The MLB playoffs are gaining momentum and the turn of the American League Division Series observes a crucial Game 3 in the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) vs Detroit Tigers (86-76) match tied at 1-1. This contest at Comerica Park on October 9, 2024, is sure to provide fireworks. Both the teams have been in great form during the late season and hence this one is a perfect watch for fans looking for some expert baseball tips today.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers 10/09/24 Game Info and Odds |
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| When: | Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 3:08 PM ET |
| Where: | Comerica Park |
| Watch: | TBS, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Guardians odds: | -114 Moneyline |
| Tigers odds: | -104 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 7 |
Cleveland Guardians (92-69) vs. Detroit Tigers (86-76)
The Cleveland Guardians have shown resilience throughout the season, achieving a solid postseason position despite a modest batting average of .238 and on-base percentage of .307. Their strong pitching staff, boasting a 3.61 ERA, has been crucial. Recently, they dominated Detroit 7-0 but then fell 0-3 in their latest game. Their performance also includes a challenging series against the Los Angeles Dodgers, where they secured only one win against two defeats, underscoring their potential to both dominate and be dominated as they head into a crucial Game 3.
| Cleveland Guardians Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Oct 7, 2024 | DET | 0-3 | Lose |
| Oct 5, 2024 | DET | 7-0 | Win |
| Sep 28, 2024 | HOU | 3-4 | Lose |
| Sep 27, 2024 | HOU | 2-5 | Lose |
| Sep 25, 2024 | CIN | 5-2 | Win |
Conversely, the Detroit Tigers have demonstrated formidable strength, particularly during their impressive 13-4 run in the last 17 games. Despite a slightly lower batting average of .234 compared to Cleveland, their robust power hitting (162 home runs) and tight pitching (ERA of 3.61 and WHIP of 1.16) have kept them highly competitive. Their recent performance includes three wins in a series against Kansas City, showcasing their peak form at a critical time. Their last five games also featured significant victories over Cleveland and Houston, although a 5-9 loss to Chicago exposed some vulnerabilities.
| Detroit Tigers Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Oct 7, 2024 | CLE | 3-0 | Win |
| Oct 5, 2024 | CLE | 0-7 | Lose |
| Oct 2, 2024 | HOU | 5-2 | Win |
| Oct 1, 2024 | HOU | 3-1 | Win |
| Sep 29, 2024 | CHW | 5-9 | Lose |
Alex Cobb (2-1, 2.76 ERA) vs. Keider Montero (6-6, 4.76 ERA)
This time, Alex Cobb will start on the mound for the Guardians, boasting great stats with a 2.76 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. For someone with just 16.1 innings pitched, Alex does well in limiting the number of hits and walks, making him a tough foe. There’s also a reason why he’s probably not the ideal facing opponent for the Tigers’ hitters – that pitching style, which permits few earned runs and is heavy on the strikeout to walks ratio, means damage to the offensive plans can be caused.
On the opposite end, for the Tigers, Keider Montero has had a rather mixed season, with a 4.76 ERA in 98.1 innings. His WHIP is 1.33, which is pretty high, but maybe it could be to his advantage having pitched more innings. The problem with Montero will be to control a high number of home runs allowed and intend on earning strikeouts in working through the Guardians’ batting order.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland Guardians -114, Total Odds: 7
Placing a bet on this game is a bit more favorable towards the Guardians given the superiority of their pitching staff and recent history of wins. But, the Tigers’ toughness as well as the possibility of Montero’s good surge in performance helps make this a tightly-fought contest.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends
In the previous seven matches, the Guardians have had most of the totals gone UNDER collapses with 6 such instances. Further, their divisional record (7-2 SU in their last 9) and against the Tigers in particular (5-2 SU in their last 7) cannot go unrecognized.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
There has also been a similar pattern with the last 8 games of Detroit, where only 2 games have happened to go OVER. The home spell has been their biggest advantage as they have managed to win eight out of their last 10 games at Comerica Park which gives them a little bit of advantage in this home game.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers 10/9/24 Betting Picks
Examining the recent form and trends of each team, it is clear that the Guardians will have the advantage in their pitching. However, one cannot discount the Tigers’ impressive home record making this a very evenly matched contest.
The most reasonable bet should be placed on total runs going UNDER, as both teams are in a downward spiral in terms of scoring abilities in the last few games. On Moneyline bets, the Guardians are equally good value for money. For most top exclusive handicappers, the UNDER will be a well placed bet because of the strengths of both firing lineups.