One of the features of the upcoming UFC 307 to be held in Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah, is an interesting Women’s Bouting Strawweight opponent, Marina Rodriguez vs. Iasmin Lucindo. Rodriguez has 17-4-2, while Lucindo has 16-5-0 entering the octagon. While preparing for the most talked-about fight of Saturday, fans and punters are looking at the various scenarios of how the match will transpire, which will be broadcast on ESPN+. Today, as part of the MMA winning free picks, let us analyze the statistics to understand what to expect from this fight which is likely to be competitive.
Marina Rodriguez vs. Iasmin Lucindo 10/5/24 Game Info |
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| When: | Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
| Rodriguez Odds: | -105 |
| Lucindo Odds: | -115 |
Marina Rodriguez Analysis
Marina Rodriguez, with a record of 17-4-2 is notable for her toughness and striking skills, averaging 4.82 significant strikes per minute with 47% accuracy. A 65% takedown defense also suggests her ability to keep a fight standing, meaning she’s the one who tends to control the pace and the terms of the fight. Similarly, compared to other fighters such as Ihor Potieria who will fight for the title of Middleweight, Rodriguez, in the division Strawweight, also prefers a technical aspect of fighting and controlling, which is essential in such high profile competitions. The latest fight with Andrade revealed the weaknesses of Rodriguez, particularly when she’s under pressure, and these she has worked on in the training camp to make a strong entry in this fight.
Iasmin Lucindo Analysis
On the other hand, Iasmin Lucindo has a bit of a different approach when she gets into the Octagon. With a record of 16-5-0, she also employs a more aggressive grappling game that averages 2.23 takedowns every 15 minutes along with a staggering 80% takedown defense. This ability to grapple could prove crucial to Lucindo when considering tactics against Rodriguez’s striking. In her bout with Kowalkiewicz, Lucindo made it evident that she is able to utilize ground control to her benefit as well. Her setup mirrors the fighting style of Austin Hubbard, who is known for his tactical ground control in his division, demonstrating that success often lies in specialized, strategic dominance.
Marina Rodriguez vs. Iasmin Lucindo Stats
| Rodriguez | Lucindo | |
| Wins/Losses/Draws | 17-4-2 | 16-5-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 14:07 | 13:26 |
| Height | 5′ 6″ | 5′ 3″ |
| Weight | 115 lbs. | 115 lbs. |
| Reach | 65″ | 66″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed per Min. | 4.82 | 3.95 |
| Striking Accuracy | 47% | 46% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 3.12 | 3.11 |
| Defense | 55% | 66% |
| Takedowns Average/15 min. | 0.23 | 2.23 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 42% | 53% |
| Takedown Defense | 65% | 80% |
| Submission Average/15 min. | 0.2 | 0.3 |
Marina Rodriguez vs. Iasmin Lucindo Betting Picks
In view of the history of both fighters, their strategies, and their purposes, this fight is very likely to be close. It could be Rodriguez’s superior striking skill that is important for gaining the dominant position from the very beginning of the bout. But it is also true Lucindo has some improved grappling skills and able defense which could thwart things, particularly in her world, on the canvas. The odds of the match, Rodriguez -105, Lucindo -115, further illustrate the evenly matched competition making it apparent that there is no clear pre-fight favorite and minor dominance can be altered.
Lucindo might just have the requisite pieces to this puzzle that may play the spoiler’s role against Rodriguez given the present circumstances and the slant in grappling statistics. It can however not be said that Rodriguez should be written off on account of her experience and striking which brings her dangerously close to regaining her lost turn of form.
Free Pick: Iasmin Lucindo -115
To sum up, and note that since the lines are tight, as is the expectation, handicapper’s favorite picks are inclined to place a few bets on Iasmin Lucindo given her strong defensive skills and impressive grappling abilities. This fight in particular, is sure to cause a stir with the fans of MMA. Focus on the strategies used by both fighters and how they counter each other as those would play a big factor in the outcome of the strategic bout at UFC 307.