Free MLB Picks For Today, Saturday 10/5/2024
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Tigers at Guardians—Reese Olson will be primary pitcher for Detroit. Olson in 22 starts in 2022 carries an ERA of 3.53 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander strikes out 21.7% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 50.6% with 0.56 home runs per nine innings. Tyler Holton will serve as opener. Tammer Bibee to start for Cleveland. Bibee has 31 starts with an ERA of 3.47 with WHIP of 1.12. The righty is fanning 26.3% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls served at 34.6% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Bibee has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his past five starts. Olsen since returning to staff allowed seven earned runs with nine strikeouts in 9 1/3rd innings. Both bullpens are in outstanding form over their past ten starts. The team record behind Bibee is 10-1 at home with a +8.6-unit return. Detroit is 7-13 on the road facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.45 or lower with a -4.8-unit loss. The Guardians are 35-13 at home when lined between -100 and -150 with a +18.6-unit return. Play Cleveland -144.
NY Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Mets at Phillies—Kodai Senga will open for NY. David Peterson expected to be primary pitcher. Peterson in 21 starts on the year delivers an ERA of 2.90 with WHIP of 1.29. The lefthander strikes out 19.8% with 9% walks. Grounders served at 50.1% with 0.60 home runs per nine innings. Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler has 32 starts with an ERA of 2.57 with WHIP of 0.95. The veteran fans 28.5% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.6% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Wheeler has allowed two earned runs or fewer in his past eleven starts. Peterson in his past four starts has an ERA of 3.57 with WHIP of 1.19. Both bullpens in their past ten starts have ERA’s near or over four. NY is 7-0 to the over when a road underdog of +150 to +200. Philadelphia is 3-1 to the over when lined at home at 7 or less. Play NY and Philadelphia over 7.
Kansas City Royals vs. NY Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Royals at Yankees—Michael Wacha to start for KC. Wacha in 29 starts on the year delivers an ERA of 3.35 with WHIP of 1.19. The veteran strikes out 21.2% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls are 38.6% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Gerrit Cole to start for NY. Cole has 17 starts with an ERA of 3.41 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander strikes out 25.4% with 7.4% walks. Grounders served at 38.7% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Wacha has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his past five starts. Cole has allowed one earned run or fewer in seven of his past nine starts. Both bullpens are in outstanding form over their past ten games. KC in their past seven games is batting .183 and scored a total of three runs in the Orioles series. NY over that period is batting .229. They are 10-5 to the under when favored at home by -175 to -250. Play KC and NY under 8.
San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Padres at Dodgers—Dylan Cease will start for San Diego. Cease in 33 starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 3.47 with WHIP of 1.07. The righthander strikes out 29.4% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls are 39.8% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. Yoshinobu Yamamoto will start for LA. Yamamoto has 18 starts with an ERA of 3.00 with WHIP of 1.11. The righty is fanning 28.5% with 6% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.9% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cease in his past six road starts has an ERA of 4.35 with WHIP of 1.48 struggling with control. He faced the Dodgers on September 25th in LA and gave up three earned runs with three walks in five innings. Yamamoto in his past seven starts has an ERA of 2.03 with WHIP of 1.13. LA bullpen in their past ten starts has an ERA of 2.01 to the Padres 3.78. LA in their past seven games is hitting .318 to the Padres .226. San Diego is 3-6 on the road facing an NL starter with an ERA of 3.20 or lower with a -2.8-unit loss. LA is 18-6 at home when favored between -100 and -150 with a +10.5-unit return. Play LA -128.