As the MLB postseason heats up, the New York Mets (89-73) and the Milwaukee Brewers (93-69) come together in game 3 of the National League wild card series. As tied at one match each in the series, this game on October 3, 2024, at the American Family Field is bound to be interesting and action-packed. All the action can be seen at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN and MLB.TV, which makes it a top contender for our free MLB Wildcard picks.
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers 10/3/24 Game Info and Odds |
|
| When: | Thursday, October 3, 2024, at 7:00 PM ET |
| Where: | American Family Field |
| Watch: | ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Mets odds: | +105 |
| Brewers odds: | -125 |
| Total Line: | 7.5 |
New York Mets (89-73) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (93-69)
The New York Mets, although finishing with an unfavorable season record, have played with heart and character over the season. They are underscored by a 246 batting average with 207 home runs that shows their offensive potential can ignite at any time. However, their current form doesn’t help with the situation, especially their away games versus Milwaukee, which are a more difficult task. The last five encounters include a loss to Milwaukee 3-5, a win 8-4, and yet another loss 0-3 to Atlanta, putting an end to their streak which reveals their inconsistency.
| New York Mets Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Oct 2, 2024 | MIL | 3-5 | L |
| Oct 1, 2024 | MIL | 8-4 | W |
| Sep 30, 2024 | ATL | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 30, 2024 | ATL | 8-7 | W |
| Sep 29, 2024 | MIL | 5-0 | W |
On the other side, the Milwaukee Brewers have had a strong season, evident in their 93 wins. Their recent performance has been quite solid, going 6-3 in their last 9 games, showing a particular strength at home. Their last five games include victories such as 5-3 against the Mets and 6-0 against the same, which indicates their home-field advantage and ability to dominate at American Family Field.
| Milwaukee Brewers Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Oct 2, 2024 | NYM | 5-3 | W |
| Oct 1, 2024 | NYM | 4-8 | L |
| Sep 29, 2024 | NYM | 0-5 | L |
| Sep 28, 2024 | NYM | 6-0 | W |
| Sep 27, 2024 | NYM | 8-4 | W |
Jose Quintana (10-10, 3.75 ERA) vs. Tobias Myers (9-6, 3.00 ERA)
Jose Quintana is a competent pitcher with a wealth of experience and pitches to an excellent straight earner of 3.75 to the team into the mound. Even so, a balanced win-loss record might pale in comparison to Quintana’s ability to strike batters out and manage games. Nevertheless, we expect him to improve in this area as well, particularly on the road and against top-tier competitors, if we wish to win this game as the Mets.
On the other hand, Tobias Myers for the Brewers has performed impressively with a 3.00 earned run average and a better WHIP of 1.17. It is suspected that such a low hit and walk ratio can be used in order to silence the Mets hitters, if the game is within the post-season context.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee Brewers -125, Total Odds: 7.5
Considering the odds, the Brewers are slight favorites, reflecting their stronger season finish and home advantage. The total set at 7.5 suggests expectations of a tight, competitive game, possibly influenced by the pitchers’ duel and recent underperformances in high-pressure games.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have struggled significantly in recent matchups against the Brewers, especially on the road, where their win rate drops alarmingly. This trend could be a major concern for bettors leaning towards the Mets.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Brewers show strong trends in home victories, particularly against NL East teams. Their consistent performance at home makes them a safer bet, especially given the Mets’ shaky road form.
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers 10/3/24 Betting Picks
The reasons for tonight’s game seem quite apparent considering the fact that this is a home match for the Brewers, and they have a better pitching performance therefore, the chances for winning are high. Considering the Mets past history in Milwaukee, it would be wise to place them on the Brewers but to win by a wider margin.
With regard to prop bets and over/under, in relation to the fight, irrespective of the current pitchers form, the pressure of a game that is a win or go home may actually work in favor of the under. These abilities are applied at the holding time for many of the teams during OTR. However, would slant the total more to the over than those only referring to the cover on systems performance and each team key player combination playing forms. Going after those who want the most experienced top premium picks services, it might be the most reasonable to understand the bet, stating that the total will be under based on all available history and current condition of both starting pitchers.