prediction 10/26/2024
Kansas at Kansas St 8PM ET—Kansas improved to 2-5 following their 42-14 home win to Houston. The Jayhawks gained 467 yards with 220 rushing for 6.7 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 335 yards to the Cougars with 98 rushing for 3 yards a carry. Jalon Daniels completed 16 of 21 for 247 yards with three touchdowns. He rushed for 58 yards and a touchdown. Kansas St sits at 6-1 with their 45-18 road win at West Virginia. The Wildcats put up 412 yards with 114 rushing for 4.4 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 295 yards to the Mountaineers with 143 passing on 32 attempts. Avery Johnson hit 19 of 29 for 298 yards and three touchdowns.
The Pick:
Kansas against the Big 12 is rushing for 5.4 yards a carry and averaging 7.8 yards per pass attempt. Defense an issue by allowing 5.4 yards a carry with 8.5 yards per pass attempt. Kansas St is a good offensive team against the conference. They have stopped the run effectively in conference but allow 262 yards passing with 7.1 yards per pass attempt. The Jayhawks put up 32 points per game in the conference and allowed 30. Play Kansas +10.
San Jose St vs. Fresno St College Football Pick Prediction 10/26/2024
San Jose St at Fresno St 8PM ET—San Jose St is 5-2 following their 24-14 home victory to Wyoming. The Spartans gained 498 yards with 176 rushing for 7 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 366 yards to the Cowboys with 310 passing on 38 attempts. Walker Eget went 20 of 38 for 318 yards with a touchdown and two picks. He rushed for 45 yards. Fresno St has a mark of 4-3 after their 24-21 road win at Nevada. The Bulldogs gained 216 yards with 126 rushing for 3.3 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 295 yards to the Wolfpack with 84 rushing for 2.2 yards a carry. Mike Keene went 13 of 20 for 190 yards with an interception.
The Pick:
San Jose St against the conference rushes for 4.2 yards a carry and has been efficient in the passing game throwing for 315 yards for 8 yards per pass attempt. The limit MWC opponents to 3.6 yards per carry with 59% completions. Fresno St rushes for only 2.4 yards a carry in conference. Their defense against the MWC struggles by allowing 4.6 yards pe run with 66% completions for 7.9 yards per pass attempt. The Spartans are 6-2 to the spread as a road underdog. Fresno St is 5-8 to the spread as a home favorite. Play San Jose St +5.
Cincinnati vs. Colorado College Football Pick Prediction 10/26/2024
Cincinnati at Colorado 10:15PM ET—Cincinnati improved to 5-2 following their 24-14 home win to Arizona St. The Bearcats gained 397 yards with 191 rushing for 5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 346 yards to the Sun Devils with 191 rushing for 4.8 yards a carry. Brendan Sorsby completed 23 of 31 for 206 yards with an interception. He had two rushing touchdowns. Colorado is 5-2 after their 34-7 road win at Arizona. The Buffs put up 398 yards with 148 rushing for 3.8 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 245 yards to the Wildcats with 138 passing on 26 attempts. Shedeur Sanders went 23 of 33 for 250 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. He had a rushing touchdown.
The Pick:
The Bearcats offense has performed well against the Big 12 with 4 yards per run and 71% completions for 8.2 yards per pass attempt. The team averages 272 yards passing in conference. Defensively they allow conference foes 5.1 yards a carry but only 59.2% completions. Colorado struggles to run the football against the Big 12 but has an accurate and efficient passing game. The pass defense allows 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Colorado has conference losses to Nebraska and Kansas St. Play Cincinnati +6.5.
Washington St vs. San Diego St College Football Pick Prediction 10/26/2024
Washington St at San Diego St 10:30PM ET—Washington St improved to 6-1 following their 42-10 home win to Hawaii. The Cougars gained 444 yards with 123 rushing for 3.3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 300 yards to the Warriors with 196 passing on 30 attempts. John Mateer completed 23 of 27 for 295 yards and three touchdowns. He rushed for 34 yards and two touchdowns. San Diego St is 3-3 with their 27-24 road win at Wyoming. The Aztecs produced 356 yards with 102 rushing for 2.9 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 371 yards to the Cowboys with 190 rushing for 4.6 yards a carry. Danny O’Neil hit 16 of 27 for 254 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick:
The Cougars have struggled defensively on the road by allowing 5.5 yards per run with 67.4% completion rate for 7.9 yards per pass attempt. Away from home they rush for only 3.4 yards a carry with 56.6% completions. The Aztecs passing games have shown improvement in their past three games with 65% completions for 8.7 yards per pass attempt. On defense in this span, they allow 3.8 yards a carry with 52.1% completion rate. Play San Diego St +14.
Nevada vs. Hawaii College Football Pick Prediction 10/26/2024
Nevada at Hawaii 11:59PM ET—Nevada fell to 3-5 after their 24-21 home defeat to Fresno St. The Wolf Pack put up 295 yards with 84 rushing for 2.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 316 yards to the Bulldogs with 190 passing on 20 attempts. Brendan Lewis is questionable with a head injury. Chubba Purdy relieved and hit 3 of 5 passes for 53 yards. A Nebraska transfer who struggled with inaccuracy and turnovers. Hawaii drops to 2-5 with their 42-10 road defeat at Washington St. The Warriors produced 300 yards with 104 rushing for 4.7 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 444 yards to the Cougars with 321 passing on 29 attempts. Brayden Schager completed 20 of 30 for 106 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick:
Nevada has struggled on the ground against the Mountain West with 3.7 yards a carry. Defensively they are allowing conference foes 258 passing yards with 7.8 yards per pass attempt. Nevada has a good passing attack under Lewis, but Purdy is a huge downgrade at the position. Hawaii in conference has struggled offensively with 2.1 yards a carry and only 15.5 points per game. On defense they hold opponents to 4.4 yards per rush but 71% completions for 7.6 yards per pass attempt. Purdy may not be able to exploit this based on his poor track record with other schools. Play Hawaii -2.