As the date of the somber rivalry UFC 307 approaches, eyes are certainly turned on the showdown between Stephen Thompson and Joaquin Buckley, which is highly awaited. The event, which is important for both combatants, took place on Saturday, 5th of October 2024, in Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah. Fans and bettors are looking to place their bets on what they consider the best UFC 307 picks and tips regarding which fighter has this opportunity to take advantage and move up the ladder in his division. This is a well-known television network, and the exact contest this event features will surely attract a great number of viewers.
Stephen Thompson vs. Joaquin Buckley 10/5/24 Game Info |
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| When: | Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
| Thompson Odds: | +130 |
| Buckley Odds: | -150 |
Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson Analysis
Stephen Thompson has an impressive combat record of 17-7-1, making him a true veteran of the welterweight division, both enduring and striking as honed as there is. The fact that he spends over 14 minutes fighting on average shows his physical conditioning and tactical intelligence. More strikingly, he possesses a striking accuracy of 46% and 54% accuracy on defensive skills, demonstrating that he is thoughtful in how he strategizes defending himself against the opponent. However, Thompson’s grappling stat might best be termed as mediocre at best being only average 0.26 takedowns in a 15 minute period. However, his takedown defense of 65% shows that he is able to keep the fight where he wants it. When discussing his recent loss to Rakhmonov, it is important to highlight how competitive that fight was and why this might help him plan his fight with Buckley. Similarly, Cesar Almeida, who will fight for the Middleweight title in another event, shares Thompson’s strategic acumen, making strategic placement and precision striking their shared hallmark.
Joaquin “New Mansa” Buckley Analysis
Joaquin Buckley, meanwhile, enters the octagon with a record of 19-6-0. Buckley’s slightly more aggressive style of striking shows in some average 4.25 significant strikes while standing per minute and strike defense of 58% which is slightly better than that of Thompson. His average fight time is shorter, meaning that he wins more of his fights with finishes rather than decisions. This may be because of his slightly higher takedown average of 1.69 per 15 minutes at 44% accuracy. In Buckley’s latest fight, he showed how he is able to seize the moment and finish an opponent, as he did to Ruziboev. Like Iasmin Lucindo, who will compete in the Women’s Strawweight category, Buckley thrives under pressure and often turns the tide of the fight with his aggressive approach, making him a crowd favorite and a dangerous contender.
Stephen Thompson vs. Joaquin Buckley Stats
| Thompson | Buckley | |
| Wins/Losses/Draws | 17-7-1 | 19-6-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 14:37 | 10:13 |
| Height | 6′ 0″ | 5′ 10″ |
| Weight | 170 lbs. | 170 lbs. |
| Reach | 75″ | 76″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Strikes Landed per Min. | 4.11 | 4.25 |
| Striking Accuracy | 46% | 36% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 3.03 | 3.12 |
| Defense | 54% | 58% |
| Takedowns Average/15 min. | 0.26 | 1.69 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 41% | 44% |
| Takedown Defense | 65% | 69% |
| Submission Average/15 min. | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Stephen Thompson vs. Joaquin Buckley Betting Picks
Concerning betting trends, the difference between Thompson’s accuracy and Buckley’s power adds an exciting storyline for the gamblers. With his level of experience and technical striking, Thompson should be able to control the pace first which will be very important in this type of fight that can potentially last as long as the full five rounds. On the other hand, Buckley’s current form coupled with his relatively better stats on defense allows him to take Thompson’s punches as well as avoid being barnacled by his shots.
Reflecting the betting lines, Buckley is adjudged as the favorite sitting at -150 odds against Thompson’s +130 – here the betting public is perhaps more optimistic about Buckley’s recent efforts and strong style than it should be. The resolution of the issue is rather arch: both fighters have something interesting to say.
Free Pick: Joaquin “New Mansa” Buckley -150
It is evident from this that there is still some time before the fight night arrives. UFC 307 is not only going to be a great bout but also a turning point for many bettors who want to take premium picks and parlays. This fight features a good cross of Buckley’s aggressiveness and Thompson’s experience and is therefore expected to be the reason why this bet will be a critical one for fans and gamblers of UFC.