Free MLB Picks For Today, Wednesday 10/9/2024
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 10/9/2024
Guardians at Tigers—Alex Cobb to start for Cleveland. Cobb has three starts in the season carrying an ERA of 2.76 with WHIP of 1.04. The right-hander strikes out 16.1% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 61.2% with 0.55 home runs per nine innings. Brant Hurter will start for Detroit. Hurter appeared in ten games with an ERA of 2.58 with WHIP of 0.88. The lefthander strikes out 21.7% with 3.4% walks. Ground balls are 53.1% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Three starts are all Cobb has had this season due to injury. The prior three seasons he combined for an ERA of 3.79 with WHIP of 1.30. Hurter has allowed one earned run or fewer in his past five starts. Each bullpen is in great form entering this game. Cleveland in their past seven games is hitting .197. They are 9-13 in their past 22 road games against winning teams. The Tigers are 18-11 at home facing AL teams that average 4.4 runs per game or fewer per game. Play Detroit -102.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. NY Mets MLB Pick Prediction 10/9/2024
Phillies at Mets—Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez in 27 starts on the season deals with an ERA of 3.46 with WHIP of 1.20. The lefthander strikes out 23.2% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 51.9% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. Jose Quintana to start for NY. Quintana has 31 starts with an ERA of 3.75 with WHIP of 1.25. The lefthander fans 18.8% with 8.8% walks. Grounders are 47.4% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Suarez in his past four starts has an ERA of 7.79 with WHIP of 2.19 dealing with poor control. Quintana has allowed a total of three earned runs in his past six starts. NY has won four of five against the Phillies. The Philadelphia bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 6.63. They are 8-14 on the road against a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.25 or lower with a -9.3-unit loss. NY is 25-10 in their past 35 at home. Play NY +100.
NY Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 10/9/2024
Yankees at Royals—Clarke Schmidt to start for NY. Schmidt has 16 starts on the campaign delivering an ERA of 2.85 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander strikes out 26.3% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls served at 40.5% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. Seth Lugo is the starter for KC. Lugo in 33 starts with an ERA of 3.00 with WHIP of 1.09. The righty is fanning 21.7% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.2% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Schmidt in his past five road starts has an ERA of 0.61 with WHIP of 1.02. Lugo in his past three starts has an ERA of 3.95 with WHIP of 1.10. NY has won six of nine against the Royals. Both bullpens have been in good form in their past ten games. KC is batting .203 in their past ten games. The team record behind Schmidt is 4-1 on the road facing teams with a .410 or lower slugging percentage. KC is 1-3 behind Lugo at home facing AL teams that average 4.9 runs per game or greater with a -2.3-unit loss. The Yankees are 39-21 on the road against right-handed starters with a +14.7 unit return. Play NY -112.
LA Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 10/9/2024
Dodgers at Padres—Landon Knack to be bulk pitcher for LA. Knack has 15 appearances on the year producing an ERA of 3.65 with WHIP of 1.10. The rookie righthander strikes out 24.1% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 31.1% with 1.83 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.71 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Dylan Cease to start for San Diego. Cease in 33 starts has an ERA of 3.47 with WHIP of 1.07. The righthander fans 29.4% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls served at 39.8% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cease in his past six starts has an ERA of 3.63 with WHIP of 1.15. LA has hit Cease well with eight earned runs in 8 innings the past two weeks. Padres got to Knack back on September 24th. The team is 5-0 to the over behind Cease at home against the Division. LA is 18-9 to the over on the road against a winning team. San Diego is 20-14 to the over at home facing a team that outscores opponents by 0.5 runs per game or greater. Play LA and San Diego over 8.