With the light heavyweights Ryan Spann and Ovince Saint Preux facing off on October 5, 2024, at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah, UFC 307 is painfully awaited. Here, we have two experienced MMA fighters with different careers with UFC. When taking the top MMA free predictions from the experts, the win-loss ratios hold no significance as the game and tactical aspects get more intense thus making this fight an important one for both fighters.
Ryan Spann vs. Ovince Saint Preux 10/5/24 Game Info |
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When: | Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 6:00 PM ET |
Where: | Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA |
TV: | ESPN+ |
Spann Odds: | -315 |
Saint Preux Odds: | +265 |
Ryan “Superman” Spann Analysis
Ryan Spann, known as “Superman,” enters the octagon with a professional record of 21-10-0. Spann’s journey mirrors the resilience often seen in fighters such as Tim Means, who will fight for welterweight, demonstrating a blend of striking and grappling that keeps his opponents guessing. Spann’s striking accuracy is 40%, and he absorbs 3.89 strikes per minute, which points to his aggressive but sometimes vulnerable fighting style. His grappling skills are highlighted by an average of 1.34 takedowns and 1.5 submissions per 15 minutes, showcasing his versatility. Spann’s recent loss to Guskov may have been a setback, but his quick finishes and strong ground game could be the key factors in overcoming Saint Preux’s defense.
Ovince Saint Preux Analysis
Ovince Saint Preux counters with his impressive record of 27-17-0. His fighting style parallels Alex Pereira, who will light up the Light Heavyweight division in the main card, due to his unpredictable power and strategic acumen. Saint Preux possesses an orthodox style with an 80-inch reach advantage and an impressive striking accuracy of 47% coupled with a slightly better defensive apparatus with 47% efficiency. His grappling statistics boast a practically impenetrable takedown defense of 67%. This will come in handy against Spann, who may try to force pace on him in longer exchanges. In connection with this, his most recent fight against Nzechukwu showed how tactically improved he is, which will be important here.
Ryan Spann vs. Ovince Saint Preux Stats
Spann | Saint Preux | |
Wins/Losses/Draws | 21-10-0 | 27-17-0 |
Average Fight Time | 5:35 | 9:39 |
Height | 6′ 5″ | 6′ 3″ |
Weight | 205 lbs. | 205 lbs. |
Reach | 79″ | 80″ |
Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
Strikes Landed per Min. | 3.25 | 3.03 |
Striking Accuracy | 40% | 47% |
Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 3.89 | 3.32 |
Defense | 44% | 47% |
Takedowns Average/15 min. | 1.34 | 1.10 |
Takedown Accuracy | 35% | 36% |
Takedown Defense | 47% | 67% |
Submission Average/15 min. | 1.5 | 0.5 |
Ryan Spann vs. Ovince Saint Preux Betting Picks
This bout is quite the riddle when it comes to betting. Ryan Spann is rated as the favorite with odds of -315 but has to demonstrate that he can control his energy to implement a game plan. Early possesses knockout power and good ground control but may take too many punches to the face as the championship goes on. The very same reasons though could be problematic for Ryan Spann vs Ovince Saint Preux as the dog with +265 odds who on the other hand if the fight is longer would be able to counter Spann’s forward onslaught.
Considering the match pace and the developed betting situation, Spann is likely to be a safer bet because he fights too aggressively and gets too many. On the contrary, Saint Preux is older and more of an upset specialist over the distance with good defensive armor and stats. In this case, the recommendation is likely to prefer Ryan Spann because of his greater finishing percentage and his use of grappling with effective control over his opponents, but it’s not a big difference.
Free Pick: Ryan “Superman” Spann -315
As fight night is round the corner, the pressures are on, and the betting markets indicate the importance of this contest in the Light Heavyweight division. Each fighter possesses attributes that may swing the fight in their direction; therefore, this is one of the most premium picks for UFC lovers and bettors, too. Spencer could be a sound bet to go with for the bettors, but Ovince Saint Preux should not be writing up his comeback overall.