Hi everybody, it’s Rodd and Ron coming at you with game two of the WNBA series between the Minnesota Lynx and the New York Liberty. We saw this line open up huge with the Liberty at -7.5, and I’ve already seen some books pop it up to 8. The total is set at 162.5. What do you think here for game two, Ron?
Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty 10/13/24 – Ron’s Analysis: Stick with the Lynx
Yeah, I don’t get it. You know, we looked at the first half, and it seemed like Minnesota couldn’t penetrate inside. New York was doing a great job keeping them on the perimeter and forcing them to shoot from the outside. But then Minnesota made some adjustments at halftime, and they finally started getting inside and doing what they needed to do.
When the game went to overtime, I was worried we were going to lose that one because, as they say, “overs and unders, and dogs die in overtime.” But Minnesota got it done.
Now, looking at this line, I’m scratching my head, Rodd. It’s up to 8 now? I know New York is going to win the series—there’s no doubt in my mind that New York is the better team. But why has the line gone up to 8? Yes, Brianna Stewart missed that free throw which cost them the game, but you still have to look at Minnesota’s record. They’re 17-6-1 ATS on the road and 5-1 ATS as a road dog. I’ve got to stick with Minnesota here. I think it’s just too many points. I still have New York capped at around 3 to 4 points and a total closer to 165. So yeah, I’m sticking with Minnesota.
Rodd’s Take: Lynx and the Under
Yeah, I’ve got to agree with you—sticking with Minnesota, especially at this big number. The only thing that worries me is Minnesota’s performance on Sundays. They’re 1-6 ATS on Sundays, but that’s just a trend. This is the finals, and they’re 4-1 ATS on the road with two days’ rest. They’re also 7-2-1 ATS with two days’ rest.
On the other hand, the Liberty at home don’t cover spreads well. They get wins, but they’re just not covering. They’re 7-8-1 in their last 26 home games, and off two days’ rest, they’re 6-14. So yeah, I agree with you on the Lynx, but I also like the under here.
We’ve seen a lot of high-scoring games and track meets between these two teams, but I think this one is going to be different. I expect a game more like what we saw in New York back in July when the Liberty won 76-67. I think it’ll be closer than that, but it’ll have that kind of pace. The total in that game was 168, and we went well under. This one opened at 162 and has gone up to 162.5, but I like the under here.
Final Picks: Lynx +8 and the Under 162.5
So, Ron likes the Lynx, and I’m with him on that—it’s just too many points. Lynx and the under, that’s what we’ve got for this one. Let’s get it!
Thanks, everybody, for tuning in. We appreciate each and every one of you watching these WNBA videos. Please give us a thumbs up and have a wonderful Sunday!
Also, a quick note—hit the link in the description to head over to tonyspicks.com where you can find my Best Bets for NFL Sunday. I’m sure Ron’s got some Best Bets over there as well. Just hit the link in the description, and it’ll take you right over.
Have yourself a wonderful Sunday, everybody! Until next time, good luck!