It is Week 5 in the NFL regular season, as the unbeaten Kansas City Chiefs entertain the reeling New Orleans Saints at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. It is a classic Monday night football clash with a 4-0 Chiefs team taking on 2-2 Saints. It has the potential to be an insurance of the week as some exclusive premium handicappers have their eyes on this contest. Both teams have played differently, with the Chiefs still showing their bulk of strength while the Saints are having a tough time finding their bearings.
New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs 10/7/24 Game Info |
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| When: | Monday, October 7, 2024 at 8:15 PM ET |
| Where: | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium |
| TV: | ESPN |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
New Orleans Saints (2-2) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (4-0)
The New Orleans Saints have had their share of moments and betrayals at two wins and two losses. The offense’s game plan depends mostly on the abilities of the quarterback Derek Carr and the explosive running back Alvin Kamara. In their last five games, the Saints have shown a propensity to keep the scoreboard ticking despite a heartbreaking 24-26 loss to Atlanta in their most recent outing. That running attack spearheaded by Kamara has remained exceptional, aiding a lot in the yards covered on the ground. It has also been one of the most important factors as Kamara has continued playing an important role in the offensive scheme of the Saints, as he is very good at avoiding or gliding through defenders.
In contrast, the Kansas City Chiefs have proved to be amazing. With a flawless record of 4-0, they will be looking to make it five in front of their supportive home fans. Flanked by quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who is just a downright great football player, the Chiefs’s offensive game plan has been a combination of aerial assault and ground game. Despite a relatively modest ground game, the Chiefs have outscored their opponents effectively, as evidenced by their recent narrow wins against teams like the Los Angeles Chargers and Cincinnati. Travis Kelce, though not finding the end zone, has been instrumental in crucial plays, setting up the field for scoring opportunities.
Derek Carr QB vs. Patrick Mahomes QB
The Saints have had a decent performance from Derek Carr, who leads the team with 824 passing yards and a passer rating of 103.9. More importantly, the ability to perform and communicate with receivers has proven critical for the Saints in tight battles. On the downside, he has recorded three interceptions thus far. While this may not seem like a lot, the turnovers have been timely. The same can be said about Derek Carr and the perception against the Chiefs’ defensive line, which will determine the Saints’ success or failure in this matchup.
On the other hand, Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs outshines his counterpart in any tactical aspect, considering his plays. His passing yards account for 904, which is relatively low, with a passer rating of 89.7 due to five interceptions. However, Mahomes still poses a threat with his excellent composure in moving away from defenders and making plays from broken down situations. His proficiency in this aspect of the game will be critical to the Chiefs’ prospects of taking advantage of the Saints’ defensive weaknesses.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City Chiefs -7.5 (-120), Total Odds: 45
The betting lines suggest confidence in the Chiefs, favored by 7.5 points, and a total of 45 points indicating expectations of a relatively high-scoring affair. Given the trends, the Chiefs’ ability to cover spreads in recent games gives them the edge in this matchup.
New Orleans Saints Betting Trends
The Saints’ ATS performance in the last six games has been positive, winning five out of those games. The same two factors, along with the fact that four of their last five games have gone OVER the total, indicate that they might be able to give the Chiefs a run for their money; well, at least if their offense finds its rhythm as it has at times during this season.
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends
The Chiefs have won their last ten games with an outstanding 8-1-1 record against the spread. They possess a great home record to go with a good defense that doesn’t concede many points, which could be an advantage, especially toward a Saints side that has failed to be consistent.
New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs 10/7/24 Betting Picks
Looking at the overall form and the fact that the game is played on their home ground, the Chiefs’ winning march is likely to be continued. Fans can expect more resilient competition from the Saints, who may make the handicap bet a wise one. It is logical for bettors to argue that the Chiefs would win, but the Saints would cover the spread, which makes sense given that the ‘total’ could skew towards OVER, considering how powerful the two teams are offensively.
In this case, one of the better picks would be that you back the Chiefs to win outright, but the margin they win by is short of the 7.5 points given to the underdog, the Saints. In this case, you can also find good value in Prop bets, especially in which quarterback gets more touchdowns or over under of touchdowns by either quarterback. Football best free picks aficionados should look for money lines on player bets that could be rewarding.